{"id":99148,"date":"2026-04-06T10:55:37","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T10:55:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/?p=99148"},"modified":"2026-04-06T10:55:37","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T10:55:37","slug":"kriza-pas-deres-birn-banka-e-shqiperise-bleu-1-miliarde-euro-gjate-vitit-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/kriza-pas-deres-birn-banka-e-shqiperise-bleu-1-miliarde-euro-gjate-vitit-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Kriza pas der\u00ebs? BIRN: – Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb bleu 1 miliard\u00eb euro gjat\u00eb vitit 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/p>\n

6 Prill 2026<\/p>\n

Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb bleu shifr\u00ebn astronomike t\u00eb 1 miliard\u00eb e 27 milion\u00eb eurove n\u00eb tregun valutor gjat\u00eb vitit 2025, nj\u00eb shif\u00ebr kjo e barabart\u00eb me 3.8% t\u00eb Prodhimit t\u00eb Brendsh\u00ebm Bruto dhe nj\u00eb e till\u00eb, e cila, sipas teoris\u00eb kryesore ekonomike t\u00eb k\u00ebsaj situate, duhet t\u00eb ket\u00eb shkaktuar \u201czhvler\u00ebsim t\u00eb brendsh\u00ebm\u201d t\u00eb monedh\u00ebs komb\u00ebtare, pra inflacion. N\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb misterioze, gjithsesi, inflacioni nuk duket n\u00eb nivele shum\u00eb t\u00eb larta, s\u00eb paku jo n\u00eb Indeksin e \u00c7mimeve t\u00eb Mallrave t\u00eb Konsumit t\u00eb matur nga Instituti i Statistikave.<\/p>\n

Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb filloi t\u00eb nd\u00ebrhyj\u00eb n\u00eb tregun e k\u00ebmbimit valutor, pavar\u00ebsisht k\u00ebshillave t\u00eb Fondit Monetar Nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar p\u00ebr t\u00eb mos e b\u00ebr\u00eb, n\u00eb vitin 2024. N\u00eb vitin 2024, u blen\u00eb 649 milion\u00eb euro, krahas 283.8 milion\u00eb eurove t\u00eb blera p\u00ebr efekt t\u00eb rritjes s\u00eb rezerv\u00ebs valutore t\u00eb vendit. Blerjet rifilluan n\u00eb maj t\u00eb vitit 2025, dhe kulmuan n\u00eb korrik, ku brenda nj\u00eb muaji u blen\u00eb thuajse 236 milion\u00eb euro t\u00eb blera me q\u00ebllim t\u00eb deklaruar \u201cp\u00ebr frenimin e forcimit t\u00eb m\u00ebtejsh\u00ebm t\u00eb kursit t\u00eb k\u00ebmbimit\u201d.<\/p>\n

Blerjet gjat\u00eb vitit 2025 vijuan \u00e7do muaj dhe arrit\u00ebn, n\u00eb total, 729.1 milion\u00eb euro. Krahas k\u00ebsaj blerjeje p\u00ebr efekt t\u00eb kursit t\u00eb k\u00ebmbimit, Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb vijoi blerjet e zakonshme p\u00ebr rritjen e rezerv\u00ebs valutore n\u00eb mas\u00ebn 297.9 milion\u00eb euro. Totali i blerjeve p\u00ebr t\u00eb dyja q\u00ebllimet arriti n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb n\u00eb 1 miliard\u00eb e 27 milion\u00eb.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb total, gjat\u00eb vitit 2024 u blen\u00eb 933 milion\u00eb euro p\u00ebr t\u00eb dyja arsyet, shif\u00ebr kjo q\u00eb u rrit n\u00eb 1.027 milion\u00eb m\u00eb 2025.<\/p>\n

Leku shqiptar e nisi vitin 2025 n\u00eb kuot\u00ebn 98.3 lek\u00eb p\u00ebr euro dhe e mbylli n\u00eb kuot\u00ebn 96.8 lek\u00eb p\u00ebr euro. Pavar\u00ebsisht blerjes s\u00eb nj\u00eb shume kaq t\u00eb madhe eurosh, leku s\u00ebrish p\u00ebsoi nj\u00eb forcim me 1.5%. Leku ka vijuar t\u00eb forcohet n\u00eb muajt e par\u00eb t\u00eb k\u00ebtij viti. Sot euro kushton 95.8 lek\u00eb, 1% m\u00eb lir\u00eb se sa n\u00eb fillim t\u00eb vitit.<\/p>\n

\u201cZhvler\u00ebsim i brendsh\u00ebm\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n

Nd\u00ebrhyrjet n\u00eb tregun valutor t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb u b\u00ebn\u00eb p\u00ebr shkak se leku \u00ebsht\u00eb forcuar n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb pabesueshme nga viti n\u00eb vit, q\u00eb nga viti 2018 e pas. Shum\u00eb besojn\u00eb se parat\u00eb e pista, t\u00eb fituara nga krimi i organizuar shqiptar, zakonish n\u00eb tregtin\u00eb nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare t\u00eb kokain\u00ebs, \u00ebsht\u00eb shkaku i pranis\u00eb shum\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb t\u00eb euros n\u00eb tregun shqiptar dhe rrjedhimisht, n\u00ebn\u00e7mimit t\u00eb saj kundrejt monedh\u00ebs komb\u00ebtare. Nga ana tjet\u00ebr, qeveria k\u00ebmb\u00ebngul se nuk jan\u00eb parat\u00eb e pista origjina e tepric\u00ebs s\u00eb euros n\u00eb vend, por suksesi ekonomik i vendit n\u00eb thithjen e turist\u00ebve t\u00eb huaj dhe t\u00eb investimeve t\u00eb huaja t\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdretja, pra jan\u00eb parat\u00eb e pastra dhe jo t\u00eb pista.<\/p>\n

Sido q\u00eb t\u00eb jen\u00eb, problemi p\u00ebr vendin mbetet i nj\u00ebjt\u00eb. Fenomeni i ekspozimit t\u00eb nj\u00eb vendi nga nj\u00eb fluks i lart\u00eb i papritur monetar, \u00ebsht\u00eb studiuar nga ekonomist\u00ebt q\u00eb prej dekadash p\u00ebr t\u00eb dal\u00eb n\u00eb konkluzionin se p\u00ebr nj\u00eb situat\u00eb t\u00eb till\u00eb nuk ka zgjidhje t\u00eb leht\u00eb dhe se pasojat ekonomike jan\u00eb zakonisht shum\u00eb negative.<\/p>\n

K\u00ebshtu, n\u00eb vitin 1982, duke marr\u00eb shembullin e kriz\u00ebs s\u00eb shkaktuar nga nj\u00eb fenomen i till\u00eb n\u00eb Holand\u00eb, Corden dhe Neary, dy ekonomist\u00eb, nj\u00ebri australian dhe tjetri irlandez, e analizuan problemin duke e ndar\u00eb ekonomin\u00eb n\u00eb tre kategori dhe duke ndjekur ecurin\u00eb e secil\u00ebs prej kategorive. N\u00eb kategorin\u00eb e par\u00eb u vendos\u00ebn sektor\u00ebt q\u00eb kan\u00eb sjell\u00eb bumin e eksporteve, n\u00eb kategorin\u00eb e dyt\u00eb u vendos\u00ebn sektor\u00ebt q\u00eb kan\u00eb p\u00ebrjetuar kriz\u00eb si pasoj\u00eb e forcimit t\u00eb monedh\u00ebs komb\u00ebtare dhe n\u00eb kategorin\u00eb e tret\u00eb u vendos\u00ebn sektor\u00ebt e mallrave dhe sh\u00ebrbimeve t\u00eb patregtueshme, pra ato q\u00eb prodhohen dhe konsumohen brenda vendit. Modeli n\u00eb fjal\u00eb tregon se t\u00eb ardhurat nga sektori me eksporte n\u00eb rritje konvertohen n\u00eb tepric\u00eb paraje n\u00eb dy sektor\u00ebt e tjer\u00eb, gj\u00eb q\u00eb do t\u00eb thot\u00eb inflacion dhe varf\u00ebrim.<\/p>\n

M\u00ebnyra se paraja e tep\u00ebrt nga sektori me eksporte transferohet te dy sektor\u00ebt e tjer\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb, ose n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb t\u00ebrthort\u00eb, p\u00ebrmes kursit t\u00eb k\u00ebmbimit dhe forcimit t\u00eb monedh\u00ebs vend\u00ebse, ose n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00ebn e padukshme dhe indirekte t\u00eb rritjes s\u00eb \u00e7mimeve n\u00eb rastet kur vendet p\u00ebrdorin kurs fiks k\u00ebmbimi ose, si n\u00eb rastin aktual t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb, kur banka qendrore nd\u00ebrhyn n\u00eb treg. K\u00ebsaj rrug\u00ebs s\u00eb dyt\u00eb, Fondi Monetar Nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar i referohet si \u201czhvler\u00ebsim i brendsh\u00ebm\u201d.<\/p>\n

Nj\u00eb shembull n\u00eb bot\u00eb p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb Holanda p\u00ebrmes\u00a0S\u00ebmundjes Holandeze. Nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr \u00ebsht\u00eb Kolumbia gjat\u00eb bumit t\u00eb kafes\u00eb. Nga viti 1975, \u00e7mimi i kafes\u00eb n\u00eb tregun nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar u rrit me shpejt\u00ebsi dhe Kolumbia p\u00ebrjetoi nj\u00eb bum n\u00eb t\u00eb ardhurat valutore, bum q\u00eb shkaktoi forcim t\u00eb monedh\u00ebs vend\u00ebse, forcim q\u00eb nga ana e vet shkaktoi ngadal\u00ebsim ose r\u00ebnie n\u00eb disa sektor\u00eb tradicional\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm si tekstilet. Nd\u00ebrmjet t\u00eb dyjave, pra r\u00ebnies s\u00eb eksporteve tradicionale dhe rritjes s\u00eb eksporteve \u201ct\u00eb reja\u201d, sektori i nd\u00ebrtimit p\u00ebsoi bum bashk\u00eb me \u201csh\u00ebrbimet qeveritare.\u201d<\/p>\n

Situata aktuale shqiptare ngjan, n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb kuptim, si kronik\u00eb e nj\u00eb krize t\u00eb paralajm\u00ebruar. Leku \u00ebsht\u00eb forcuar nga viti 2018 dhe sektori i bujq\u00ebsis\u00eb, sipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave zyrtare t\u00eb Institutit t\u00eb Statistikave, ka p\u00ebsuar r\u00ebnie t\u00eb pand\u00ebrprer\u00eb n\u00eb prodhim q\u00eb nga tremujori i tret\u00eb i vitit 2020. Sektori i industris\u00eb n\u00eb t\u00ebr\u00ebsi ka p\u00ebsuar r\u00ebnie q\u00eb nga tremujori i kat\u00ebrt i vitit 2023. Industria p\u00ebrfshin nj\u00ebkoh\u00ebsisht industrin\u00eb e r\u00ebnd\u00eb, si energjia elektrike apo nafta, prodhimi i t\u00eb cil\u00ebs nuk varet drejtp\u00ebrs\u00ebdrejti nga kursi i k\u00ebmbimit si dhe sektorin e manifaktur\u00ebs, i cili n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsohet n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb tipike nga veshjet dhe k\u00ebpuc\u00ebt. Sipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave t\u00eb INSTAT, sektori i manifaktur\u00ebs ka p\u00ebsuar tkurrje t\u00eb vazhdueshme n\u00eb aktivitet q\u00eb nga tremujori i dyt\u00eb i vitit 2023. P\u00ebrkund\u00ebr k\u00ebsaj, nd\u00ebrtimi dhe administrata publike ka vijuar t\u00eb jet\u00eb n\u00eb rritje.<\/p>\n

Kriza pas der\u00ebs?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Blerjet e Bank\u00ebs s\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb n\u00eb tregun valutor jan\u00eb n\u00eb nivelin e 3.8% t\u00eb Prodhimit t\u00eb Brendsh\u00ebm Bruto gjat\u00eb vitit t\u00eb kaluar. Nj\u00eb nd\u00ebrprerje e k\u00ebtyre prurjeve valutore, si\u00e7 ka gjasa t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb nga p\u00ebrballja me realitetin n\u00eb sektorin e nd\u00ebrtimit, fryrja e s\u00eb cilit gjat\u00eb viteve t\u00eb fundit nuk parashikon dot asgj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr ve\u00e7 flusk\u00eb dhe shfryrje t\u00eb pritshme, vendi do t\u00eb mbetet pa t\u00eb ardhurat n\u00eb valut\u00eb dhe n\u00eb pamund\u00ebsi p\u00ebr t\u00eb rekuperuar prodhimin n\u00eb sektor\u00ebt q\u00eb kan\u00eb p\u00ebsuar r\u00ebnie. P\u00ebr shembull, sektori fason q\u00eb ka vuajtur m\u00eb shum\u00eb r\u00ebnien e konkurrueshm\u00ebris\u00eb n\u00eb tregun nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar si pasoj\u00eb e forcimit t\u00eb lekut, nuk do ta ket\u00eb t\u00eb leht\u00eb q\u00eb t\u00eb nis\u00eb nga e para me shtimin e forc\u00ebs s\u00eb pun\u00ebs p\u00ebr shkak se pun\u00ebtor\u00ebt kan\u00eb l\u00ebvizur gjetk\u00eb nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb. Bujq\u00ebsia, problemet e s\u00eb cil\u00ebs nuk lidhen thjesht\u00eb me humbjen e konkurrueshm\u00ebris\u00eb por jan\u00eb probleme m\u00eb t\u00eb thella strukturore t\u00eb lidhura me qeverisjen, t\u00eb tilla si titujt e pron\u00ebsis\u00eb apo infrastruktura primare, ka gjasa do ta ket\u00eb edhe m\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb ringritjen. Qeveria, e cila ka shtuar forc\u00ebn pun\u00ebtore n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb pabesueshme bashk\u00eb me pagat, do t\u00eb duhet t\u00eb axhustoj\u00eb financat e veta.\/BIRN<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

6 Prill 2026 Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb bleu shifr\u00ebn astronomike t\u00eb 1 miliard\u00eb e 27 milion\u00eb eurove n\u00eb tregun valutor gjat\u00eb vitit 2025, nj\u00eb shif\u00ebr kjo e barabart\u00eb me 3.8% t\u00eb Prodhimit t\u00eb Brendsh\u00ebm Bruto dhe nj\u00eb e till\u00eb, e cila, sipas teoris\u00eb kryesore ekonomike t\u00eb k\u00ebsaj situate, duhet t\u00eb ket\u00eb shkaktuar \u201czhvler\u00ebsim t\u00eb brendsh\u00ebm\u201d t\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":99149,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[27,1,2,35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-99148","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blogu-i-udhetarit","category-njoftime-shtypi","category-politika","category-shoqerore"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/640-0-32292cbc637ad715938542d84fd1f715.jpg?fit=640%2C411&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5Z6wp-pNa","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":102030,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/cfare-mund-te-ndodhe-me-ekonomine-e-vendit-ne-rast-se-lumi-i-pashtershem-i-parave-te-droges-nderpritet\/","url_meta":{"origin":99148,"position":0},"title":"\u00c7far\u00eb mund t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb me ekonomin\u00eb e vendit n\u00eb rast se lumi i pashtersh\u00ebm i parave t\u00eb drog\u00ebs nd\u00ebrpritet","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"June 30, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"30 Qershor 2025 Nga Gjergj Erebara P\u00ebr aq koh\u00eb sa Edi Rama ka qen\u00eb n\u00eb pushtet, e madje edhe m\u00eb her\u00ebt, flitet q\u00eb parat\u00eb e pista kan\u00eb qen\u00eb t\u00eb pranishme n\u00eb shkall\u00eb t\u00eb madhe dhe kan\u00eb ndikuar ekonomin\u00eb e vendit n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb sistemike. 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