![\"\"](\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/det-akullnaja-770x428-1.jpeg?resize=799%2C445&ssl=1\")
<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
25 Shkurt 2023<\/p>\n
Nj\u00eb studim i botuar n\u00eb Nature Communications nga nj\u00eb grup nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar shkenc\u00ebtar\u00ebsh tregon se nj\u00eb humbje e pakthyeshme e shtresave t\u00eb akullit t\u00eb Antarktid\u00ebs Per\u00ebndimore dhe Grenland\u00ebs, dhe nj\u00eb p\u00ebrshpejtim respektiv i shpejt\u00eb n\u00eb ngritjen e nivelit t\u00eb detit, mund t\u00eb jen\u00eb t\u00eb pashmangshme n\u00ebse nuk arrijm\u00eb t\u00eb bllokojm\u00eb rritjen e temperatur\u00ebs globale n\u00ebn 1.8 \u00b0C krahasuar me nivelet para-industriale.<\/p>\n
MOSDAKORD\u00cbSI<\/strong> Shkrirja e shtresave t\u00eb akullit \u00ebsht\u00eb potencialisht kontribuesi m\u00eb i madh n\u00eb ndryshimin e nivelit t\u00eb detit, megjith\u00ebse ai \u00ebsht\u00eb historikisht m\u00eb i v\u00ebshtir\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u2019u parashikuar, sepse fizika q\u00eb rregullon sjelljen e tyre \u00ebsht\u00eb jasht\u00ebzakonisht komplekse. \u201cModelet kompjuterike q\u00eb simulojn\u00eb dinamik\u00ebn e shtresave t\u00eb akullit n\u00eb Grenland\u00eb dhe Antarktid\u00eb shpesh nuk marrin parasysh se shkrirja e shtresave t\u00eb akullit ndikon thell\u00ebsisht n\u00eb proceset oqeanike, t\u00eb cilat, nga ana tjet\u00ebr, ndikojn\u00eb n\u00eb shtres\u00ebn e akullit dhe atmosfer\u00ebn.\u201d<\/p>\n MODELI I KOMPJUTERIZUAR<\/strong><\/p>\n Duke p\u00ebrdorur p\u00ebr her\u00eb t\u00eb par\u00eb nj\u00eb model t\u00eb ri kompjuterik q\u00eb kombinon rrjedhat midis shtresave t\u00eb akullit, ajsberg\u00ebve, oqeanit dhe atmosfer\u00ebs, ekipi i studiuesve t\u00eb klim\u00ebs ka zbuluar se pasojat e tmerrshme t\u00eb rritjes s\u00eb nivelit t\u00eb detit mund t\u00eb parandalohen vet\u00ebm n\u00ebse bota arrin emetimet zero karbon deri n\u00eb vitin 2060.<\/p>\n \u201cN\u00ebse e humbasim k\u00ebt\u00eb objektiv,\u201d thot\u00eb Axel Timmermann, bashk\u00ebautor i studimit dhe drejtor i Qendr\u00ebs IBS p\u00ebr Fizik\u00ebn Klimatike, \u201cshtresat e akullit mund t\u00eb shp\u00ebrb\u00ebhen dhe t\u00eb shkrihen me nj\u00eb rit\u00ebm t\u00eb p\u00ebrshpejtuar. K\u00ebshtu thon\u00eb modelet. N\u00ebse nuk nd\u00ebrmarrim asnj\u00eb veprim, t\u00ebrheqja e shtresave t\u00eb akullit do t\u00eb rris\u00eb nivelin e detit me t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn 100 centimetra brenda 130 viteve t\u00eb ardhshme. Kjo do t\u2019i shtohej kontributeve t\u00eb tjera, si\u00e7 \u00ebsht\u00eb zgjerimi termik i ujit t\u00eb oqeanit.\u201d<\/p>\n PAPARASHIKUESHME\u00cbRIA<\/strong> Studimet e ndryshme kishin faj\u00ebsuar veprimin e oqeaneve n\u00eb shkrirjen e kapak\u00ebve t\u00eb akullit nga posht\u00eb tyre, n\u00eb nj\u00eb form\u00eb erozioni nga posht\u00eb lart. \u201cMegjithat\u00eb, simulimet tona thon\u00eb se kjo ka nj\u00eb vler\u00eb t\u00eb pjesshme, nd\u00ebrsa veprimi i shkrirjes mund t\u00eb rrjedh\u00eb mbi t\u00eb gjitha nga qarkullimi atmosferik i cili do t\u00eb ngrohet n\u00eb dekadat e ardhshme\u201d, vijon shkenc\u00ebtari.<\/p>\n AT\u00cbHER\u00cb?<\/strong> 25 Shkurt 2023 Nj\u00eb studim i botuar n\u00eb Nature Communications nga nj\u00eb grup nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar shkenc\u00ebtar\u00ebsh tregon se nj\u00eb humbje e pakthyeshme e shtresave t\u00eb akullit t\u00eb Antarktid\u00ebs Per\u00ebndimore dhe Grenland\u00ebs, dhe nj\u00eb p\u00ebrshpejtim respektiv i shpejt\u00eb n\u00eb ngritjen e nivelit t\u00eb detit, mund t\u00eb jen\u00eb t\u00eb pashmangshme n\u00ebse nuk arrijm\u00eb t\u00eb bllokojm\u00eb rritjen e temperatur\u00ebs […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":68626,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[27,35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-68625","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blogu-i-udhetarit","category-shoqerore"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/02\/det-akullnaja-770x428-1.jpeg?fit=770%2C428&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5Z6wp-hQR","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":100799,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/zbulohet-grenza-e-detit\/","url_meta":{"origin":68625,"position":0},"title":"Zbulohet \u201cGrenza e Detit\u201d","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"May 31, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"31 Maji 2026 \u00cbsht\u00eb nj\u00eb lloj kandili deti me nj\u00eb helm shum\u00eb t\u00eb fuqish\u00ebm Zbulohet nj\u00eb kandil deti i ri, pothuajse i paduksh\u00ebm dhe \u00ebsht\u00eb vdekjeprur\u00ebs. E quajtur ndryshe si grenza e detit, klasifikohet tek cubomedusat, q\u00eb deri tani njiheshin vet\u00ebm 3 n\u00eb gjith\u00eb bot\u00ebn n\u00eb gjinin\u00eb e Chironex, dhe\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Njoftime Shtypi"","block_context":{"text":"Njoftime Shtypi","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/njoftime-shtypi\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Grenza-e-Detit.jpg?fit=1024%2C574&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Grenza-e-Detit.jpg?fit=1024%2C574&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Grenza-e-Detit.jpg?fit=1024%2C574&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Grenza-e-Detit.jpg?fit=1024%2C574&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":100987,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/nese-flamingot-do-te-mund-te-votonin-cfare-do-te-thoshin-per-narten\/","url_meta":{"origin":68625,"position":1},"title":"N\u00ebse flamingot do t\u00eb mund t\u00eb votonin: \u00e7far\u00eb do t\u00eb thoshin p\u00ebr Nart\u00ebn?","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"June 3, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"3 Qershor 2026 Elvis \u00c7ela - Ambjentalist N\u00ebse flamingot do t\u00eb kishin t\u00eb drejt\u00ebn e vot\u00ebs, ato nuk do t\u00eb k\u00ebrkonin rrug\u00eb, resorte apo projekte zhvillimi. Nuk do t\u00eb flisnin p\u00ebr investime, statistika ekonomike apo premtime elektorale. Vota e tyre do t\u00eb ishte shum\u00eb m\u00eb e thjesht\u00eb: uj\u00eb t\u00eb past\u00ebr,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit"","block_context":{"text":"Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/blogu-i-udhetarit\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/b.jpg?fit=959%2C638&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/b.jpg?fit=959%2C638&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/b.jpg?fit=959%2C638&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/b.jpg?fit=959%2C638&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":100674,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/gjermania-dhe-holanda-i-kerkojne-edi-rames-koken-e-belinda-balluku-ska-integrim-ne-be-nese-nuk-i-hapet-drita\/","url_meta":{"origin":68625,"position":2},"title":"Gjermania dhe Holanda i k\u00ebrkojn\u00eb Edi Ram\u00ebs \u201ckok\u00ebn\u201d e Belinda Balluku, s\u2019ka integrim n\u00eb BE n\u00ebse nuk i hapet drita\u2026","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"May 27, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"27 Maji 2026 Nj\u00eb \u201ct\u00ebrmet\u201d i v\u00ebrtet\u00eb diplomatik ka tronditur themelet e qeveris\u00eb shqiptare, teksa dje po mbahej Konferenca e 8-t\u00eb Nd\u00ebrqeveritare mes Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb dhe Bashkimit Europian n\u00eb Bruksel. Dy nga shtetet m\u00eb skeptike dhe me pesh\u00ebn kryesore n\u00eb vendimmarrjen e BE-s\u00eb, Gjermania dhe Holanda, kan\u00eb kusht\u00ebzuar hapur avancimin e\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit"","block_context":{"text":"Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/blogu-i-udhetarit\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/foto-3-1-900x570-1.png?fit=900%2C570&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/foto-3-1-900x570-1.png?fit=900%2C570&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/foto-3-1-900x570-1.png?fit=900%2C570&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/foto-3-1-900x570-1.png?fit=900%2C570&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":100563,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/breshka-e-rralle-e-detit-gjendet-e-ngordhur-me-shenja-gjaku-ne-bregdetin-e-vlores\/","url_meta":{"origin":68625,"position":3},"title":"Breshka e rrall\u00eb e detit gjendet e ngordhur me shenja gjaku n\u00eb bregdetin e Vlor\u00ebs","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"May 22, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"22 Maji 2026 Nj\u00eb breshk\u00eb deti \u00ebsht\u00eb gjetur e ngordhur pasditen e sotme n\u00eb plazhin e Zv\u00ebrnec, duke shkaktuar shqet\u00ebsim mes pushuesve dhe banor\u00ebve t\u00eb zon\u00ebs. 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Gjat\u00eb fjal\u00ebs s\u00eb tij Rama u p\u00ebrplas edhe me gazetaren e cila e pyeste vazhdimisht\u00eb p\u00ebr projektin, nd\u00ebrsa kryeministri thekson se nuk ka asnj\u00eb projekt dhe k\u00ebto jan\u00eb lajme\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Kultura"","block_context":{"text":"Kultura","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/kultura\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Edi-Rama-2.jpg?fit=780%2C440&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Edi-Rama-2.jpg?fit=780%2C440&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Edi-Rama-2.jpg?fit=780%2C440&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Edi-Rama-2.jpg?fit=780%2C440&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":101516,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/misteri-i-doreheqjes-se-vucicit-presidenti-po-paketon-valixhet-zbardhen-skenaret-per-serbine-ja-kush-mund-te\/","url_meta":{"origin":68625,"position":5},"title":"Misteri i dor\u00ebheqjes s\u00eb Vu\u00e7i\u00e7it, presidenti po \u201cpaketon\u201d valixhet, zbardhen skenar\u00ebt p\u00ebr Serbin\u00eb, ja kush mund t\u00eb\u2026","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"June 15, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Presidenti serb Aleksand\u00ebr Vu\u00e7i\u00e7 ka sinjalizuar largimin e tij nga Presidenca brenda muajve t\u00eb ardhsh\u00ebm, duke hapur nj\u00eb debat t\u00eb gjer\u00eb mbi skenar\u00ebt politik\u00eb q\u00eb mund t\u00eb pasojn\u00eb n\u00eb Serbi. \u201cPlanifikoj t\u00eb jap\u00eb dor\u00ebheqjen nga presidenca brenda tre deri n\u00eb kat\u00ebr muajsh, ndoshta edhe m\u00eb her\u00ebt. Fillova t\u00eb paketoja libra\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit"","block_context":{"text":"Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/blogu-i-udhetarit\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/rajon-fq-12-vucic-presiddent-serb-750x375-1.jpg?fit=750%2C375&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/rajon-fq-12-vucic-presiddent-serb-750x375-1.jpg?fit=750%2C375&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/rajon-fq-12-vucic-presiddent-serb-750x375-1.jpg?fit=750%2C375&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/rajon-fq-12-vucic-presiddent-serb-750x375-1.jpg?fit=750%2C375&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68625","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=68625"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68625\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":68627,"href":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/68625\/revisions\/68627"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/68626"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=68625"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=68625"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=68625"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
\nPopullsit\u00eb bregdetare anemban\u00eb bot\u00ebs tashm\u00eb duhet t\u00eb p\u00ebrgatiten p\u00ebr reagime ndaj rritjes s\u00eb nivelit t\u00eb detit, por planifikimi i tyre p\u00ebr t\u00eb parandaluar p\u00ebrmbytjet dhe d\u00ebmtimet e tjera \u00ebsht\u00eb jasht\u00ebzakonisht i v\u00ebshtir\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u2019u zbatuar pasi parashikimet m\u00eb t\u00eb fundit t\u00eb modelit klimatik t\u00eb paraqitur n\u00eb Raportin e 6-t\u00eb t\u00eb Vler\u00ebsimit t\u00eb Panelit Nd\u00ebrqeveritar p\u00ebr Ndryshimet Klimatike (IPCC) nuk kan\u00eb dakord\u00ebsi, se sa shpejt shtresat kryesore t\u00eb akullit do t\u2019i p\u00ebrgjigjen ngrohjes globale, duke b\u00ebr\u00eb q\u00eb politikan\u00ebt t\u00eb hezitojn\u00eb mbi at\u00eb \u00e7far\u00eb duhet t\u00eb b\u00ebjn\u00eb.<\/p>\n
\nShtresat e akullit i p\u00ebrgjigjen ngrohjes atmosferike dhe oqeanike n\u00eb m\u00ebnyra t\u00eb vonuara dhe shpesh t\u00eb paparashikueshme. Dhe p\u00ebrve\u00e7 k\u00ebsaj, ndonj\u00ebher\u00eb ka interpretime t\u00eb sjelljes s\u00eb tyre q\u00eb nuk jan\u00eb plot\u00ebsisht t\u00eb sakta.<\/p>\n
\nPrandaj \u00ebsht\u00eb e nevojshme t\u00eb zhvillohen modele t\u00eb reja t\u00eb sistemit t\u00eb tok\u00ebs q\u00eb lidhin gjith\u00e7ka q\u00eb rrotullohet rreth ndryshimit t\u00eb klim\u00ebs dhe jo vet\u00ebm elementeve individuale, me fjal\u00eb t\u00eb tjera, argumentojn\u00eb k\u00ebta studiues, \u00ebsht\u00eb e nevojshme q\u00eb superkompjuter\u00ebt t\u00eb hyjn\u00eb n\u00eb loj\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb p\u00ebrpunuar nd\u00ebrveprimet komplekse, t\u00eb cilat sidomos n\u00eb pole, krijohen midis hap\u00ebsirave akullnajore dhe atmosfer\u00ebs. \/focus \u2013 bota.al\/<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"