![\"\"](\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/d0af5b77cff9d39a20cb8bdc2cf9f1da_XL.jpg?resize=745%2C457&ssl=1\")
<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
20 Tetor 2023<\/p>\n
Rritjet e m\u00ebtejshme t\u00eb \u00e7mimeve t\u00eb ushqimeve dhe energjis\u00eb shihen si nj\u00eb rrezik i r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm p\u00ebr rritjen ekonomike t\u00eb vendit dhe uljen e varf\u00ebris\u00eb n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri, lajm\u00ebroi sot Banka Bot\u00ebrore n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet raportit t\u00eb rregullt rajonal \u201cDrejt rritjes s\u00eb Q\u00ebndrueshme\u201d, n\u00eb t\u00eb cilin u vler\u00ebsuan si rreziqe potenciale p\u00ebr perspektiven e kontratat koncesionar\u00eb PPP dhe fatkeq\u00ebsit\u00eb natyrore.<\/p>\n
Banka analizoi se \u00e7mimet e larta ndikojn\u00eb negativisht n\u00eb t\u00eb ardhurat reale t\u00eb disponueshme dhe ngadal\u00ebsojn\u00eb uljen e varf\u00ebris\u00eb dhe potencialisht kufizojn\u00eb hap\u00ebsir\u00ebn fiskale.<\/p>\n
Si nj\u00eb ekonomi e vog\u00ebl dhe e hapur, Shqip\u00ebria \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb e ekspozuar ndaj goditjeve t\u00eb jashtme, si recesioni n\u00eb Europ\u00eb dhe shtr\u00ebngimi i m\u00ebtejsh\u00ebm i kushteve t\u00eb financimit n\u00eb tregjet nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare n\u00eb vitet n\u00eb vijim. Nd\u00ebrsa si rreziqe t\u00eb brendshme potenciale konsiderohen fatkeq\u00ebsit\u00eb natyrore, partneritetet publike-private dhe nd\u00ebrmarrjet shtet\u00ebrore, si dhe rreziqet fiskale q\u00eb rrjedhin nga nj\u00eb sektor energjetik i bazuar n\u00eb hidrocentrale, t\u00eb cilat varen kryesisht nga ndryshimet n\u00eb kushtet hidrologjike.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb kontekstin e shtr\u00ebngimit t\u00eb kushteve financiare n\u00eb tregjet nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare dhe rritjes s\u00eb kufizuar ekonomike n\u00eb Europ\u00eb, rritja e PBB-s\u00eb pritet t\u00eb ngadal\u00ebsohet n\u00eb 3.6 p\u00ebr qind n\u00eb vitin 2023. Megjithat\u00eb, rritja e sektor\u00ebve t\u00eb turizmit dhe nd\u00ebrtimit pritet t\u00eb nxis\u00eb eksportet, konsumin dhe rritjen e investimeve me ritme t\u00eb ngjashme me periudh\u00ebn para pandemis\u00eb, referoi BB, n\u00eb pjes\u00ebn p\u00ebr Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb. Kontributi i p\u00ebrgjithsh\u00ebm i investimeve n\u00eb rritjen ekonomike pritet t\u00eb ngadal\u00ebsohet, p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb efektit t\u00eb baz\u00ebs shum\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb krahasuese dhe p\u00ebrfundimit t\u00eb programeve p\u00ebr rind\u00ebrtimin pas t\u00ebrmetit.<\/p>\n
Norma e inflacionit parashikohet t\u00eb filloj\u00eb t\u00eb kthehet n\u00eb objektivin prej 3 p\u00ebr qind n\u00eb vitin 2024. Bilanci primar pritet t\u00eb arrij\u00eb n\u00eb 0.1 p\u00ebr qind t\u00eb PBB-s\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2023 dhe t\u00eb q\u00ebndroj\u00eb pozitiv n\u00eb p\u00ebrputhje me rregullin fiskal. N\u00eb an\u00ebn e shpenzimeve pritet konsolidim fiskal. P\u00ebr t\u00eb ardhurat, qeveria planifikon t\u00eb prezantoj\u00eb masa t\u00eb m\u00ebtejshme t\u00eb politik\u00ebs tatimore, si\u00e7 parashikohet n\u00eb Strategjin\u00eb Afatmesme p\u00ebr t\u00eb Ardhurat. Borxhi publik pritet t\u00eb vijoj\u00eb r\u00ebnien gjat\u00eb periudh\u00ebs afatmesme, si rezultat i rritjes m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb nominale dhe p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsimit gradual t\u00eb bilancit primar. Duke pasur parasysh var\u00ebsin\u00eb n\u00eb rritje t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb nga financimi i jasht\u00ebm, rreziqet q\u00eb lidhen me kursin e k\u00ebmbimit, norm\u00ebn e interesit dhe rifinancimin mbeten t\u00eb larta.<\/p>\n
Pozicioni fiskal i qeveris\u00eb u p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsua n\u00eb gjysm\u00ebn e par\u00eb t\u00eb vitit 2023. Qeveria sh\u00ebnoi nj\u00eb suficit t\u00eb lart\u00eb si rezultat i rritjes s\u00eb fort\u00eb t\u00eb t\u00eb ardhurave dhe shpenzimeve m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebta. T\u00eb ardhurat nga grantet dhan\u00eb kontributin m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb n\u00eb rritjen e totalit t\u00eb t\u00eb ardhurave (14.5 p\u00ebr qind n\u00eb terma vjetor\u00eb, p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb disbursimeve t\u00eb BE-s\u00eb), t\u00eb ndjekura nga t\u00eb ardhurat nga kontributet e sigurimeve shoq\u00ebrore dhe t\u00eb ardhurat nga tatimi mbi t\u00eb ardhurat personale, duke reflektuar rritjen e pag\u00ebs minimale t\u00eb detyrueshme.<\/p>\n
Rritja e shpenzimeve ishte relativisht e vog\u00ebl me 3.4 p\u00ebr qind (n\u00eb terma vjetor\u00eb), por ritmi i rritjes pritet t\u00eb p\u00ebrshpejtohet gjat\u00eb gjasht\u00ebmujorit t\u00eb dyt\u00eb t\u00eb vitit 2023 p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb rritjes s\u00eb shpenzimeve kapitale. Me nj\u00eb deficit t\u00eb parashikuar prej 2.5 p\u00ebr qind t\u00eb PBB-s\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2023, borxhi publik pritet t\u00eb arrij\u00eb n\u00eb 63.4 p\u00ebr qind t\u00eb PBBs\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2023, nga 65.1 p\u00ebr qind e PBBs\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2022.\/ Monitor<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
20 Tetor 2023 Rritjet e m\u00ebtejshme t\u00eb \u00e7mimeve t\u00eb ushqimeve dhe energjis\u00eb shihen si nj\u00eb rrezik i r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm p\u00ebr rritjen ekonomike t\u00eb vendit dhe uljen e varf\u00ebris\u00eb n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri, lajm\u00ebroi sot Banka Bot\u00ebrore n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet raportit t\u00eb rregullt rajonal \u201cDrejt rritjes s\u00eb Q\u00ebndrueshme\u201d, n\u00eb t\u00eb cilin u vler\u00ebsuan si rreziqe potenciale p\u00ebr perspektiven e kontratat koncesionar\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[27,1,2,35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-74889","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blogu-i-udhetarit","category-njoftime-shtypi","category-politika","category-shoqerore"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5Z6wp-jtT","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":88969,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/raporti-i-bankes-boterore-shqiperia-me-nivelin-me-te-madh-te-varferise-ne-rajon\/","url_meta":{"origin":74889,"position":0},"title":"Raporti i Bank\u00ebs Bot\u00ebrore: Shqip\u00ebria me nivelin m\u00eb t\u00eb madh t\u00eb varf\u00ebris\u00eb n\u00eb Rajon","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"February 4, 2025","format":false,"excerpt":"Nga: Gazeta Dita Banka Bot\u00ebrore p\u00ebrllogarit se n\u00eb vitin 2023, t\u00eb ardhurat p\u00ebr frym\u00eb n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri ishin 8,575 dollar\u00eb. T\u00eb ardhurat mesatare ditore p\u00ebr nj\u00eb person n\u00eb vendin ton\u00eb ishin 23.5 USD n\u00eb dit\u00eb, nj\u00eb vler\u00eb e p\u00ebraf\u00ebrt me standardin e prosperitetit 25 USD n\u00eb dit\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrcaktuar nga BB\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit"","block_context":{"text":"Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/blogu-i-udhetarit\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/IMG_0682.jpeg?fit=1100%2C482&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/IMG_0682.jpeg?fit=1100%2C482&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/IMG_0682.jpeg?fit=1100%2C482&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/IMG_0682.jpeg?fit=1100%2C482&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/IMG_0682.jpeg?fit=1100%2C482&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":73227,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/banka-boterore-rritja-ekonomike-ne-shqiperi-nuk-reflektohet-si-mireqenie-varferia-mbetet-e-larte\/","url_meta":{"origin":74889,"position":1},"title":"Banka Bot\u00ebrore: Rritja ekonomike n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri nuk reflektohet si mir\u00ebqenie, varf\u00ebria mbetet e lart\u00eb","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"August 3, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"3 gusht 2023 Pavar\u00ebsisht rritjes ekonomike t\u00eb vendit nd\u00ebr vite, kjo e fundit nuk reflektohet n\u00eb mir\u00ebqenie t\u00eb popullat\u00ebs n\u00eb varf\u00ebri. Ky \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb konstatim i Bank\u00ebs Bot\u00ebrore n\u00eb nj\u00eb raport t\u00eb fundit t\u00eb saj q\u00eb analizon ndikimet e projektit t\u00eb modernizmit t\u00eb asistenc\u00ebs sociale i cili \u00ebsht\u00eb zbatuar n\u00eb\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit"","block_context":{"text":"Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/blogu-i-udhetarit\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/800-0-bb9b57c9ce4b82a9eb2f259ea45902d3.png?fit=800%2C452&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/800-0-bb9b57c9ce4b82a9eb2f259ea45902d3.png?fit=800%2C452&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/800-0-bb9b57c9ce4b82a9eb2f259ea45902d3.png?fit=800%2C452&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/800-0-bb9b57c9ce4b82a9eb2f259ea45902d3.png?fit=800%2C452&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":56645,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/banka-boterore-paralajmeron-qeverine-shqiptare-se-financimi-i-borxhit-publik-eshte-ne-rrezik\/","url_meta":{"origin":74889,"position":2},"title":"Banka Bot\u00ebrore paralajm\u00ebron qeverin\u00eb shqiptare se financimi i borxhit publik \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb rrezik","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"April 13, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Banka Bot\u00ebrore paralajm\u00ebron qeverin\u00eb shqiptare se financimi i borxhit publik \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb rrezik 11 Prill 2022 Banka Bot\u00ebrore, n\u00eb raportin e fundit p\u00ebr Europ\u00ebn Qendrore dhe Azin\u00eb \u201dLufta n\u00eb Rajon\u201d \u00ebsht\u00eb shprehur e ashp\u00ebr lidhur me nivelin e lart\u00eb t\u00eb borxhin t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb dhe ka paralajm\u00ebruar se rifinancimi i tij\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit"","block_context":{"text":"Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/blogu-i-udhetarit\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/2-261-e1649713532518-905x450-1.jpg?fit=905%2C450&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/2-261-e1649713532518-905x450-1.jpg?fit=905%2C450&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/2-261-e1649713532518-905x450-1.jpg?fit=905%2C450&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/04\/2-261-e1649713532518-905x450-1.jpg?fit=905%2C450&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":57561,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/banka-boterore-shqiperia-do-goditet-nga-nje-krize-e-rende-ja-sektoret-qe-preken-cmimet-do-vijojne-te-rriten\/","url_meta":{"origin":74889,"position":3},"title":"Banka Bot\u00ebrore: – Shqip\u00ebria do goditet nga nj\u00eb kriz\u00eb e r\u00ebnd\u00eb, ja sektor\u00ebt q\u00eb preken. – \u201c\u00c7mimet do vijojn\u00eb t\u00eb rriten\u201d","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"May 4, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Banka Bot\u00ebrore: - Shqip\u00ebria do goditet nga nj\u00eb kriz\u00eb e r\u00ebnd\u00eb, ja sektor\u00ebt q\u00eb preken. - \u201c\u00c7mimet do vijojn\u00eb t\u00eb rriten\u201d 4 MAJ 2022 Lufta n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb do t\u00eb frenoj\u00eb rim\u00ebk\u00ebmbjen ekonomike pas pandemis\u00eb n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri, p\u00ebr shkak se \u00e7mimet e larta do t\u00eb ulin konsumin dhe do t\u00eb rrisin\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit"","block_context":{"text":"Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/blogu-i-udhetarit\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/2_9710.jpg?fit=1200%2C546&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/2_9710.jpg?fit=1200%2C546&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/2_9710.jpg?fit=1200%2C546&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/2_9710.jpg?fit=1200%2C546&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/05\/2_9710.jpg?fit=1200%2C546&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":27910,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/studimi-i-bb-ne-6-vitet-e-qeverisjes-se-ps-korrupsioni-ne-rritje\/","url_meta":{"origin":74889,"position":4},"title":"Studimi i BB: N\u00eb 6 vitet e qeverisjes s\u00eb PS, korrupsioni n\u00eb rritje","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"November 8, 2019","format":false,"excerpt":"Studimi i BB: N\u00eb 6 vitet e qeverisjes s\u00eb PS, korrupsioni n\u00eb rritje 07\/11\/19 mapo.al Studimi i Bank\u00ebs Bot\u00ebrore ngre alarmin p\u00ebr rritjen e korrupsionit. P\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsimi n\u00eb gjasht\u00eb vitet e fundit ku 36 % e kompanive detyrohen t\u00eb japin ryshfet p\u00ebr zyrtar\u00eb t\u00eb nivelit t\u00eb lart\u00eb n\u00eb rang lokal dhe\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Njoftime Shtypi"","block_context":{"text":"Njoftime Shtypi","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/njoftime-shtypi\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Edi-Rama-qeveria-korrupsion.jpg?fit=999%2C562&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Edi-Rama-qeveria-korrupsion.jpg?fit=999%2C562&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Edi-Rama-qeveria-korrupsion.jpg?fit=999%2C562&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/11\/Edi-Rama-qeveria-korrupsion.jpg?fit=999%2C562&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":66197,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/meta-paralajmeron-qeveria-do-te-kerkoje-serish-500-mln-euro-hua-2023-shi-viti-i-veshtire\/","url_meta":{"origin":74889,"position":5},"title":"Meta paralajm\u00ebron: – Qeveria do t\u00eb k\u00ebrkoj\u00eb s\u00ebrish 500 mln euro hua. 2023-shi viti i v\u00ebshtir\u00eb!","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"January 12, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"12 Janar 2023 Kreu i Partis\u00eb s\u00eb Liris\u00eb, Ilir Meta n\u00eb nj\u00eb konferenc\u00eb p\u00ebr mediat deklaroi se qeveria do t\u00eb k\u00ebrkoj\u00eb s\u00ebrish 500 milion\u00eb euro borxh. 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