{"id":61781,"date":"2022-09-04T03:49:46","date_gmt":"2022-09-04T03:49:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/?p=61781"},"modified":"2022-09-04T03:49:46","modified_gmt":"2022-09-04T03:49:46","slug":"analiza-e-bugajskit-shqiperia-mund-te-terhiqet-brenda-nje-konflikti-rajonal-permes-subversionit-rus","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/analiza-e-bugajskit-shqiperia-mund-te-terhiqet-brenda-nje-konflikti-rajonal-permes-subversionit-rus\/","title":{"rendered":"Analiza e Bugajskit: \u201cShqip\u00ebria mund t\u00eb t\u00ebrhiqet brenda nj\u00eb konflikti rajonal p\u00ebrmes subversionit rus\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"\"

Janusz Bugajski<\/p><\/div>\n

Botuar ne Gazeten Dita<\/p>\n

3 Shtator 2022<\/p>\n

…”N\u00ebse nuk hartojn\u00eb nj\u00eb plan t\u00eb qart\u00eb p\u00ebr garantimin e siguris\u00eb rajonale, q\u00eb t\u00eb \u00e7armatosin zjarrv\u00ebn\u00ebsit, Uashingtoni dhe Brukseli mund t\u00eb detyrohen t\u00eb shuajn\u00eb shum\u00eb zjarre”.<\/p>\n

Gjith\u00e7ka duket gati p\u00ebr fillimin e krizave t\u00eb reja n\u00eb Ballkanin Per\u00ebndimor. Pamjaftueshm\u00ebria e Bashkimit Europian, v\u00ebmendja e munguar e Amerik\u00ebs dhe rritja e tensioneve lokale t\u00eb kombinuara s\u00eb bashku e kan\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb fuqishme qeverin\u00eb nacionaliste t\u00eb Serbis\u00eb n\u00eb p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimin e pretendimeve t\u00eb saj rajonale.<\/p>\n

Mosmarr\u00ebveshjet e pazgjidhura, gjithashtu, ofrojn\u00eb nj\u00eb t\u00ebr\u00ebsi mund\u00ebsish p\u00ebr Mosk\u00ebn, ndon\u00ebse luft\u00ebn n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb po e humbet.
\nKremlini e konsideron Ballkanin si nj\u00eb aset strategjik, ku rolin e institucioneve per\u00ebndimore mund ta minoj\u00eb duke pretenduar se NATO nuk ka arritur t\u00eb siguroj\u00eb stabilitet.<\/p>\n

Aleati kryesor i Putinit n\u00eb rajon \u00ebsht\u00eb Aleksandar Vu\u00e7i\u00e7, me t\u00eb cilin Putin ka nj\u00eb marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnie simbiotike. Moska e suporton Beogradin p\u00ebr nd\u00ebrtimin e \u201cBot\u00ebs Serbe\u201d, sipas s\u00eb cil\u00ebs t\u00eb gjith\u00eb serb\u00ebt duhet t\u00eb jetojn\u00eb n\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtin shtet t\u00eb zgjeruar.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb k\u00ebmbim t\u00eb k\u00ebsaj, Serbia i mund\u00ebson Rusis\u00eb t\u00eb rris\u00eb ndikimin n\u00eb rajon p\u00ebrmes marr\u00ebveshjeve energjetike, dep\u00ebrtimit t\u00eb inteligjenc\u00ebs, bashk\u00ebpunimit ushtarak dhe dezinformimit. S\u00eb fundmi, Beogradi ka n\u00ebnshkruar nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr marr\u00ebveshje p\u00ebr furnizimin me gaz nga Gazpromi i Rusis\u00eb dhe vazhdon t\u00eb lejoj\u00eb transmetimin e kanaleve televizive propagandistike \u201cRT\u201d dhe \u201cSputnik\u201d t\u00eb Kremlinit, pa marr\u00eb parasysh ndalimin e tyre n\u00eb mbar\u00eb Europ\u00ebn.<\/p>\n

Vizita e fundit e ministrit t\u00eb Brendsh\u00ebm Aleksandar Vulin n\u00eb Mosk\u00eb tregoi vendosm\u00ebrin\u00eb e Beogradit p\u00ebr t\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetur imperializmin rus, n\u00eb k\u00ebmbim t\u00eb ndihm\u00ebs s\u00eb Kremlinit p\u00ebr t\u00eb frenuar p\u00ebrparimin e Kosov\u00ebs.<\/p>\n

Disa marr\u00ebveshje, si marr\u00ebveshja e fundit mbi l\u00ebvizjen e lir\u00eb, mund edhe t\u00eb arrihen n\u00eb bisedimet e nd\u00ebrmjet\u00ebsuara nga BE-ja mes Beogradit dhe Prishtin\u00ebs, por pa u caktuar nj\u00eb afat p\u00ebr njohje nd\u00ebrshtet\u00ebrore, negociatat do vijojn\u00eb pafund\u00ebsisht. Beogradi dhe Moska e kan\u00eb llogaritur se nxitja e konfliktit n\u00eb veri t\u00eb Kosov\u00ebs do t\u2019i shp\u00ebrqendroj\u00eb zyrtar\u00ebt per\u00ebndimor\u00eb dhe frika prej shp\u00ebrthimit t\u00eb dhun\u00ebs do t\u2019i pengoj\u00eb ata t\u00eb marrin ndonj\u00eb vendim t\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb p\u00ebr njohje reciproke.<\/p>\n

Gjithashtu, Moska ka bashk\u00ebpunim t\u00eb ngusht\u00eb me kreun e entitetit serb n\u00eb Bosnje-Hercegovin\u00eb, Milorad Dodik, i cili e ka deklaruar hapur ambicien e ndarjes dhe t\u00eb krijimit t\u00eb nj\u00eb shteti tjet\u00ebr serb. Moska i ofron atij ndihm\u00eb ekonomike, ushtarake dhe propagandistike n\u00eb forma t\u00eb ndryshme.<\/p>\n

Sanksionet gjysmake nga ana e BE-s\u00eb nuk e kan\u00eb frenuar Dodikun, nd\u00ebrsa ambiciet e nacionalist\u00ebve kroat\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb krijuar nj\u00eb entitet t\u00eb tret\u00eb etnik n\u00eb Bosnje i kan\u00eb dh\u00ebn\u00eb dor\u00eb atij dhe patron\u00ebve t\u00eb tij n\u00eb Mosk\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Mali i Zi, gjithashtu, po destabilizohet prej nj\u00eb sulmi ndaj institucioneve t\u00eb tij t\u00eb pavarura nga partit\u00eb nacionaliste serbe t\u00eb lidhura ngusht\u00eb me regjimin n\u00eb Rusi. Ky sulm p\u00ebrfshin k\u00ebrkesat e fundit p\u00ebr autonomin\u00eb e serb\u00ebve n\u00eb disa komuna jugore. Fatkeq\u00ebsisht, besimi i qeverive per\u00ebndimore se aktivist\u00ebt e stisur kund\u00ebr korrupsionit do t\u00eb ishin udh\u00ebheq\u00ebs t\u00eb arritur qeveris\u00ebs ka r\u00ebn\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Qeveria e Abazovicit rezultoi jet\u00ebshkurt\u00ebr, pasi ishte e gatshme t\u00eb minonte sovranitetin malazez duke n\u00ebnshkruar marr\u00ebveshje me Kish\u00ebn Ortodokse Serbe, nj\u00eb organizat\u00eb q\u00eb nuk e njeh shtetin malazez.<\/p>\n

P\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr, pretendimet se qeveria po luftonte korrupsionin humb\u00ebn besueshm\u00ebrin\u00eb, pasi aleat\u00ebt e saj m\u00eb t\u00eb ngusht\u00eb ishin partit\u00eb dhe lider\u00ebt fetar\u00eb t\u00eb korruptuar nga Moska.<\/p>\n

Shqip\u00ebria, po ashtu, mund t\u00eb t\u00ebrhiqet brenda nj\u00eb konflikti rajonal p\u00ebrmes subversionit rus. Dep\u00ebrtimi n\u00eb nj\u00eb objekt ushtarak shqiptar dhe sulmi ndaj tre ushtarak\u00ebve, s\u00eb fundmi, \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb provokim, qartazi, p\u00ebr t\u00eb trazuar vendin dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb krijuar m\u00eb shum\u00eb probleme p\u00ebr NATO-n.<\/p>\n

Sulmi ndaj baz\u00ebs (ushtarake) kishte p\u00ebr q\u00ebllim t\u00eb nxiste konflikte midis qeveris\u00eb dhe opozit\u00ebs dhe t\u00eb largonte v\u00ebmendjen nga fushatat irredentiste t\u00eb Serbis\u00eb. Mb\u00ebshtetja e Tiran\u00ebs p\u00ebr nism\u00ebn e Ballkanit t\u00eb Hapur, nj\u00eb projekt gjeostrategjik i krijuar p\u00ebr t\u00eb rritur ndikimin rajonal t\u00eb Serbis\u00eb dhe dep\u00ebrtimin ekonomik t\u00eb Mosk\u00ebs, nuk do t\u2019i siguroj\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb imunitet ndaj konflikteve.<\/p>\n

Pretendimet e disa lider\u00ebve t\u00eb BE-s\u00eb p\u00ebr \u201cautonomi strategjike\u201d t\u00eb Europ\u00ebs ting\u00ebllojn\u00eb absurde, kur merret parasysh se ata jan\u00eb t\u00eb paaft\u00eb t\u00eb garantojn\u00eb sigurin\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb rajon q\u00eb d\u00ebshiron t\u00eb an\u00ebtar\u00ebsohet n\u00eb BE. Bashkimi Europian ka vonuar bisedimet e pranimit me Maqedonin\u00eb e Veriut dhe Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb, nd\u00ebrsa an\u00ebtar\u00ebsimi p\u00ebr Bosnj\u00ebn dhe Kosov\u00ebn \u00ebsht\u00eb perspektiv\u00eb e larg\u00ebt.<\/p>\n

Stabiliteti i Maqedonis\u00eb s\u00eb Veriut \u00ebsht\u00eb d\u00ebmtuar nga an\u00ebtarja e BE-s\u00eb, Bullgaria, qeveria e s\u00eb cil\u00ebs mbetet e mb\u00ebrthyer pas mosmarr\u00ebveshje historike t\u00eb pazgjidhshme. BE-ja gjithashtu e merr Vu\u00e7i\u00e7in me t\u00eb mir\u00eb, n\u00eb vend q\u00eb t\u00eb shprehet se do t\u00eb ndaloj\u00eb \u00e7do fond para-an\u00ebtar\u00ebsimi p\u00ebr Serbin\u00eb, n\u00ebse qeveria e saj nuk e respekton konsensusin e BE-s\u00eb p\u00ebr sanksionimin e Mosk\u00ebs pas pushtimit t\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Administrata e Biden, nga ana tjet\u00ebr, po lejon q\u00eb Rusia t\u00eb dep\u00ebrtoj\u00eb n\u00eb rajon me pranimin e deklaratave t\u00eb Vu\u00e7i\u00e7it se ai nuk d\u00ebshiron t\u00eb largoj\u00eb mb\u00ebshtet\u00ebsit e vet duke sanksionuar Rusin\u00eb. Vlen t\u00eb kujtohet se si Uashingtoni u pat mashtruar fillimisht nga Slobodan Milo\u0161evi\u0107, i cili pretendonte se ishte garantues i paqes dhe integritetit t\u00eb Jugosllavis\u00eb n\u00eb fillim t\u00eb viteve 1990. Koha p\u00ebr barazpesh\u00eb ka mbaruar: Serbia, ose \u00ebsht\u00eb shtet europian ose \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb linj\u00eb me Rusin\u00eb perandorake q\u00eb k\u00ebrkon t\u00eb shkat\u00ebrroj\u00eb institucionet per\u00ebndimore.<\/p>\n

Q\u00eb konfikte t\u00eb reja t\u00eb shmangen, duhet q\u00eb objektivat e politikave agresive t\u00eb Serbis\u00eb t\u00eb merren kat\u00ebrcip\u00ebrisht n\u00eb mbrojtje. Si Bosnja ashtu edhe Kosova kan\u00eb nevoj\u00eb p\u00ebr nj\u00eb rrug\u00eb drejt an\u00ebtar\u00ebsimit n\u00eb NATO dhe forcat proper\u00ebndimore n\u00eb Mal t\u00eb Zi kan\u00eb nevoj\u00eb p\u00ebr mb\u00ebshtetje m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe, n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb q\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebnjanohen nacionalist\u00ebt pro-Mosk\u00eb.<\/p>\n

N\u00ebse nuk hartojn\u00eb nj\u00eb plan t\u00eb qart\u00eb p\u00ebr garantimin e siguris\u00eb rajonale, q\u00eb t\u00eb \u00e7armatosin zjarrv\u00ebn\u00ebsit, Uashingtoni dhe Brukseli mund t\u00eb detyrohen t\u00eb shuajn\u00eb shum\u00eb zjarre.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Botuar ne Gazeten Dita 3 Shtator 2022 …”N\u00ebse nuk hartojn\u00eb nj\u00eb plan t\u00eb qart\u00eb p\u00ebr garantimin e siguris\u00eb rajonale, q\u00eb t\u00eb \u00e7armatosin zjarrv\u00ebn\u00ebsit, Uashingtoni dhe Brukseli mund t\u00eb detyrohen t\u00eb shuajn\u00eb shum\u00eb zjarre”. Gjith\u00e7ka duket gati p\u00ebr fillimin e krizave t\u00eb reja n\u00eb Ballkanin Per\u00ebndimor. Pamjaftueshm\u00ebria e Bashkimit Europian, v\u00ebmendja e munguar e Amerik\u00ebs dhe […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":61782,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[27,2,35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-61781","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blogu-i-udhetarit","category-politika","category-shoqerore"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Janusz-Bugajski.jpg?fit=1536%2C899&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5Z6wp-g4t","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":100229,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/godinat-ne-zonen-muzeale-ne-gjirokaster-ne-rrezik-shembje\/","url_meta":{"origin":61781,"position":0},"title":"Godinat n\u00eb Zon\u00ebn muzeale n\u00eb Gjirokast\u00ebr n\u00eb rrezik shembje","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"May 13, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"13 Maji 2026 Shum\u00eb objekte moment kulture n\u00eb zon\u00ebn muzeale n\u00eb Gjirokast\u00ebr rrezikojn\u00eb shembjen p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb munges\u00ebs s\u00eb restaurimit. 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Por\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Histori"","block_context":{"text":"Histori","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/histori\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/640-0-0346123bd12eca35a02491de0ac0f2b3.jpg?fit=640%2C480&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/640-0-0346123bd12eca35a02491de0ac0f2b3.jpg?fit=640%2C480&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/640-0-0346123bd12eca35a02491de0ac0f2b3.jpg?fit=640%2C480&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":101351,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/arkeologji-vendbanimi-i-zvernecit-mund-te-krahasohet-e-barazohet-me-kulturat-me-te-zhvilluara-paleolitike-te-evropes-musteriane-e-salutriane\/","url_meta":{"origin":61781,"position":2},"title":"Arkeologji: – Prof. Korkuti: – Vendbanimi i Zv\u00ebrnecit, mund t\u00eb krahasohet e barazohet me kulturat me t\u00eb zhvilluara paleolitike t\u00eb Evrop\u00ebs (Musteriane e Salutriane).","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"June 10, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"10 Qershor 2026 Zbulime te Specialistit te Trashegimise Novruz Bajramaj. \"Gjat\u00eb muajit qershor t\u00eb k\u00ebsaj vere (viti 2016) pata nj\u00eb k\u00ebnaq\u00ebsi t\u00eb ve\u00e7ant\u00eb; s\u00eb bashku me kolegun e vjet\u00ebr, mjeshtrin e monumenteve Novrus Bajrami, vizituam disa stacione paleolitike t\u00eb reja dhe u njoh\u00ebm me gjetjet, veglat e strallit, t\u00eb zbuluara\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit"","block_context":{"text":"Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/blogu-i-udhetarit\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Novruz-Bajramaj.jpg?fit=960%2C720&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Novruz-Bajramaj.jpg?fit=960%2C720&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Novruz-Bajramaj.jpg?fit=960%2C720&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Novruz-Bajramaj.jpg?fit=960%2C720&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":100706,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/alarmi-global-per-super-el-nino-sa-eshte-rreziku-i-nderprerjes-se-internetit-ne-mbare-boten\/","url_meta":{"origin":61781,"position":3},"title":"Alarmi global p\u00ebr Super El Ni\u00f1o! 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