{"id":93327,"date":"2025-08-29T00:20:35","date_gmt":"2025-08-29T00:20:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/?p=93327"},"modified":"2025-08-29T00:20:35","modified_gmt":"2025-08-29T00:20:35","slug":"kercenimi-i-padukshem-rrjedha-oqeanike-qe-ngroh-europen-mund-te-shembet-rreziku-eshte-me-i-larte-se-mendohej","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/kercenimi-i-padukshem-rrjedha-oqeanike-qe-ngroh-europen-mund-te-shembet-rreziku-eshte-me-i-larte-se-mendohej\/","title":{"rendered":"K\u00ebrc\u00ebnimi i paduksh\u00ebm! Rrjedha oqeanike q\u00eb ngroh Europ\u00ebn mund t\u00eb shembet, rreziku \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb i lart\u00eb se mendohej"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/p>\n

29 Gusht 2025<\/p>\n

Nj\u00eb nga shtyllat m\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme t\u00eb sistemit klimatik t\u00eb Tok\u00ebs, rrjedha oqeanike Atlantike e njohur si Amoc (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation), mund t\u00eb shembet dhe rreziku i ndodhjes s\u00eb k\u00ebsaj ngjarjeje katastrofike \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb i madh se sa besohej m\u00eb par\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Sipas nj\u00eb studimi t\u00eb ri shkencor t\u00eb botuar n\u00eb revist\u00ebn Environmental Research Letters, tashm\u00eb nuk mund t\u00eb konsiderohet nj\u00eb skenar me probabilitet t\u00eb ul\u00ebt.<\/p>\n

Analiza e re, q\u00eb shtrihet p\u00ebrtej vitit 2100 dhe deri n\u00eb vitet 2300\u20132500, tregon se pik\u00eb-kthesa q\u00eb e b\u00ebn shembjen t\u00eb pashmangshme mund t\u00eb arrihet brenda 10 deri n\u00eb 20 viteve t\u00eb ardhshme\u00a0edhe pse shembja e plot\u00eb mund t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb dekada m\u00eb von\u00eb.<\/p>\n

\u00c7far\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb Amoc dhe pse \u00ebsht\u00eb kaq e r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Amoc \u00ebsht\u00eb sistemi q\u00eb sjell uj\u00eb t\u00eb ngroht\u00eb nga tropik\u00ebt drejt Evrop\u00ebs dhe Arktikut, ku uji ftohet, b\u00ebhet m\u00eb i dendur dhe fundoset, duke krijuar nj\u00eb qarkullim t\u00eb thell\u00eb q\u00eb ndihmon n\u00eb stabilizimin e klim\u00ebs globale.<\/p>\n

Ky mekaniz\u00ebm mban klim\u00ebn e Evrop\u00ebs per\u00ebndimore t\u00eb but\u00eb dhe t\u00eb q\u00ebndrueshme. Por me ngrohjen globale dhe shkrirjen e akullnajave, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht n\u00eb Groenland\u00eb, uji i \u00ebmb\u00ebl po hollohet n\u00eb sip\u00ebrfaqe, duke ndaluar fundosjen e uj\u00ebrave t\u00eb kripura dhe t\u00eb ftohta \u2013 dhe k\u00ebshtu, po ngadal\u00ebson sistemin.<\/p>\n

Sa serioz \u00ebsht\u00eb rreziku?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Skenar\u00ebt e rinj jan\u00eb shqet\u00ebsues:<\/p>\n

N\u00ebse emisionet e karbonit vazhdojn\u00eb t\u00eb rriten, 70% e modeleve tregojn\u00eb shembje t\u00eb Amoc.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb skenarin me emisione t\u00eb mesme, kjo ndodh n\u00eb 37% t\u00eb modeleve.<\/p>\n

Edhe n\u00eb skenarin optimist, n\u00eb p\u00ebrputhje me Marr\u00ebveshjen e Parisit, 25% e tyre tregojn\u00eb shembje.<\/p>\n

Profesor Stefan Rahmstorf nga Instituti Potsdam p\u00ebr K\u00ebrkime mbi Ndikimin e Klim\u00ebs tha:\u00a0\u201cK\u00ebto rezultate jan\u00eb trondit\u00ebse. M\u00eb par\u00eb mendoja se kishte m\u00eb pak se 10% mund\u00ebsi p\u00ebr shembje. Tani, edhe me skenarin m\u00eb t\u00eb mir\u00eb, duket se rreziku \u00ebsht\u00eb rreth 25%.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u00c7far\u00eb ndodh n\u00ebse Amoc shembet?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Nj\u00eb shembje do t\u00eb sillte pasoja t\u00eb r\u00ebnda globale:<\/p>\n

Evropa Per\u00ebndimore do p\u00ebrjetonte dimra ekstremisht t\u00eb ftoht\u00eb dhe that\u00ebsira verore.<\/p>\n

Shirat tropikal\u00eb do zhvendoseshin, duke k\u00ebrc\u00ebnuar miliona fermer\u00eb n\u00eb vendet n\u00eb zhvillim.<\/p>\n

Niveli i detit do t\u00eb rritej me 50 cm shtes\u00eb n\u00eb brigjet e SHBA-s\u00eb dhe Evrop\u00ebs.<\/p>\n

Profesor Sybren Drijfhout nga Instituti Meteorologjik Holandez theksoi:\u00a0\u201cEdhe n\u00eb skenar\u00ebt e emisioneve t\u00eb ul\u00ebta ose t\u00eb mesme, Amoc ngadal\u00ebsohet shum\u00eb deri n\u00eb vitin 2100 \u2013 dhe m\u00eb pas mund t\u00eb ndalet krejt\u00ebsisht.\u201d<\/p>\n

A ka shpres\u00eb?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Po \u2013 por koha \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb e kufizuar. Autor\u00ebt e studimit thon\u00eb se kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb alarm i fundit p\u00ebr t\u00eb ulur urgjentisht emetimet e karbonit dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb frenuar ngrohjen globale.<\/p>\n

Edhe pse disa shkenc\u00ebtar\u00eb thon\u00eb se jan\u00eb ende t\u00eb paqarta koh\u00ebt ekzakte p\u00ebr kolapsin, nj\u00eb gj\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb e qart\u00eb: oqeani po ndryshon, dhe rreziku nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb \u201cteorik\u201d.<\/p>\n

\u201cE ardhmja e qarkullimit Atlantik \u00ebsht\u00eb ende n\u00eb duart tona,\u201d\u00a0\u2013 p\u00ebrfundon studimi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

29 Gusht 2025 Nj\u00eb nga shtyllat m\u00eb t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsishme t\u00eb sistemit klimatik t\u00eb Tok\u00ebs, rrjedha oqeanike Atlantike e njohur si Amoc (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation), mund t\u00eb shembet dhe rreziku i ndodhjes s\u00eb k\u00ebsaj ngjarjeje katastrofike \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb i madh se sa besohej m\u00eb par\u00eb. Sipas nj\u00eb studimi t\u00eb ri shkencor t\u00eb botuar n\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":93328,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[27,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-93327","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blogu-i-udhetarit","category-njoftime-shtypi"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/auto_3333_sd1756396430.jpg?fit=900%2C506&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5Z6wp-ohh","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":100136,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/rreziku-nga-hantavirusi-vendet-qe-u-alarmuan-kishin-shtetasit-e-tyre-ne-anijen-turistike-epidemiologu-jo-vetem-minjte-mbartes-jane-edhe\/","url_meta":{"origin":93327,"position":0},"title":"Rreziku nga hantavirusi? \u201cVendet q\u00eb u alarmuan kishin shtetasit e tyre n\u00eb anijen turistike\u201d, epidemiologu: – Jo vet\u00ebm minjt\u00eb, mbart\u00ebs jan\u00eb edhe\u2026","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"May 12, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"12 Maji 2026 ...Kemi edhe mbart\u00ebs t\u00eb rinj, n\u00ebse deri dje kryesor ishin minjt\u00eb, tashm\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb v\u00ebn\u00eb re q\u00eb bart\u00ebs t\u00eb hantavirusit, jan\u00eb edhe lakuriq\u00ebt e nat\u00ebs, edhe urith\u00ebt por edhe n\u00eb disa raste peshqit\u2026\u201d Epidemiolog Laidon Shapo foli n\u00eb emisionin \u201cStudio24\u201d \u00a0p\u00ebr hantavirusin dhe shqet\u00ebsimet q\u00eb ka ngritur ky\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Njoftime Shtypi"","block_context":{"text":"Njoftime Shtypi","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/njoftime-shtypi\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/hantavirus.jpg?fit=1200%2C674&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/hantavirus.jpg?fit=1200%2C674&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/hantavirus.jpg?fit=1200%2C674&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/hantavirus.jpg?fit=1200%2C674&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/hantavirus.jpg?fit=1200%2C674&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":100987,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/nese-flamingot-do-te-mund-te-votonin-cfare-do-te-thoshin-per-narten\/","url_meta":{"origin":93327,"position":1},"title":"N\u00ebse flamingot do t\u00eb mund t\u00eb votonin: \u00e7far\u00eb do t\u00eb thoshin p\u00ebr Nart\u00ebn?","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"June 3, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"3 Qershor 2026 Elvis \u00c7ela - Ambjentalist N\u00ebse flamingot do t\u00eb kishin t\u00eb drejt\u00ebn e vot\u00ebs, ato nuk do t\u00eb k\u00ebrkonin rrug\u00eb, resorte apo projekte zhvillimi. Nuk do t\u00eb flisnin p\u00ebr investime, statistika ekonomike apo premtime elektorale. Vota e tyre do t\u00eb ishte shum\u00eb m\u00eb e thjesht\u00eb: uj\u00eb t\u00eb past\u00ebr,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit"","block_context":{"text":"Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/blogu-i-udhetarit\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/b.jpg?fit=959%2C638&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/b.jpg?fit=959%2C638&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/b.jpg?fit=959%2C638&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/b.jpg?fit=959%2C638&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":100706,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/alarmi-global-per-super-el-nino-sa-eshte-rreziku-i-nderprerjes-se-internetit-ne-mbare-boten\/","url_meta":{"origin":93327,"position":2},"title":"Alarmi global p\u00ebr Super El Ni\u00f1o! Sa \u00ebsht\u00eb rreziku i nd\u00ebrprerjes s\u00eb internetit n\u00eb mbar\u00eb bot\u00ebn","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"May 27, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"27 Maji 2026 Shkenc\u00ebtar\u00ebt dhe meteorolog\u00ebt po ndjekin me shqet\u00ebsim nj\u00eb zhvillim t\u00eb mundsh\u00ebm klimatik t\u00eb quajtur \u201cSuper El Ni\u00f1o\u201d, p\u00ebr t\u00eb cilin Administrata Komb\u00ebtare Oqeanike dhe Atmosferike e SHBA-s\u00eb (NOAA) ka paralajm\u00ebruar se mund t\u00eb shfaqet n\u00eb korrik t\u00eb k\u00ebtij viti. Fenomeni El Ni\u00f1o lidhet me ngrohjen anormale t\u00eb\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Njoftime Shtypi"","block_context":{"text":"Njoftime Shtypi","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/njoftime-shtypi\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/640-0-e9690afc90d047573a339367160e2c6b.jpg?fit=640%2C384&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/640-0-e9690afc90d047573a339367160e2c6b.jpg?fit=640%2C384&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/640-0-e9690afc90d047573a339367160e2c6b.jpg?fit=640%2C384&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":100336,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/kanabisi-rrezik-per-infarkte\/","url_meta":{"origin":93327,"position":3},"title":"Kanabisi rrezik p\u00ebr infarkte","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"May 16, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"16 Maji 2026 Kardiolog\u00ebt ngren\u00eb alarmin p\u00ebr rrezikun nga infarktet p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb p\u00ebrdorimit t\u00eb substancave narkotike. 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