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<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
Analiza e REL: – Putin n\u00eb \u201cfaz\u00ebn e Milloshevi\u00e7it\u201d.<\/p>\n
30 JANAR 2022<\/p>\n
Nga: VALONA TELA<\/p>\n
Jan\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb gati tet\u00eb vjet prejse Rusia ka nd\u00ebrhyr\u00eb n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb dhe ka aneksuar Gadishullin e Krimes\u00eb – gj\u00eb q\u00eb ka nxitur nj\u00eb s\u00ebr\u00eb sanksionesh nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare kund\u00ebr saj.<\/p>\n
Sot, Shtetet e Bashkuara dhe aleat\u00ebt evropian\u00eb e gjejn\u00eb s\u00ebrish veten duke u p\u00ebrpjekur t\u00eb kuptojn\u00eb se si ta pengojn\u00eb presidentin rus, Vladimir Putin, nga pushtimi eventual i Ukrain\u00ebs.<\/p>\n
\u201cSigurisht se duhet shqet\u00ebsuar n\u00ebse pushton nj\u00eb fuqi b\u00ebrthamore. N\u00ebse Putin pushton, kjo do t\u00eb ishte hera e par\u00eb nga Lufta e Dyt\u00eb Bot\u00ebrore\u201d, ka th\u00ebn\u00eb presidenti i Shteteve t\u00eb Bashkuara, Joe Biden.<\/p>\n
Rusia, tash e sa jav\u00eb, ka vendosur pran\u00eb kufijve me Ukrain\u00ebn mbi 100,000 trupa t\u00eb saj, bashk\u00eb me armatim t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00eb. Sipas informacioneve t\u00eb inteligjenc\u00ebs per\u00ebndimore, trupat ndodhen n\u00eb distanc\u00eb sulmi.<\/p>\n
Rusia i mohon planet p\u00ebr pushtim dhe thot\u00eb se NATO-ja \u00ebsht\u00eb ajo q\u00eb paraqet k\u00ebrc\u00ebnim p\u00ebr sigurin\u00eb e saj. Rusia k\u00ebrkon garanci nga NATO-ja se do t\u00eb ndaloj\u00eb zgjerimin drejt lindjes dhe se nuk do t\u00eb pranoj\u00eb n\u00eb radh\u00ebt e saj vendet ish-sovjetike, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebn.<\/p>\n
Shtetet e Bashkuara – fuqia m\u00eb e madhe n\u00eb NATO – kan\u00eb refuzuar n\u00eb nj\u00eb let\u00ebr me shkrim k\u00ebrkesat ruse p\u00ebr zgjerimin e aleanc\u00ebs, por kan\u00eb ofruar rrug\u00eb diplomatike p\u00ebr zgjidhjen e kriz\u00ebs.<\/p>\n
\u201cNe jemi t\u00eb hapur p\u00ebr dialog, ne preferojm\u00eb diplomacin\u00eb dhe jemi t\u00eb p\u00ebrgatitur t\u00eb ecim p\u00ebrpara aty ku ka mund\u00ebsi komunikimi dhe bashk\u00ebpunimi, n\u00ebse Rusia ndal agresionin ndaj Ukrain\u00ebs, n\u00ebse ndal retorik\u00ebn nxit\u00ebse dhe diskuton p\u00ebr t\u00eb ardhmen e siguris\u00eb n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb n\u00eb frym\u00ebn e reciprocitetit\u201d, ka th\u00ebn\u00eb sekretari amerikan i Shtetit, Antony Blinken.<\/p>\n
Ministri i Jasht\u00ebm rus, Sergei Lavrov, ka th\u00ebn\u00eb se SHBA-ja nuk i ka marr\u00eb parasysh shqet\u00ebsimet e Rusis\u00eb p\u00ebr sigurin\u00eb, por ka theksuar se ka hap\u00ebsir\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb vazhduar dialogun me SHBA-n\u00eb p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb \u00e7\u00ebshtje.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb nj\u00eb deklarat\u00eb m\u00eb her\u00ebt, Lavrov ka th\u00ebn\u00eb se n\u00ebse Per\u00ebndimi nuk u p\u00ebrgjigjet k\u00ebrkesave ruse, Kremlini do t\u2019i marr\u00eb masat e duhura, por nuk ka specifikuar se cilat mund t\u00eb jen\u00eb ato.<\/p>\n
Po, p\u00ebrse Rusia \u00ebsht\u00eb kaq shum\u00eb e fokusuar te Ukraina? Kur n\u00eb vitin 1991 \u00ebsht\u00eb shp\u00ebrb\u00ebr\u00eb Bashkimi Sovjetik, Rusia ka humbur kontrollin e 14 republikave q\u00eb i ka dominuar m\u00eb par\u00eb. Humbja e Ukrain\u00ebs, megjithat\u00eb, ka qen\u00eb m\u00eb e dhimbshme p\u00ebr t\u00eb, marr\u00eb parasysh lidhjet e gjata midis dy vendeve.<\/p>\n
Ukraina, me shekuj, ka qen\u00eb pjes\u00eb e perandoris\u00eb ruse, p\u00ebrpara se t\u00eb b\u00ebhej republik\u00eb sovjetike. Vendi tani \u00ebsht\u00eb duke l\u00ebvizur gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb kah Per\u00ebndimi.<\/p>\n
Disa vende per\u00ebndimore, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb SHBA-n\u00eb, Britanin\u00eb dhe Kanadan\u00eb, jan\u00eb duke furnizuar Ukrain\u00ebn me arm\u00eb mbrojt\u00ebse. Presidenti amerikan, Joe Biden, ka th\u00ebn\u00eb se nuk e ka nd\u00ebrmend t\u00eb d\u00ebrgoj\u00eb trupa n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb, por ka paralajm\u00ebruar se Rusia do t\u00eb goditet me \u201csanksione t\u00eb papara\u201d n\u00ebse e sulmon Ukrain\u00ebn. Ngjash\u00ebm kan\u00eb paralajm\u00ebruar edhe disa aleat\u00eb evropian\u00eb t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Dikush mund t\u00eb v\u00ebr\u00eb n\u00eb dyshim efektivitetin e sanksioneve, marr\u00eb parasysh se Rusia \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrballur me masa t\u00eb tilla edhe pas aneksimit t\u00eb Krimes\u00eb, edhe pas nxitjes s\u00eb konfliktit separatist n\u00eb lindje t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs<\/p>\n
dhe k\u00ebto sanksione nuk e kan\u00eb penguar t\u00eb shkaktoj\u00eb kriz\u00ebn e tanishme. Megjithat\u00eb, kan\u00eb pasur ndikim n\u00eb ekonomin\u00eb ruse.<\/p>\n
Sipas nj\u00eb analize t\u00eb K\u00ebshillit Atlantik, ekonomia ruse nga viti 2014 \u00ebsht\u00eb rritur mesatarisht p\u00ebr 0.3 p\u00ebr qind n\u00eb vit, nd\u00ebrsa mesatarja globale ka qen\u00eb 2.3 p\u00ebr qind n\u00eb vit.<\/p>\n
Ekspert\u00ebt thon\u00eb se duhet t\u00eb ket\u00eb unitet dhe koordinim m\u00eb t\u00eb madh, n\u00ebse paraqitet nevoja p\u00ebr sanksione t\u00eb reja. Sipas tyre, Rusia v\u00ebrtet mund t\u00eb goditet r\u00ebnd\u00eb.<\/p>\n
\u201cFlasim p\u00ebr sanksione q\u00eb v\u00ebrtet do t’i shkaktonin d\u00ebme t\u00eb jasht\u00ebzakonshme ekonomis\u00eb ruse, sidomos popullit rus. Do t\u00eb ishte nj\u00eb goditje e madhe n\u00ebse i ndalohet qasja n\u00eb dollarin amerikan. Ju e dini se shum\u00eb rus\u00eb i mbajn\u00eb parat\u00eb e tyre n\u00eb dollar\u00eb, shum\u00eb firma ruse operojn\u00eb me dollar\u00eb\u201d, ka th\u00ebn\u00eb p\u00ebr programin Expose t\u00eb Radios Evropa e Lir\u00eb Olga Oliker, drejtore e programit p\u00ebr Evrop\u00ebn dhe Azin\u00eb Qendrore pran\u00eb Grupit Nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar t\u00eb Krizave.<\/p>\n
Sipas Saarah Pagung, nga K\u00ebshilli Gjerman p\u00ebr Marr\u00ebdh\u00ebnie me Jasht\u00eb, duhet goditur aty ku dhemb. Si cak t\u00eb sanksioneve ajo p\u00ebrmend: transaksionet financiare, bankat, eksportet dhe teknologjin\u00eb e mbrojtjes.<\/p>\n
\u201cKemi par\u00eb n\u00eb vitet 2013, 2014, se shum\u00eb evropian\u00eb dhe amerikan\u00eb e kan\u00eb mbivler\u00ebsuar logjik\u00ebn ekonomike mbi at\u00eb politike, duke menduar se Rusia nuk do t\u00eb nd\u00ebrhyj\u00eb ushtarakisht n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb, sepse kostoja do t\u00eb jet\u00eb shum\u00eb e lart\u00eb. Ka rrezik q\u00eb ky skenar n\u00eb Rusi t\u00eb p\u00ebrs\u00ebritet, andaj nuk jam 100% e sigurt se sanksionet v\u00ebrtet do ta pengojn\u00eb Rusin\u00eb. Por, n\u00ebse dizajnohen me kujdes, ato mund t\u00eb ken\u00eb ndikim ekstrem n\u00eb ekonomin\u00eb ruse, sidomos n\u00eb sistemin financiar rus\u201d, ka th\u00ebn\u00eb Pagung p\u00ebr Exposen\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Por, n\u00ebse vendosen sanksione t\u00eb tilla, a do t\u00eb ket\u00eb kund\u00ebrpasoja p\u00ebr Per\u00ebndimin? P\u00ebr Exposen\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrgjigjur Constanze Stelzenmuller, eksperte e politikave t\u00eb siguris\u00eb n\u00eb Institutin Brookings n\u00eb Uashington:<\/p>\n
\u201cPo, rus\u00ebt mund t\u00eb na l\u00ebn\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebrdhijm\u00eb n\u00eb dim\u00ebr, n\u00ebse i mbyllin rubinetat e gazit. Ky do t\u00eb ishte problem. Do t\u00eb ishte nj\u00eb gj\u00eb shum\u00eb e komplikuar dhe e shtrenjt\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u2019u z\u00ebvend\u00ebsuar. Do ta rriste po ashtu inflacionin. Por, \u00ebsht\u00eb e paimagjinueshme t\u00eb mos i p\u00ebrgjigjemi agresionit ushtarak kund\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebs me sanksione jasht\u00ebzakonisht t\u00eb ashpra\u201d.<\/p>\n
Sipas Stelzenmuller, rreziku i luft\u00ebs \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb i lart\u00eb e, rrjedhimisht, edhe i pasojave shkat\u00ebrruese. Spas saj, presidenti rus, Vladimir Putin, mund ta ket\u00eb humbur lidhjen me realitetin.<\/p>\n
\u201cUn\u00eb dyshoj se ai \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb situat\u00eb t\u00eb ngjashme si\u00e7 ka qen\u00eb Milloshevi\u00e7 n\u00eb Serbi. I fiksuar pas armiq\u00ebsive historike, i fiksuar pas inateve dhe nevoj\u00ebs p\u00ebr hakmarrje. Ai nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb gjendje p\u00ebr t\u2019i lexuar homolog\u00ebt e tij per\u00ebndimor\u00eb dhe nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb i rrethuar m\u00eb nga njer\u00ebz q\u00eb e kan\u00eb guximin t\u2019i japin k\u00ebshilla, t\u00eb cilat nuk i p\u00eblqejn\u00eb t\u2019i d\u00ebgjoj\u00eb. Dhe kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb ajo q\u00eb n\u00eb fund e ka sjell\u00eb Milloshevi\u00e7in para Tribunalit p\u00ebr Krime Lufte\u201d.<\/p>\n
\u201cP\u00ebr fat t\u00eb keq, lufta civile n\u00eb Jugosllavi ka zgjatur gati nj\u00eb dekad\u00eb dhe ka marr\u00eb jet\u00ebn e qindra mij\u00ebra njer\u00ebzve. Andaj, shpresoj q\u00eb udh\u00ebheq\u00ebsit per\u00ebndimor\u00eb ia kan\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb t\u00eb qart\u00eb Putinit se cili do t\u00eb jet\u00eb \u00e7mimi p\u00ebr Kremlinin dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb personalisht\u201d, ka th\u00ebn\u00eb Stelzenmuller.<\/p>\n
Presidenti i Shteteve t\u00eb Bashkuara, Joe Biden, ka shprehur shqet\u00ebsimin se pushtimi eventual i Ukrain\u00ebs edhe mund t\u00eb dal\u00eb jasht\u00eb kontrollit dhe t\u00eb shtrihet n\u00eb vendet e NATO-s, q\u00eb jan\u00eb n\u00eb kufi.<\/p>\n
NATO-ja ka rreth 4,000 trupa n\u00eb batalione shum\u00ebkomb\u00ebshe n\u00eb Estoni, Lituani, Letoni dhe Poloni.<\/p>\n
\u201cJam shum\u00eb i shqet\u00ebsuar. Shikoni, e vetmja luft\u00eb q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb e keqe se lufta e q\u00ebllimshme, \u00ebsht\u00eb ajo q\u00eb b\u00ebhet pa q\u00ebllim. Jam i shqet\u00ebsuar se kjo mund t\u00eb dal\u00eb jasht\u00eb kontrollit shum\u00eb leht\u00eb\u201d, ka th\u00ebn\u00eb presidenti amerikan, Biden.<\/p>\n
Do t\u00eb ishte joracionale prej Rusis\u00eb n\u00ebse do t\u00eb lejonte q\u00eb pushtimi eventual i Ukrain\u00ebs t\u00eb rr\u00ebshqiste edhe n\u00eb vende t\u00eb tjera t\u00eb Evrop\u00ebs, ka th\u00ebn\u00eb Constanze Stelzenmuller, nga Instituti Brookings.<\/p>\n
\u201cMendoj se rus\u00ebt do t\u00eb jen\u00eb krejt\u00ebsisht t\u00eb pamend n\u00ebse e zhvendosin agresionin ushtarak kund\u00ebr nj\u00eb vendi an\u00ebtar t\u00eb NATO-s. Ky do t\u00eb ishte nj\u00eb rast p\u00ebr Nenin 5 t\u00eb Traktatit t\u00eb NATO-s dhe ne do t\u00eb nd\u00ebrhynim t\u00eb gjith\u00eb kund\u00ebr tyre. At\u00ebher\u00eb, rus\u00ebt do t\u00eb jen\u00eb n\u00eb shum\u00eb telashe\u201d, ka th\u00ebn\u00eb ajo.<\/p>\n
Neni 5 i Traktatit t\u00eb NATO-s thot\u00eb se sulmi kund\u00ebr nj\u00eb vendi an\u00ebtar, n\u00ebnkupton sulm kund\u00ebr gjith\u00eb aleanc\u00ebs.<\/p>\n
NATO-ja u \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrgjigjur gjithashtu me shkrim k\u00ebrkesave t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb. Sekretari i p\u00ebrgjithsh\u00ebm, Jens Stoltenberg, nuk ka dh\u00ebn\u00eb shum\u00eb detaje, por ka th\u00ebn\u00eb se beson n\u00eb zgjidhje politike t\u00eb kriz\u00ebs. Megjithat\u00eb, ka theksuar se aleat\u00ebt mbeten t\u00eb p\u00ebrgatitur p\u00ebr m\u00eb t\u00eb keq\u00ebn.<\/p>\n
\u201cNATO beson fuqish\u00ebm se tensionet dhe mosmarr\u00ebveshjet duhet t\u00eb zgjidhen me dialog dhe diplomaci, jo me forc\u00eb ose k\u00ebrc\u00ebnim t\u00eb forc\u00ebs\u201d, ka th\u00ebn\u00eb Stoltenberg.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb gjith\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb vorbull ngjarjesh, deklaratash e paralajm\u00ebrimesh, nga vet\u00eb Kievi – q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb cak i dikujt, e shqet\u00ebsim i t\u00eb tjer\u00ebve – jan\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb thirrje kund\u00ebr panikut.<\/p>\n
\u201cMbrojeni trupin tuaj nga viruset, trurin nga g\u00ebnjeshtrat dhe zemr\u00ebn nga paniku\u201d, ka th\u00ebn\u00eb presidenti ukrainas, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, n\u00eb nj\u00eb mesazh drejtuar popullit, m\u00eb 25 janar.\/ REL<\/p>\n
Nga: VALONA TELA<\/p>\n
Gazeta Shqip<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Analiza e REL: – Putin n\u00eb \u201cfaz\u00ebn e Milloshevi\u00e7it\u201d. 30 JANAR 2022 Nga: VALONA TELA Jan\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb gati tet\u00eb vjet prejse Rusia ka nd\u00ebrhyr\u00eb n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb dhe ka aneksuar Gadishullin e Krimes\u00eb – gj\u00eb q\u00eb ka nxitur nj\u00eb s\u00ebr\u00eb sanksionesh nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare kund\u00ebr saj. Sot, Shtetet e Bashkuara dhe aleat\u00ebt evropian\u00eb e gjejn\u00eb s\u00ebrish veten duke […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":53603,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[27,2,35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53602","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blogu-i-udhetarit","category-politika","category-shoqerore"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/640-0-543d754bfe42236b5db480fca0ce3393.jpg?fit=640%2C393&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5Z6wp-dWy","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":53253,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/bota-ne-prag-te-luftes-nese-rusia-pushton-ukrainen-gjermania-sinjalizon-per-vendimin-e-forte\/","url_meta":{"origin":53602,"position":0},"title":"Bota n\u00eb prag t\u00eb luft\u00ebs? – N\u00ebse Rusia pushton Ukrain\u00ebn, Gjermania sinjalizon p\u00ebr vendimin e fort\u00eb","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"January 19, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Bota n\u00eb prag t\u00eb luft\u00ebs? - N\u00ebse Rusia pushton Ukrain\u00ebn, Gjermania sinjalizon p\u00ebr vendimin e fort\u00eb 19 JANAR 2022 Gjermania sinjalizoi t\u00eb mart\u00ebn se mund t\u00eb ndalonte gazsjell\u00ebsin Nord Stream 2 nga Rusia n\u00ebse Moska pushton Ukrain\u00ebn dhe vendet per\u00ebndimore u mobilizuan rreth Kievit mbi nj\u00eb grumbullim t\u00eb trupave ruse\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit"","block_context":{"text":"Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/blogu-i-udhetarit\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/640-0-36376a388eaa57ea14915fc1a00dcbe9.jpg?fit=640%2C384&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/640-0-36376a388eaa57ea14915fc1a00dcbe9.jpg?fit=640%2C384&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/640-0-36376a388eaa57ea14915fc1a00dcbe9.jpg?fit=640%2C384&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":53672,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/lufte-mes-ukraines-dhe-rusise-shba-ja-dergon-ne-ukraine-ndihme-vdekjeprurese-ushtarake\/","url_meta":{"origin":53602,"position":1},"title":"Luft\u00eb mes Ukrain\u00ebs dhe Rusis\u00eb? – SHBA-ja d\u00ebrgon n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb \u201cndihm\u00eb vdekjeprur\u00ebse\u201d ushtarake","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"February 2, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Luft\u00eb mes Ukrain\u00ebs dhe Rusis\u00eb? - SHBA-ja d\u00ebrgon n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb \u201cndihm\u00eb vdekjeprur\u00ebse\u201d ushtarake 23 JANAR 2022 Rreth 90 ton\u00eb t\u00eb \u201cndihm\u00ebs vdekjeprur\u00ebse\u201d t\u00eb Shteteve t\u00eb Bashkuara ka arritur n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb, teksa tensionet jan\u00eb t\u00eb larta p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb grumbullimit t\u00eb ushtris\u00eb ruse p\u00ebrgjat\u00eb kufirit me Ukrain\u00ebn. 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