{"id":84760,"date":"2024-09-20T10:56:18","date_gmt":"2024-09-20T10:56:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/?p=84760"},"modified":"2024-09-20T10:56:18","modified_gmt":"2024-09-20T10:56:18","slug":"si-po-ndikojne-ndryshimet-klimatike-ne-permbytjet-globale-a-do-te-perkeqesot-situata-me-rritjen-e-temperaturave-globale","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/si-po-ndikojne-ndryshimet-klimatike-ne-permbytjet-globale-a-do-te-perkeqesot-situata-me-rritjen-e-temperaturave-globale\/","title":{"rendered":"Si po ndikojn\u00eb ndryshimet klimatike n\u00eb p\u00ebrmbytjet globale? – A do t\u00eb p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsot situata me rritjen e temperaturave globale"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/p>\n

20 Shtator 2024<\/strong><\/p>\n

Europa Qendrore e Lindore p\u00ebrballet me p\u00ebrmbytje t\u00eb m\u00ebdha. Gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb shtrohet pyetja, se \u00e7far\u00eb roli luan ndryshimi klimatik n\u00eb reshjet ekstreme? Do t\u00eb p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsohen p\u00ebrmbytjet me rritjen e temperaturave globale?<\/strong><\/p>\n

P\u00ebrmbytjet e m\u00ebdha n\u00eb Europ\u00ebn Qendrore e Lindore kan\u00eb detyruar dhjet\u00ebra mij\u00ebra t\u00eb largohen nga sht\u00ebpit\u00eb e tyre pasi rajone t\u00eb gjera t\u00eb Austris\u00eb, Republik\u00ebs \u00c7eke, Polonis\u00eb dhe Rumunis\u00eb u godit\u00ebn nga reshjet e dendura prej disa dit\u00ebsh.<\/p>\n

K\u00ebto\u00a0p\u00ebrmbytje\u00a0jan\u00eb t\u00eb fundit n\u00eb nj\u00eb seri\u00a0p\u00ebrmbytjesh ekstreme t\u00eb k\u00ebtij viti. Mij\u00ebra u detyruan t\u00eb evakuohen n\u00eb Gjermanin\u00eb jugore\u00a0gjat\u00eb k\u00ebsaj vere. M\u00eb tej:\u00a0Emiratet e Bashkuara Arabe dhe Omani p\u00ebrjetuan reshjet m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha q\u00eb nga fillimi i matjeve. P\u00ebrmbytjet n\u00eb Kenia mor\u00ebn shum\u00eb jet\u00eb dhe shkaktuan edhe rr\u00ebshqitje dheu. N\u00eb Brazil, p\u00ebrmbytjet nj\u00eb zona\u00a0me madh\u00ebsi sa Mbret\u00ebria e Bashkuar\u00a0zhvendos\u00ebn mbi gjysm\u00eb milioni njer\u00ebz.<\/p>\n

P\u00ebrmbytjet bregdetare kryesisht ndodhin nga er\u00ebrat dhe baticat e larta. N\u00eb an\u00ebn tjet\u00ebr lumenjt\u00eb, uj\u00ebrat n\u00ebntok\u00ebsor\u00eb\u00a0dhe p\u00ebrmbytjet e shpejta jan\u00eb t\u00eb lidhura direkt me reshjet e m\u00ebdha. Rritja e temperaturave globale, e shkaktuar nga djegia e l\u00ebnd\u00ebve fosile, po i b\u00ebn reshjet m\u00eb t\u00eb shpeshta dhe t\u00eb r\u00ebnda n\u00eb shumic\u00ebn e pjes\u00ebve t\u00eb bot\u00ebs.<\/p>\n

Pse ndodhin p\u00ebrmbytjet\u00a0ekstreme?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Analizimi i trendeve t\u00eb reshjeve\u00a0\u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb proces\u00a0kompleks, por ai ka nj\u00eb parim t\u00eb qart\u00eb fizik: ajri i ngroht\u00eb mban m\u00eb shum\u00eb lag\u00ebshti.<\/p>\n

Gazrat nga efekti ser\u00eb n\u00eb atmosfer\u00eb veprojn\u00eb si nj\u00eb lloj\u00eb mbuloje\u00a0n\u00eb tok\u00eb, duke bllokuar nxeht\u00ebsin\u00eb dhe duke shkaktuar rritjen e temperaturave. Kjo \u00e7on n\u00eb nj\u00eb avullim m\u00eb t\u00eb shpejt\u00eb t\u00eb ujit n\u00eb tok\u00eb dhe n\u00eb det, q\u00eb do t\u00eb thot\u00eb se kur bie shi, n\u00eb atmosfer\u00eb do t\u00eb ket\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb uj\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb l\u00ebshuar. Dhe kur nj\u00eb sasi e madhe e shiut bie n\u00eb tok\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb koh\u00eb t\u00eb shkurt\u00ebr, kjo mund t\u00eb krijoj\u00eb p\u00ebrmbytje. Kapaciteti i ajrit p\u00ebr t\u00eb mbajtur lag\u00ebshtin\u00eb rritet me 7% p\u00ebr \u00e7do grad\u00eb Celsius. Q\u00eb nga epoka para-industriale, temperaturat globale t\u00eb ajrit jan\u00eb rritur p\u00ebr rreth 1.3 grad\u00eb Celsius.<\/p>\n

Rritja e temperatures gjithashtu b\u00ebn q\u00eb reshjet t\u00eb bien m\u00eb shum\u00eb si shi n\u00eb vend t\u00eb bor\u00ebs, gj\u00eb q\u00eb mund t\u2019i b\u00ebj\u00eb rajonet me lart\u00ebsi m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb mbidetare t\u00eb ndjeshme ndaj p\u00ebrmbytjeve dhe rr\u00ebshqitjeve t\u00eb dheut. Nj\u00eb studim i vitit 2022, i botuar n\u00eb revist\u00ebn shkencore\u00a0Nature<\/em>\u00a0zbuloi se n\u00eb pjes\u00ebt me bor\u00eb n\u00eb hemisfer\u00ebn veriore, reshjet ekstreme u rrit\u00ebn me nj\u00eb mesatare prej 15% pas\u00a01 grad\u00eb Celsius t\u00eb ngrohjes.<\/p>\n

Si po ndikojn\u00eb ndryshimet klimatike n\u00eb reshjet globale?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ndryshimet klimatike po ndikojn\u00eb n\u00eb shpesht\u00ebsin\u00eb e reshjeve t\u00eb m\u00ebdha gjat\u00eb stuhive p\u00ebrmes ndikimit t\u00eb tyre n\u00eb trendet komplekse atmosferike dhe t\u00eb motit. N\u00eb nivel global, me nj\u00eb rritje t\u00eb temperatures prej 1.5 grad\u00eb, t\u00eb cil\u00ebn bota \u00ebsht\u00eb gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb pran\u00eb\u00a0ta arrij\u00eb, reshjet e dendura q\u00eb do t\u00eb kishin qen\u00eb ngjarje 10-vje\u00e7are do t\u00eb ndodhin 1.5 her\u00eb n\u00eb cdo dekad\u00eb dhe do t\u00eb jen\u00eb mbi 10% me m\u00eb shum\u00eb lag\u00ebshti, sipas Panelit Nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar p\u00ebr Ndryshime Klimatike n\u00eb kuad\u00ebr t\u00eb OKB-s\u00eb (IPCC).<\/p>\n

Vitin e kaluar, Europa ishte rreth 7% m\u00eb shum\u00eb shira se normalja, shumica\u00a0e kontinentit p\u00ebrjetoi kushte me m\u00eb shum\u00eb lag\u00ebshti se mesatarja. Reshjet e m\u00ebdha ose rekord shkaktuan p\u00ebrmbytje n\u00eb Itali, Novergji, Suedi dhe Slloveni.<\/p>\n

P\u00ebrparimet n\u00eb shkenc\u00eb\u00a0p\u00ebrcaktimit t\u00eb trendeve po i lejojn\u00eb ekspert\u00ebt ta\u00a0p\u00ebrcaktojn\u00eb m\u00eb sakt\u00eb lidhjen shkak\u00ebsore midis ndryshimeve klimatike dhe ngjarjeve ekstreme t\u00eb motit. Sipas nj\u00eb vler\u00ebsimi, mesatarisht, 1 n\u00eb 4 reshje ekstreme n\u00eb dekad\u00ebn e fundit mund t\u2019i atribuohen ndryshimeve klimatike. Nd\u00ebrsa nuk ka ende studime t\u00eb fundit p\u00ebr p\u00ebrmbytjet e fundit gjermane, reshjet e dendura po b\u00ebhen gjithnj\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb shpeshta. Vitin e kaluar, reshjet mesatare ishin 20% m\u00eb t\u00eb larta se mesatarja p\u00ebr vitet 1991-2020.<\/p>\n

Edhe p\u00ebrmbytjet e vitit 2011 q\u00eb shkat\u00ebrruan pjes\u00eb\u00a0per\u00ebndimore t\u00eb Gjermanis\u00eb, si dhe Belgjik\u00ebn dhe Holand\u00ebn, kan\u00eb q\u00ebn\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdrejt t\u00eb lidhura me ndryshimet klimatike. Sipas shkenc\u00ebtar\u00ebve nga World Weather Attribution, nj\u00eb institut akademik nga Mbret\u00ebria e Bashkuar, ndryshimi klimatik i ka b\u00ebr\u00eb\u00a0reshjet n\u00eb mes t\u00eb 3% dhe 19% m\u00eb t\u00eb forta, dhe 1.2 deri n\u00eb n\u00ebnt\u00eb here m\u00eb t\u00eb shpeshta. Koh\u00ebt e fundit, p\u00ebrmbytjet n\u00eb Bazil n\u00eb prill dhe n\u00eb maj besohen t\u00eb jen\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb dy here m\u00eb t\u00eb shpeshta dhe 9% m\u00eb t\u00eb forta p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb djegies s\u00eb l\u00ebnd\u00ebve fosile.<\/p>\n

Sa jan\u00eb njer\u00ebzit t\u00eb prekur nga p\u00ebrmbytjejt dhe ku jetojn\u00eb ata?<\/strong><\/p>\n

P\u00ebrmbytjet, nd\u00ebr fatkeq\u00ebsit\u00eb natyrore m\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrhapura jan\u00eb shpesh shkat\u00ebrruese. K\u00ebto mund t\u00eb marrin jet\u00eb njer\u00ebzish, kafsh\u00ebsh, t\u00eb d\u00ebmtojn\u00eb infrastruktur\u00ebn kritike dhe tok\u00ebn pjellore, duke l\u00ebn\u00eb pas nj\u00eb d\u00ebm ekonomik t\u00eb jasht\u00ebzakonsh\u00ebm.<\/p>\n

Q\u00eb nga viti 2000, p\u00ebrqinjda e njer\u00ebzve t\u00eb ekspozuar ndaj p\u00ebrmbytjeve vler\u00ebsohet t\u00eb jet\u00eb rritur p\u00ebr 24%<\/p>\n

Sot, 1.8 miliard\u00eb njer\u00ebz \u2013 pak m\u00eb pak se nj\u00eb e kat\u00ebrta e popull\u00ebsis\u00eb globale \u2013 jan\u00eb t\u00eb ekspozuar drejtp\u00ebrdrejt ndaj p\u00ebrmbytjeve \u201cnj\u00eb n\u00eb 100 vjet\u201c, nj\u00eb term i p\u00ebrdorur p\u00ebr t\u00eb p\u00ebrshkruar nj\u00eb p\u00ebrmbytje q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb aq e r\u00ebnd\u00eb sa ndodh\u00eb vet\u00ebm nj\u00eb her\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb shekull.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb Europ\u00eb, Gjermania ka numrin m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb t\u00eb njer\u00ebzve t\u00eb rrezikuar nga p\u00ebrmbytjet, e ndjekur nga Franca\u00a0dhe Holanda. N\u00eb vitin 2023, nj\u00eb e treta e rrjetit t\u00eb lumenjve t\u00eb kontientit pat\u00ebn rritje drejt p\u00ebrmbytjeve t\u00eb larta, dhe 16% tejkalonin nivelet ekstreme. Nivelet e dhjetorit ishin m\u00eb t\u00eb lartat, me rritje ekstreme n\u00eb nj\u00eb t\u00eb kat\u00ebrt\u00ebn e lumenjve t\u00eb kontinentit.<\/p>\n

Nd\u00ebrsa p\u00ebrmbytjet jan\u00eb nj\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnim global, disa rajone jan\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb prekura se t\u00eb tjerat. Rreth 89% e njer\u00ebzve t\u00eb ekspozuar ndaj rrezikut t\u00eb lart\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrmbytjeve jetojn\u00eb n\u00eb vende me t\u00eb ardhura t\u00eb ul\u00ebta dhe t\u00eb mesme. Shumica jetojn\u00eb n\u00eb Azin\u00eb Jugore dhe Lindore, me 395 milion\u00eb njer\u00ebz t\u00eb ekspozuar n\u00eb Kin\u00eb dhe 190 milion\u00eb n\u00eb Indi.<\/p>\n

Sipas nj\u00eb studimi, numri i njer\u00ebzve q\u00eb jetojn\u00eb n\u00eb zona me rrezik t\u00eb lart\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrmbytjeve \u00ebsht\u00eb rritur p\u00ebr 122% q\u00eb nga viti 1985. Kjo prirje besohet t\u00eb jet\u00eb nxitur nga urbanizimi i shpejt\u00eb, specifikisht n\u00eb vendet me t\u00eb ardhura t\u00eb ul\u00ebta dhe t\u00eb mesme, n\u00eb qytetet e vendosura pran\u00eb rrug\u00ebve ujore.<\/p>\n

A do t\u00eb shtohen p\u00ebrmbytjet n\u00eb t\u00eb ardhmen?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Shkenca na thot\u00eb q\u00eb rreziku p\u00ebr p\u00ebrmbytje t\u00eb nivelit ekstrem do t\u00eb vazhdoj\u00eb t\u00eb rritet n\u00ebse bota nuk arrin t\u00eb kufizoj\u00eb ngrohjen globale.<\/p>\n

Sipas IPCC-s\u00eb, n\u00eb 2 grad\u00eb Celsius t\u00eb ngrohjes mbi nivelet para-industriale, do t\u00eb ket\u00eb rritje me 14% t\u00eb lag\u00ebshtis\u00eb. Dhe n\u00ebse temperaturat globale rriten n\u00eb\u00a04 grad\u00eb, reshjet e dendura q\u00eb bien nj\u00eb her\u00eb n\u00eb dekad\u00eb mund t\u00eb bien pothuajse tre her\u00eb\u00a0m\u00eb shpesh dhe do\u00a0t\u00eb ket\u00eb 30% m\u00eb shum\u00eb shi.<\/p>\n

Sipas p\u00ebrllogaritjeve t\u00eb Qendr\u00ebs s\u00eb P\u00ebrbashk\u00ebt t\u00eb Hulumtimit, sh\u00ebrbimi i shkenc\u00ebs dhe i njohurive brenda Komisionit Europian, tha se p\u00ebrmbytjet mund t\u00eb sjellin 48 miliard\u00eb euro d\u00ebme n\u00eb vit dhe trefishon numrin e europian\u00ebve t\u00eb ekspozuar ndaj p\u00ebrmbytjeve, n\u00ebse temperaturat rriten me\u00a03 grad\u00eb Celsius deri n\u00eb vitin 2100.\/DW<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

20 Shtator 2024 Europa Qendrore e Lindore p\u00ebrballet me p\u00ebrmbytje t\u00eb m\u00ebdha. Gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb shtrohet pyetja, se \u00e7far\u00eb roli luan ndryshimi klimatik n\u00eb reshjet ekstreme? Do t\u00eb p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsohen p\u00ebrmbytjet me rritjen e temperaturave globale? P\u00ebrmbytjet e m\u00ebdha n\u00eb Europ\u00ebn Qendrore e Lindore kan\u00eb detyruar dhjet\u00ebra mij\u00ebra t\u00eb largohen nga sht\u00ebpit\u00eb e tyre pasi […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":84761,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[27,1,35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-84760","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blogu-i-udhetarit","category-njoftime-shtypi","category-shoqerore"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/09\/permbytje3.jpg?fit=1078%2C597&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5Z6wp-m36","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":96155,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/spanja-ne-kaos-nga-permbytjet-reshjet-e-dendura-te-shiut-izolojne-qytetaret-ne-shtepi-alarm-i-kuq-per-perkeqesimin-e-situates\/","url_meta":{"origin":84760,"position":0},"title":"Spanja n\u00eb kaos nga p\u00ebrmbytjet\/ Reshjet e dendura t\u00eb shiut izolojn\u00eb qytetar\u00ebt n\u00eb sht\u00ebpi, alarm i kuq p\u00ebr p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsimin e situat\u00ebs","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"December 28, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"28 Dhjetor 2025 Nj\u00eb paralajm\u00ebrim i kuq p\u00ebr \u201crrezik ekstrem\u201d \u00ebsht\u00eb l\u00ebshuar p\u00ebr disa zona t\u00eb njohura turistike n\u00eb Spanj\u00eb, nd\u00ebrsa nj\u00eb stuhi e fuqishme ka goditur rajonin e Costa del Sol, duke shkaktuar p\u00ebrmbytje t\u00eb r\u00ebnda dhe kaos. 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