{"id":63512,"date":"2022-10-23T19:00:05","date_gmt":"2022-10-23T19:00:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/?p=63512"},"modified":"2022-10-23T19:00:05","modified_gmt":"2022-10-23T19:00:05","slug":"historia-horror-po-vjen-nje-renie-globale-e-cmimit-te-banesave-ne-shqiperi-ka-nje-rritje-alarmante","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/historia-horror-po-vjen-nje-renie-globale-e-cmimit-te-banesave-ne-shqiperi-ka-nje-rritje-alarmante\/","title":{"rendered":"Historia \u2018horror\u2019.- Po vjen nj\u00eb r\u00ebnie globale e \u00e7mimit t\u00eb banesave! – N\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri ka nj\u00eb rritje alarmante"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/p>\n

23 Tetor 2022<\/p>\n

Gjat\u00eb dekad\u00ebs s\u00eb fundit, t\u00eb kesh nj\u00eb sht\u00ebpi ka qen\u00eb shum\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb. \u00c7mimet u rrit\u00ebn n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb besueshme p\u00ebr vite me radh\u00eb dhe m\u00eb pas shkuan n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb \u00e7uditshme balistike n\u00eb pandemi. Megjithat\u00eb sot, n\u00ebse pasuria juaj \u00ebsht\u00eb e lidhur me tulla dhe lla\u00e7, \u00ebsht\u00eb koha p\u00ebr t\u2019u nervozuar. \u00c7mimet e sht\u00ebpive tani po bien n\u00eb n\u00ebnt\u00eb ekonomi t\u00eb pasura. R\u00ebniet n\u00eb Amerik\u00eb jan\u00eb t\u00eb vogla deri tani, por n\u00eb tregjet m\u00eb t\u00eb egra jan\u00eb tashm\u00eb dramatike. N\u00eb Kanadan\u00eb e \u2018\u00e7mendur\u2019 sht\u00ebpit\u00eb kushtojn\u00eb 9% m\u00eb pak se n\u00eb shkurt. Nd\u00ebrsa inflacioni dhe recesioni ndjekin bot\u00ebn, nj\u00eb korrigjim i thelluar ka t\u00eb ngjar\u00eb \u2013 madje edhe agjent\u00ebt e pasurive t\u00eb patundshme jan\u00eb t\u00eb zymt\u00eb. Edhe pse kjo nuk do t\u00eb shp\u00ebrthej\u00eb bankat globale si n\u00eb 2007-09, ajo do t\u00eb intensifikoj\u00eb r\u00ebnien, do t\u00eb l\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb grup njer\u00ebzish me financa t\u00eb rr\u00ebnuara dhe do t\u00eb nis\u00eb nj\u00eb stuhi politike.<\/p>\n

Shkaku i kriz\u00ebs \u00ebsht\u00eb rritja e normave t\u00eb interesit: n\u00eb Amerik\u00eb bler\u00ebsit e mundsh\u00ebm kan\u00eb qen\u00eb duke par\u00eb, t\u00eb tmerruar, pasi norma e hipotek\u00ebs 30-vje\u00e7are ka arritur n\u00eb 6.92%, mbi dyfishin e nivelit t\u00eb nj\u00eb viti m\u00eb par\u00eb dhe m\u00eb e larta q\u00eb nga prilli 2002. Mini pandemia -flluska u ushqye nga ulja e tarifave, cash-i stimulues dhe nj\u00eb gjueti p\u00ebr m\u00eb shum\u00eb hap\u00ebsir\u00eb \u200b\u200bperiferike. Tani pjesa m\u00eb e madhe e k\u00ebsaj po shkon n\u00eb t\u00eb kund\u00ebrt. Merrni, p\u00ebr shembull, dik\u00eb q\u00eb nj\u00eb vit m\u00eb par\u00eb mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrballonte t\u00eb jepte 1800 dollar\u00eb n\u00eb muaj p\u00ebr nj\u00eb hipotek\u00eb 30-vje\u00e7are. N\u00eb at\u00eb koh\u00eb ata mund t\u00eb kishin marr\u00eb hua 420,000 dollar\u00eb. Sot pagesa \u00ebsht\u00eb e mjaftueshme p\u00ebr nj\u00eb kredi prej 280,000 dollar\u00eb: 33% m\u00eb pak. Nga Stokholmi n\u00eb Sidnei, fuqia bler\u00ebse e huamarr\u00ebsve po shembet. Kjo e b\u00ebn m\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb p\u00ebr bler\u00ebsit e rinj t\u00eb p\u00ebrballojn\u00eb sht\u00ebpit\u00eb, duke ulur k\u00ebrkes\u00ebn dhe mund t\u00eb shtr\u00ebngoj\u00eb financat e pronar\u00ebve ekzistues, t\u00eb cil\u00ebt, n\u00ebse jan\u00eb t\u00eb pafat, mund t\u00eb detyrohen t\u00eb shesin.<\/p>\n

Lajmi i mir\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb se r\u00ebnia e \u00e7mimeve t\u00eb banesave nuk do t\u00eb shkaktoj\u00eb nj\u00eb kriz\u00eb epike financiare n\u00eb Amerik\u00eb si\u00e7 b\u00ebn\u00eb 15 vjet m\u00eb par\u00eb. Vendi ka m\u00eb pak kredi t\u00eb rrezikshme dhe banka t\u00eb kapitalizuara m\u00eb mir\u00eb, t\u00eb cilat nuk jan\u00eb zhytur n\u00eb letra me vler\u00eb subprime t\u00eb dyshimta. \u2018Xhaxha Semi\u2019 tani siguron ose siguron dy t\u00eb tretat e hipotekave t\u00eb reja. Humb\u00ebsit e m\u00ebdhenj do t\u00eb jen\u00eb taksapaguesit. N\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet skemave shtet\u00ebrore t\u00eb sigurimeve ato mbartin rrezikun e mospagimit. Nd\u00ebrsa normat rriten, ata jan\u00eb t\u00eb ekspozuar ndaj humbjeve n\u00ebp\u00ebrmjet Rezerv\u00ebs Federale, e cila zot\u00ebron nj\u00eb t\u00eb kat\u00ebrt\u00ebn e letrave me vler\u00eb t\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetura nga hipoteka.<\/p>\n

Disa vende t\u00eb tjera, si Koreja e Jugut dhe vendet nordike, kan\u00eb par\u00eb p\u00ebrshpejtime m\u00eb t\u00eb frikshme n\u00eb huamarrje, me borxhin e familjeve prej rreth 100% t\u00eb PBB-s\u00eb. Ata mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrballen me humbje destabilizuese n\u00eb bankat e tyre ose firma financiare n\u00eb hije: shefi i bank\u00ebs qendrore t\u00eb Suedis\u00eb e ka krahasuar k\u00ebt\u00eb me \u201culjen n\u00eb maj\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00eb vullkani\u201d. Por kriza m\u00eb e keqe financiare n\u00eb bot\u00eb e lidhur me strehimin do t\u00eb kufizohet ende n\u00eb Kin\u00eb, problemet e s\u00eb cil\u00ebs \u2013 tepricat e m\u00ebdha spekulative, grevat e hipotekave, njer\u00ebzit q\u00eb kan\u00eb parapaguar p\u00ebr banesat q\u00eb nuk jan\u00eb nd\u00ebrtuar \u2013 jan\u00eb, me m\u00ebshir\u00eb, t\u00eb p\u00ebrfshira brenda kufijve t\u00eb saj.<\/p>\n

Megjithat\u00eb, edhe pa nj\u00eb p\u00ebrplasje t\u00eb sinkronizuar bankare globale, r\u00ebnia e banesave do t\u00eb jet\u00eb e zymt\u00eb. S\u00eb pari, sepse tregjet e prishura t\u00eb pronave jan\u00eb nj\u00eb penges\u00eb n\u00eb tregun e pun\u00ebs. Nd\u00ebrsa normat rriten dhe \u00e7mimet rregullohen gradualisht, pasiguria i b\u00ebn njer\u00ebzit t\u00eb hezitojn\u00eb t\u00eb l\u00ebvizin. Shitjet e sht\u00ebpive ekzistuese n\u00eb Amerik\u00eb ran\u00eb me 20% n\u00eb gusht nga viti n\u00eb vit, dhe Zillo\u00eb, nj\u00eb firm\u00eb strehimi, raporton 13% m\u00eb pak listime t\u00eb reja se norma sezonale. N\u00eb Kanada v\u00ebllimet e shitjeve mund t\u00eb bien me 40% k\u00ebt\u00eb vit. Kur njer\u00ebzit nuk mund t\u00eb l\u00ebvizin, ajo ul dinamik\u00ebn e tregjeve t\u00eb pun\u00ebs, nj\u00eb shqet\u00ebsim i madh kur kompanit\u00eb p\u00ebrpiqen t\u00eb p\u00ebrshtaten me munges\u00ebn e pun\u00ebtor\u00ebve dhe kriz\u00ebn energjetike. Dhe kur \u00e7mimet bien, pronar\u00ebt e sht\u00ebpive mund t\u00eb zbulojn\u00eb se sht\u00ebpit\u00eb e tyre vlejn\u00eb m\u00eb pak se hipotekat e tyre, duke e b\u00ebr\u00eb edhe m\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb ngritjen e shkopinjve \u2013 nj\u00eb problem q\u00eb ka prekur shum\u00eb ekonomi pas kriz\u00ebs financiare globale.<\/p>\n

\u00c7mimet m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebta t\u00eb banesave gjithashtu d\u00ebmtojn\u00eb rritjen n\u00eb nj\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb dyt\u00eb: ato i b\u00ebjn\u00eb konsumator\u00ebt tashm\u00eb t\u00eb zymt\u00eb edhe m\u00eb t\u00eb mjeruesh\u00ebm. N\u00eb mbar\u00eb bot\u00ebn, sht\u00ebpit\u00eb vlejn\u00eb rreth 250 trilion\u00eb dollar\u00eb (p\u00ebr krahasim, tregjet e aksioneve vlejn\u00eb vet\u00ebm 90 trilion\u00eb dollar\u00eb) dhe p\u00ebrb\u00ebjn\u00eb gjysm\u00ebn e t\u00eb gjith\u00eb pasuris\u00eb. Nd\u00ebrsa nd\u00ebrtesa e kapitalit shembet, konsumator\u00ebt ka t\u00eb ngjar\u00eb t\u00eb shkurtojn\u00eb shpenzimet. Megjith\u00ebse nj\u00eb ekonomi m\u00eb e ftoht\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb ajo q\u00eb bankat qendrore synojn\u00eb t\u00eb sjellin duke rritur normat e interesit, kolapsi i besimit mund t\u00eb marr\u00eb nj\u00eb vrull m\u00eb vete.<\/p>\n

Karakteristikat e rrezikshme<\/p>\n

Pasi kan\u00eb shp\u00ebtuar ekonomin\u00eb n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrs\u00ebritur n\u00eb 15 vitet e fundit, shumica e qeverive per\u00ebndimore do t\u00eb tundohen t\u00eb vijn\u00eb n\u00eb shp\u00ebtim p\u00ebrs\u00ebri. N\u00eb Amerik\u00eb, frika p\u00ebr nj\u00eb fatkeq\u00ebsi strehimi ka b\u00ebr\u00eb q\u00eb disa t\u2019i k\u00ebrkojn\u00eb Fed-it t\u00eb ngadal\u00ebsoj\u00eb rritjen e norm\u00ebs s\u00eb saj jetike. Spanja raportohet se po shqyrton kufizimin e rritjes s\u00eb pagesave t\u00eb hipotekave dhe Hungaria e ka b\u00ebr\u00eb tashm\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb. Prisni q\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb vende t\u00eb ndjekin.<\/p>\n

Kjo mund t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb q\u00eb borxhet e qeverive t\u00eb rriten edhe m\u00eb tej dhe t\u00eb inkurajoj\u00eb iden\u00eb se pron\u00ebsia e sht\u00ebpis\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb bast i nj\u00ebansh\u00ebm i mb\u00ebshtetur nga shteti. Dhe gjithashtu do t\u00eb b\u00ebnte shum\u00eb pak p\u00ebr t\u00eb zgjidhur problemet themelore q\u00eb d\u00ebmtojn\u00eb tregjet e banesave t\u00eb bot\u00ebs s\u00eb pasur, shum\u00eb prej t\u00eb cilave jan\u00eb p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb nd\u00ebrhyrjes s\u00eb padrejtuar dhe t\u00eb tepruar t\u00eb qeveris\u00eb, nga subvencionet e hipotekave dhe taksat shtremb\u00ebruese deri te rregullat tep\u00ebr t\u00eb v\u00ebshtira t\u00eb planifikimit. Nd\u00ebrsa nj\u00eb epok\u00eb e normave t\u00eb ul\u00ebta t\u00eb interesit po i vjen fundi, nj\u00eb kriz\u00eb e \u00e7mimeve t\u00eb banesave po vjen \u2013 dhe nuk ka asnj\u00eb garanci p\u00ebr nj\u00eb treg m\u00eb t\u00eb mir\u00eb t\u00eb banesave n\u00eb fund t\u00eb gjith\u00eb k\u00ebsaj.<\/p>\n

Pse n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebria ka nj\u00eb rritje galopante t\u00eb \u00e7mimeve?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb raportoi se n\u00eb 6 mujorin e par\u00eb 2022, \u00e7mimet e apartamenteve ishin shtrenjtuar me 40% n\u00eb raport vjetor.<\/p>\n

T\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn gj\u00eb raportoi dhe Indeksi Fischer i Bank\u00ebs s\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb. P\u00ebr 6 muajt e par\u00eb t\u00eb k\u00ebtij viti, ka pasur r\u00ebnie t\u00eb numrit t\u00eb banesave t\u00eb regjistruara p\u00ebr shitje apo qira. Nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb numri i lejeve t\u00eb dh\u00ebna apo nd\u00ebrtimeve t\u00eb reja \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb rritje.<\/p>\n

Nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr tregues q\u00eb shkon n\u00eb kontrast me zhvillimet n\u00eb tregjet bot\u00ebrore, \u00ebsht\u00eb ai i rritjes s\u00eb k\u00ebrkes\u00ebs p\u00ebr kredi ndon\u00ebse ajo \u00ebsht\u00eb shtrenjtuar. Rritja e norm\u00ebs s\u00eb interesit nga BSH synon pik\u00ebrisht reduktimin e kredimarrjes, por kjo nuk ka dh\u00ebn\u00eb ende nj\u00eb efekt t\u00eb till\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Burimi: The Economist<\/strong><\/p>\n

P\u00ebrgatiti: Gazeta Shqiptare\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

23 Tetor 2022 Gjat\u00eb dekad\u00ebs s\u00eb fundit, t\u00eb kesh nj\u00eb sht\u00ebpi ka qen\u00eb shum\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb. \u00c7mimet u rrit\u00ebn n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb besueshme p\u00ebr vite me radh\u00eb dhe m\u00eb pas shkuan n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb \u00e7uditshme balistike n\u00eb pandemi. Megjithat\u00eb sot, n\u00ebse pasuria juaj \u00ebsht\u00eb e lidhur me tulla dhe lla\u00e7, \u00ebsht\u00eb koha p\u00ebr t\u2019u nervozuar. 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