![\"\"](\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/04\/322964255_535717105258512_5882228484448582687_n.jpg?resize=695%2C496&ssl=1\")
<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
5 Prill 2023<\/strong><\/p>\n Ekonomia shqiptare nuk ka ecur mir\u00eb p\u00ebrgjat\u00eb dekad\u00ebs s\u00eb fundit dhe ritmet e rritjes kan\u00eb qen\u00eb t\u00eb ngadalta. P\u00ebr sa koh\u00eb kjo nuk ndryshon, nuk ka alternativ\u00eb tjet\u00ebr se nga mund t\u00eb gjenden parat\u00eb, jo vet\u00ebm p\u00ebr rritje pensionesh, por as p\u00ebr t\u00eb paguar pensionist\u00ebt q\u00eb pritet t\u00eb shtohen tani s\u00eb shpejti.<\/strong><\/p>\n N\u00eb vitin 2014, nj\u00eb pensionist urban n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri merrte mesatarisht 14,518 lek\u00eb n\u00eb muaj. N\u00eb vitin 2021, ose shtat\u00eb vjet m\u00eb von\u00eb, pensioni mesatar ishte 17,258 lek\u00eb, me nj\u00eb rritje mesatare vjetore prej 2.5%.<\/p>\n Gjat\u00eb k\u00ebtyre viteve, Indeksi i \u00c7mimeve t\u00eb Konsumit u rrit me mesatarisht 1.7%, gj\u00eb q\u00eb sugjeron nj\u00eb rritje t\u00eb pap\u00ebrfillshme reale t\u00eb pensioneve me 0.8%. Por Indeksi shpreh ecurin\u00eb e t\u00eb gjitha mallrave dhe sh\u00ebrbimeve n\u00eb ekonomi, nd\u00ebrsa pensionist\u00ebt, p\u00ebr shkak se, me shum\u00eb gjasa, kan\u00eb nj\u00eb konsum t\u00eb p\u00ebrqendruar t\u00eb ushqimet baz\u00eb, jan\u00eb sot m\u00eb keq nga sa kan\u00eb qen\u00eb shtat\u00eb vjet m\u00eb par\u00eb. Grupi i ushqimeve n\u00eb Indeksin e \u00c7mimeve t\u00eb Konsumit u rrit nga viti 2014 deri n\u00eb vitin 2021 me mesatarisht 3.7%. Akumuluar p\u00ebr shtat\u00eb vjet, pensionet jan\u00eb rritur n\u00eb terma nominal\u00eb me afro 19%, nd\u00ebrsa grupi i ushqimeve \u00ebsht\u00eb rritur me 29%. Diferenca \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb r\u00ebnie neto e konsumit t\u00eb pensionist\u00ebve dhe p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsim akoma m\u00eb i madh i gjendjes s\u00eb tyre sakaq t\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb ekonomike.<\/p>\n Mosrritja e pensioneve dhe varf\u00ebrimi i m\u00ebtejsh\u00ebm i pensionist\u00ebve n\u00eb fakt \u00ebsht\u00eb vet\u00ebm nj\u00ebra an\u00eb e medaljes. Ana tjet\u00ebr \u00ebsht\u00eb numri i pensionist\u00ebve dhe kostoja totale e pensioneve n\u00eb ekonomin\u00eb komb\u00ebtare.<\/p>\n Sipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave t\u00eb INSTAT, numri i pensionist\u00ebve urban\u00eb ishte 436 mij\u00eb vet\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2014 dhe u rrit\u00ebn n\u00eb 566 mij\u00eb m\u00eb 2021. Nj\u00eb rritje prej 30%, ose 130 mij\u00eb vet\u00eb, n\u00eb numrin e pensionist\u00ebve solli nj\u00eb rritje n\u00eb nj\u00eb mas\u00eb t\u00eb ngjashme n\u00eb fondin e p\u00ebrgjithsh\u00ebm t\u00eb nevojsh\u00ebm p\u00ebr pages\u00ebn e k\u00ebtyre pensioneve, pavar\u00ebsisht se pensionet jan\u00eb rritur shum\u00eb pak.<\/p>\n N\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb, numri i pensionist\u00ebve rural\u00eb, t\u00eb cil\u00ebt marrin pension p\u00ebr vitet e pun\u00ebs n\u00eb kooperativa, \u00ebsht\u00eb ulur me afro 40 mij\u00eb. Pesha e tyre n\u00eb terma t\u00eb parave \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb e vog\u00ebl sepse pensionet e fshatit kan\u00eb qen\u00eb gjithmon\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebta.<\/p>\n T\u00eb dh\u00ebnat e Ministris\u00eb s\u00eb Financave tregojn\u00eb se shpenzimet p\u00ebr pensione t\u00eb buxhetit t\u00eb shtetit u rrit\u00ebn me 44% gjat\u00eb k\u00ebsaj periudhe, duke arritur n\u00eb 148 miliard\u00eb lek\u00eb. N\u00eb raport me prodhimin e brendsh\u00ebm bruto, pensionet m\u00eb 2021 z\u00ebn\u00eb 7.8% t\u00eb PBB-s\u00eb nga 7.4% q\u00eb ishin m\u00eb 2014.<\/p>\n Lajmi i vet\u00ebm pozitiv duket se \u00ebsht\u00eb se gjat\u00eb k\u00ebsaj periudhe, numri i t\u00eb pun\u00ebsuarve me kontribute \u00ebsht\u00eb rritur m\u00eb shpejt se sa numri i pensionist\u00ebve. Sektori privat ka shtuar rreth 200 mij\u00eb vende pune, nd\u00ebrsa sektori publik ka shtuar gati 19 mij\u00eb, megjith\u00ebse k\u00ebto t\u00eb fundit duket se kan\u00eb efekt negativ. N\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb, taksa efektive mbi pag\u00ebn dhe paga mesatare p\u00ebr t\u00eb cil\u00ebn paguhet realisht sigurimi shoq\u00ebror \u00ebsht\u00eb rritur gjithashtu. Kjo ka sjell\u00eb nj\u00eb r\u00ebnie jo shum\u00eb t\u00eb fort\u00eb t\u00eb barr\u00ebs s\u00eb deficitit t\u00eb pensioneve n\u00eb raport me Prodhimin e Brendsh\u00ebm Bruto.<\/p>\n Problemi \u00ebsht\u00eb q\u00eb parashikimet p\u00ebr t\u00eb ardhmen nuk jan\u00eb aspak optimiste. Shkaku p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb lidhet ngusht\u00ebsisht me emigrimin masiv t\u00eb t\u00eb rinjve gjat\u00eb viteve t\u00eb fundit.<\/p>\n T\u00eb dh\u00ebnat e fundit [link], tregojn\u00eb se popullsia 50-64 vje\u00e7, e cila pritet t\u00eb dal\u00eb n\u00eb pension gradualisht p\u00ebrgjat\u00eb pes\u00ebmb\u00ebdhjet\u00eb viteve t\u00eb ardhshme, \u00ebsht\u00eb 570 mij\u00eb vet\u00eb. Nd\u00ebrsa popullsia 5-19 vje\u00e7, e cila pritet t\u00eb dal\u00eb n\u00eb tregun e pun\u00ebs p\u00ebrgjat\u00eb pes\u00ebmb\u00ebdhjet\u00eb viteve t\u00eb ardhshme, \u00ebsht\u00eb 500 mij\u00eb vet\u00eb.<\/p>\n N\u00ebse supozojm\u00eb se mes t\u00eb rinjve do t\u00eb ket\u00eb pun\u00ebsim 100%, (gj\u00eb q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb e pagjas\u00eb) dhe q\u00eb ata t\u00eb gjith\u00eb nuk do t\u00eb ndjekin shembullin e brezave paraardh\u00ebs p\u00ebr t\u00eb emigruar, (gj\u00eb q\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb se mund t\u00eb shpresohet), at\u00ebher\u00eb s\u00ebrish numri i atyre q\u00eb dalin n\u00eb pension do t\u00eb jet\u00eb m\u00eb i lart\u00eb se sa numri i atyre q\u00eb hyjn\u00eb n\u00eb tregun e pun\u00ebs.<\/p>\n N\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb tipike, nj\u00eb shqiptar i pun\u00ebsuar paguan mesatarisht 12 mij\u00eb lek\u00eb kontribute p\u00ebr pension n\u00eb muaj, nd\u00ebrsa nj\u00eb pensionist merr 17 mij\u00eb lek\u00eb pension. N\u00eb total, t\u00eb 700 mij\u00eb t\u00eb pun\u00ebsuarit paguan gjat\u00eb vitit 2021 s\u00ebbashku 95 miliard\u00eb lek\u00eb sigurime shoq\u00ebrore nd\u00ebrsa t\u00eb 673 mij\u00eb pensionist\u00ebt mor\u00ebn s\u00eb bashku 148 miliard\u00eb lek\u00eb pensione.<\/p>\n N\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb q\u00eb pensionet t\u00eb rriten, at\u00ebher\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb e nevojshme ose q\u00eb pagat t\u00eb rriten me shpejt\u00ebsi t\u00eb pazakont\u00eb, gj\u00eb q\u00eb nuk ndodh dot p\u00ebr sa koh\u00eb ekonomia nuk rritet me shpejt\u00ebsi t\u00eb pazakont\u00eb, ose numri i t\u00eb pun\u00ebsuarve t\u00eb rritet shum\u00eb m\u00eb shpejt se sa numri i pensionist\u00ebve. P\u00ebr fat t\u00eb keq, demografia sugjeron se kjo e dyta ka edhe m\u00eb pak gjasa t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb p\u00ebr shkak se numri i f\u00ebmij\u00ebve \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb i vog\u00ebl.<\/p>\n Me pak fjal\u00eb, n\u00ebse pensionet duhet t\u00eb paguhen n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb nivel q\u00eb jan\u00eb pa g\u00ebrryer m\u00eb shum\u00eb nga taksimi i p\u00ebrgjithsh\u00ebm, apo t\u00eb rriten sadopak, do t\u00eb jet\u00eb e nevojshme nd\u00ebrtimi i nj\u00eb ekonomie t\u00eb re q\u00eb ofron vler\u00eb t\u00eb shtuar t\u00eb lart\u00eb dhe paga m\u00eb t\u00eb larta, nga ku t\u00eb mund t\u00eb mbahen sigurimet shoq\u00ebrore t\u00eb nevojshme p\u00ebr t\u00eb paguar pensionet.<\/p>\n Problemi duksh\u00ebm q\u00ebndron te fakti q\u00eb nga viti 2009 e m\u00eb pas, ekonomia shqiptare nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb rritur si\u00e7 duhet. Sipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave t\u00eb Fondit Monetar Nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar, ekonomia shqiptare \u00ebsht\u00eb rritur me mesatarisht 2.4% mes viteve 2010 dhe 2021, koh\u00eb gjat\u00eb s\u00eb cil\u00ebs vendi u qeveris fillimisht nga koalicioni PD+LSI dhe m\u00eb pas nga koalicioni PS+LSI dhe s\u00eb fundmi, nga vet\u00eb PS. Ky rit\u00ebm rritjeje, jo vet\u00ebm q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb i ul\u00ebt se sa potenciali, i cili vler\u00ebsohet n\u00eb 4 apo 4.5% n\u00eb vit, por \u00ebsht\u00eb edhe m\u00eb i ul\u00ebt se sa rritja e shum\u00eb vendeve t\u00eb ngjashme. P.sh., ekonomia e Kosov\u00ebs \u00ebsht\u00eb rritur me mesatarisht 4%, ajo e Turqis\u00eb me 5.5% nd\u00ebrsa Rumania e Polonia jan\u00eb rritur me 3.3%.<\/p>\n