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22 Gusht 2023<\/p>\n
Fenomeni El Nino q\u00eb nxit ciklonet tropikale n\u00eb Paq\u00ebsor po b\u00ebhet edhe m\u00eb i rreziksh\u00ebm nga viti n\u00eb vit sipas shkenc\u00ebtar\u00ebve. Rreziku m\u00eb i lart\u00eb jan\u00eb p\u00ebrmbytjet n\u00eb disa pjes\u00eb t\u00eb Amerik\u00ebs dhe n\u00eb vendet e tjera.<\/p>\n
Shkenc\u00ebtar\u00ebt jan\u00eb t\u00eb shqet\u00ebsuar se ky fenomen mund t\u00eb ndikoj\u00eb ndjesh\u00ebm n\u00eb ekonomi<\/p>\n
Vendet n\u00eb mbar\u00eb globin po p\u00ebrgatiten p\u00ebr nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr mot ekstrem k\u00ebt\u00eb vit.<\/p>\n
Administrata Komb\u00ebtare Oqeanike dhe Atmosferike e SHBA ka b\u00ebr\u00eb t\u00eb ditur se n\u00eb tre vitet e fundit ky fenomen \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrhapur edhe m\u00eb shum\u00eb. Shkenc\u00ebtar\u00ebt thon\u00eb se ky vit duket ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht shqet\u00ebsues.<\/p>\n
Her\u00ebn e fundit q\u00eb nj\u00eb El Nino kishte nj\u00eb intesitet shum\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb ishte n\u00eb vitin 2016 dhe bota n\u00eb at\u00eb vit pa vitin m\u00eb t\u00eb nxeht\u00eb n\u00eb histori. Meteorolog\u00ebt presin q\u00eb ky El Nino i k\u00ebtij viti, do t\u00eb thelloj\u00eb kriz\u00ebn e ndryshimeve klimatike dhe globi do t\u00eb p\u00ebrballet me temperatura rekord t\u00eb larta.<\/p>\n
\u201cEl\u00a0Nino\u00a0nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb si nj\u00eb stuhi.\u00a0Ky fenomen\u00a0ka t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb me ndryshimin e modeleve t\u00eb motit. Pra, kur flasim p\u00ebr nj\u00eb ngjarje t\u00eb moderuar ose t\u00eb fort\u00eb, kjo n\u00eb thelb do t\u00eb thot\u00eb se\u00a0El\u00a0Nino\u00a0ka nj\u00eb ndikim m\u00eb t\u00eb madh n\u00eb ndryshimin e modeleve atmosferike q\u00eb mund t\u00eb q\u00ebndrojn\u00eb p\u00ebr nj\u00eb periudh\u00eb kohore. Pra, sa m\u00eb i fort\u00eb t\u00eb jet\u00eb\u00a0El\u00a0Nino\u00a0aq m\u00eb shum\u00eb do t\u00eb ndihen ndryshimet klimatike.<\/p>\n
Ekspert\u00ebt jan\u00eb gjithashtu t\u00eb shqet\u00ebsuar p\u00ebr at\u00eb q\u00eb po ndodh n\u00eb oqean. Nj\u00eb El Nino do t\u00eb thot\u00eb q\u00eb uj\u00ebrat n\u00eb Paq\u00ebsorin Lindor jan\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb ngrohta se zakonisht.<\/p>\n
Por edhe p\u00ebrpara se ky fenomen t\u00eb niste, n\u00eb muajin Maj temperatura mesatare globale e sip\u00ebrfaqes s\u00eb detit ishte rreth 0.1C m\u00eb e lart\u00eb se \u00e7do tjet\u00ebr n\u00eb rekord.\u00a0Kjo sipas ekspert\u00ebve mund t\u00eb shfaq\u00eb gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb episode t\u00eb motit ekstrem.<\/p>\n
\u201cModelet e motit ekstrem nuk do i shohim vet\u00ebm k\u00ebt\u00eb vit. 2024, mendoj se do t\u00eb jet\u00eb viti kur fenomeni El Nino n\u00eb shum\u00eb vende t\u00eb globit mund t\u00eb shkaktoj\u00eb rekorde t\u00eb temperaturave, dhe pik\u00ebrisht 2024 do shkruhet n\u00eb libra si viti edhe m\u00eb\u00a0 nxeht\u00eb se 2023. N\u00eb gjasht\u00eb vitet e fundit nxeht\u00ebsia \u00ebsht\u00eb rritur dhe El Nino e ka luajtur rolin e tij duke thelluar kriz\u00ebn e ndryshimeve klimatike t\u00eb shkaktuara nga njeriu.\u201d<\/p>\n
El\u00a0Nino\u00a0i k\u00ebtij viti\u00a0mund t\u00eb \u00e7oj\u00eb n\u00eb humbje ekonomike globale prej 3 trilion dollar\u00ebsh, sipas nj\u00eb studimi t\u00eb botuar muajin e kaluar n\u00eb revist\u00ebn Science, duke tkurrur PBB-n\u00eb pasi moti ekstrem shkat\u00ebrron prodhimin bujq\u00ebsor dhe nxit p\u00ebrhapjen e s\u00ebmundjeve.<\/p>\n
Qeverit\u00eb n\u00eb vendet e cenueshme po marrin parasysh d\u00ebmet. Peruja ka ndar\u00eb 1.06 miliard\u00eb dollar\u00eb p\u00ebr ndikimet q\u00eb ka El Nino dhe ndryshimet klimatike, nd\u00ebrsa Filipinet q\u00eb gjithnj\u00eb jan\u00eb n\u00eb rrezik nga ciklonet\u00a0 kan\u00eb formuar nj\u00eb ekip t\u00eb posa\u00e7\u00ebm qeveritar p\u00ebr t\u00eb trajtuar pasojat e parashikuara. K\u00ebto efekte shkaktojn\u00eb d\u00ebme edhe n\u00eb sektor\u00eb t\u00eb tjer\u00eb t\u00eb ekonomis\u00eb dhe p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsojn\u00eb efektet e ndryshimeve klimatike.<\/p>\n
\u201cN\u00eb p\u00ebrgjith\u00ebsi\u00a0El\u00a0Nino\u00a0ka tendenc\u00eb t\u00eb shkaktoj\u00eb episode t\u00eb motit t\u00eb that\u00eb n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb kontinentin kryesisht n\u00eb Indonezi, Filipine dhe n\u00eb Australi gjat\u00eb \u00a0periudh\u00ebs\u00a0s\u00eb muajit Qershor, Korrik, Gusht, Shtator. Gjithmon\u00eb do t\u00eb rris\u00eb rreziqet p\u00ebr zjarret. That\u00ebsira \u00ebsht\u00eb gjithmon\u00eb nj\u00eb sinjal se globi duhet t\u00eb p\u00ebrballet me t\u00eb tjera d\u00ebme nga flak\u00ebt.<\/p>\n
Por si zhvillohet nj\u00eb fenomen El\u00a0Nino. Ai formohet kur er\u00ebrat q\u00eb fryjn\u00eb nga lindja n\u00eb per\u00ebndim p\u00ebrgjat\u00eb Paq\u00ebsorit ekuatorial ngadal\u00ebsohen ose kthehen mbrapsht nd\u00ebrsa presioni i ajrit ndryshon, megjith\u00ebse shkenc\u00ebtar\u00ebt nuk jan\u00eb plot\u00ebsisht t\u00eb sigurt se\u00a0\u00e7far\u00eb\u00a0e nxit ekzakt\u00ebsisht k\u00ebt\u00eb cik\u00ebl.<\/p>\n
P\u00ebr shkak se er\u00ebrat ndikojn\u00eb n\u00eb uj\u00ebrat sip\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsore ato dob\u00ebsohen dhe b\u00ebn q\u00eb k\u00ebto ujra t\u00eb ngrohta t\u00eb Paq\u00ebsorit per\u00ebndimor t\u00eb zbresin p\u00ebrs\u00ebri n\u00eb pellgjet m\u00eb t\u00eb ftohta q\u00cbndrore dhe lindore t\u00eb Paq\u00ebsorit.<\/p>\n
Gjat\u00eb vitit\u00a02015-2016,\u00a0 El\u00a0Nino\u00a0shkat\u00ebrroi gati nj\u00eb t\u00eb tret\u00ebn e koraleve n\u00eb Reefin e Madh t\u00eb Barrier\u00ebs s\u00eb Australis\u00eb.\u00a0N\u00eb uj\u00ebra shum\u00eb t\u00eb ngrohta koralet nxjerrin\u00a0algat\u00a0e gjalla, duke i b\u00ebr\u00eb ato t\u00eb kalcifikohen dhe t\u00eb zbardhen.<\/p>\n
Ky grumbullim i ujit t\u00eb ngroht\u00eb n\u00eb Paq\u00ebsorin lindor gjithashtu transferon nxeht\u00ebsin\u00eb lart n\u00eb atmosfer\u00eb, duke gjeneruar stuhi.<\/p>\n
\u201cKy\u00a0El\u00a0Nino\u00a0po ndodh nd\u00ebrsa oqeanet e bot\u00ebs pothuajse kudo jan\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb ngroht\u00eb se mesatarja. Zakonisht\u00a0El\u00a0Nino\u00a0shfaqet m\u00eb shum\u00eb n\u00eb Oqeanin Paq\u00ebsor dhe temperaturat e oqeanit kryesisht rreth tropik\u00ebve jan\u00eb edhe m\u00eb t\u00eb larta. Por shqet\u00ebsuese \u00ebsht\u00eb fakti se ky fenomen po ndikon edhe n\u00eb Atlantik duke e ngrohur at\u00eb gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb. Paq\u00ebsori per\u00ebndimor \u00ebsht\u00eb mjaft i ngroht\u00eb. Oqeani Indian \u00ebsht\u00eb v\u00ebrtet i ngroht\u00eb. K\u00ebshtu q\u00eb brenda dhe jasht\u00eb tij\u00a0,\u00a0edhe n\u00ebse nuk do t\u00eb kishte nj\u00eb\u00a0El\u00a0Nino, do t\u00eb thot\u00eb se ka nj\u00eb rrezik n\u00eb rritje p\u00ebr shkat\u00ebrrimin e koraleve n\u00eb mij\u00ebra vende t\u00eb ndryshme anemban\u00eb globit.<\/p>\n
Ky ndryshim n\u00eb aktivitetin e stuhis\u00eb ndikon n\u00eb rrym\u00ebn e ajrit e quajtur rryma e subtropikale q\u00eb d\u00ebshmon mot t\u00eb ngroht\u00eb p\u00ebrgjat\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtave gjer\u00ebsi\u00a0gjeografike. K\u00ebt\u00eb vit teksa El\u00a0Nino ka nisur, jugu i Shteteve t\u00eb Bashkuara po p\u00ebrjeton mot m\u00eb t\u00eb fresk\u00ebt dhe m\u00eb t\u00eb lag\u00ebsht, nd\u00ebrsa disa pjes\u00eb t\u00eb per\u00ebndimit t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb dhe Kanadas\u00eb jan\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb ngrohta dhe m\u00eb t\u00eb thata.<\/p>\n
Aktiviteti i uraganit dob\u00ebsohet pasi stuhit\u00eb nuk formohen n\u00eb Atlantik p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb ndryshimeve t\u00eb er\u00ebs, nd\u00ebrsa ciklonet tropikale n\u00eb Paq\u00ebsor po b\u00ebhen edhe m\u00eb t\u00eb c\u00ebnuesh\u00ebm drejt ishujve. Disa pjes\u00eb t\u00eb Amerik\u00ebs Qendrore dhe Jugore po p\u00ebrballen me reshje t\u00eb dendura shiu, nd\u00ebrsa pyjet tropikale t\u00eb Amazon\u00ebs po vuaJn\u00eb nga kushte m\u00eb t\u00eb thata.<\/p>\n
\u201cAfrika historikisht \u00ebsht\u00eb prekur nga fenomeni. Por kriza e ndryshimeve kliamtike ka b\u00ebr\u00eb q\u00eb n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb kontinent fenomeni El Nino po krijon nj\u00eb that\u00ebsir\u00eb afatgjat\u00eb duke ndikuar n\u00eb ekonomi dhe n\u00eb sh\u00ebndetin e njer\u00ebzve.<\/p>\n
Australia nga ana tjet\u00ebr po p\u00ebrballet me nxeht\u00ebsi ekstreme.\u00a0Historikisht, si\u00a0fenomeni El\u00a0Nino\u00a0ashtu edhe La Nina kan\u00eb ndodhur mesatarisht \u00e7do dy deri n\u00eb shtat\u00eb vjet. El\u00a0Nino zgjat 9 deri n\u00eb 12 muaj.\u00a0La Nina mund t\u00eb zgjas\u00eb nj\u00eb deri n\u00eb tre vjet.<\/p>\n
\u201cDallimi midis\u00a0El\u00a0Nino\u00a0ose La Nina \u00ebsht\u00eb se ne mund t\u00eb kemi nj\u00eb ide m\u00eb t\u00eb mir\u00eb se ku \u00ebsht\u00eb ai mot ekstrem dhe kur do t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb. Ndonj\u00ebher\u00eb i takon N\u00ebn\u00ebs Natyr\u00eb t\u00eb kuptoj\u00eb se ku mund t\u00eb ndodhin ato ngjarje ekstreme t\u00eb motit dhe kjo e b\u00ebn t\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb planifikimin paraprakisht.<\/p>\n
Se si ndryshimi i klim\u00ebs mund t\u00eb ndikoj\u00eb n\u00eb\u00a0El\u00a0Nino\u00a0\u00ebsht\u00eb \u201cnj\u00eb pyetje shum\u00eb e madhe k\u00ebrkimore\u201d, shprehet shkenc\u00ebtari i klim\u00ebs DiLiberto.\u00a0Shkenc\u00ebtar\u00ebt nuk jan\u00eb t\u00eb sigurt n\u00ebse ndryshimi i klim\u00ebs do t\u00eb ndryshoj\u00eb ekuilibrin midis\u00a0El\u00a0Ninos\u00a0dhe La Nina, duke e b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb model pak a shum\u00eb t\u00eb shpesht\u00eb.<\/p>\n
N\u00ebse temperaturat e oqeanit po rriten n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb bordin, nuk ka gjasa\u00a0q\u00eb\u00a0cikli t\u00eb ndryshoj\u00eb, deklarojn\u00eb shkenc\u00ebtar\u00ebt, pasi mekanika baz\u00eb pas fenomenit mbetet e nj\u00ebjt\u00eb.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
22 Gusht 2023 Fenomeni El Nino q\u00eb nxit ciklonet tropikale n\u00eb Paq\u00ebsor po b\u00ebhet edhe m\u00eb i rreziksh\u00ebm nga viti n\u00eb vit sipas shkenc\u00ebtar\u00ebve. Rreziku m\u00eb i lart\u00eb jan\u00eb p\u00ebrmbytjet n\u00eb disa pjes\u00eb t\u00eb Amerik\u00ebs dhe n\u00eb vendet e tjera. Shkenc\u00ebtar\u00ebt jan\u00eb t\u00eb shqet\u00ebsuar se ky fenomen mund t\u00eb ndikoj\u00eb ndjesh\u00ebm n\u00eb ekonomi Vendet n\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":73791,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[27,35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-73790","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blogu-i-udhetarit","category-shoqerore"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/08\/800-0-64e51347defb8.jpg?fit=800%2C400&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5Z6wp-jca","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":72057,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/shtetet-ne-te-gjithe-boten-po-pergatiten-per-mot-ekstrem-si-do-te-ndikoje-el-nino-fenomeni-qe-nxit-ciklone-tropikale-ne-paqesor\/","url_meta":{"origin":73790,"position":0},"title":"Shtetet n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb bot\u00ebn po p\u00ebrgatiten p\u00ebr mot ekstrem! – Si do t\u00eb ndikoj\u00eb \u201cEl Nino\u201d, fenomeni q\u00eb nxit ciklone tropikale n\u00eb Paq\u00ebsor\u2026","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"June 11, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"11 Qershor 2023 Shtetet n\u00eb gjith\u00eb bot\u00ebn jan\u00eb duke u p\u00ebrgatitur p\u00ebr mot ekstrem, m\u00eb von\u00eb gjat\u00eb vitit, meq\u00eb bota do t\u00eb p\u00ebrballet me El Ninon \u2013 femonenin klimatik q\u00eb nxit ciklone tropikale n\u00eb Paq\u00ebsor, ashtu sikurse shira t\u00eb rr\u00ebmbyesh\u00ebm dhe rrezik p\u00ebr v\u00ebrshime, n\u00eb kontinentin amerikan dhe rajone tjera.\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit"","block_context":{"text":"Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/blogu-i-udhetarit\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Capture188-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C654&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Capture188-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C654&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Capture188-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C654&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Capture188-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C654&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/Capture188-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C654&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":72206,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/paralajmerojne-serish-ekspertet-e-motit-e-vecanta-e-frikshme-e-2023\/","url_meta":{"origin":73790,"position":1},"title":"Paralajm\u00ebrojn\u00eb s\u00ebrish ekspert\u00ebt e motit: – E ve\u00e7anta e frikshme e 2023","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"June 18, 2023","format":false,"excerpt":"18 Qershor 2023 K\u00ebt\u00eb muaj u vendosen rekorde globale t\u00eb temperaturave, nj\u00eb shenj\u00eb alarmuese e ndryshimit t\u00eb klim\u00ebs, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht p\u00ebrball\u00eb fenomenit El Ni\u00f1o, i cili mund ta b\u00ebj\u00eb vitin 2023 vitin m\u00eb t\u00eb nxeht\u00eb t\u00eb regjistruar. P\u00ebr muajin qershor, temperaturat mesatare globale jan\u00eb, deri m\u00eb tani, pothuajse nj\u00eb grad\u00eb Celsius\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit"","block_context":{"text":"Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/blogu-i-udhetarit\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/251521-1536x1078-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C842&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/251521-1536x1078-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C842&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/251521-1536x1078-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C842&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/251521-1536x1078-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C842&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/251521-1536x1078-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C842&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":49214,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/fenomeni-i-pazakonte-ky-vend-perfshihet-nga-mijera-tonelata-shi-per-here-te-pare-pas-70-vjetesh-befasohen-shkencetaret-te-paprecedenta-ne-mijera-dhe-qindra-vjet\/","url_meta":{"origin":73790,"position":2},"title":"Fenomeni i pazakont\u00eb, ky vend p\u00ebrfshihet nga mij\u00ebra tonelata shi p\u00ebr her\u00eb t\u00eb par\u00eb pas 70-vjet\u00ebsh, befasohen shkenc\u00ebtar\u00ebt. – \u201cT\u00eb paprecedenta n\u00eb mij\u00ebra dhe qindra vjet\u201d.","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"August 20, 2021","format":false,"excerpt":"Fenomeni i pazakont\u00eb, ky vend p\u00ebrfshihet nga mij\u00ebra tonelata shi p\u00ebr her\u00eb t\u00eb par\u00eb pas 70-vjet\u00ebsh, befasohen shkenc\u00ebtar\u00ebt. - \u201cT\u00eb paprecedenta n\u00eb mij\u00ebra dhe qindra vjet\u201d. 20 GUSHT 2021 Nj\u00eb fenomen i pazakont\u00eb ka ndodhur p\u00ebr her\u00eb t\u00eb pas q\u00eb nga viti 1950, n\u00eb Groenland\u00eb ka r\u00ebn\u00eb shi. 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