{"id":53573,"date":"2022-01-29T13:16:28","date_gmt":"2022-01-29T13:16:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/?p=53573"},"modified":"2022-01-29T13:16:47","modified_gmt":"2022-01-29T13:16:47","slug":"afro-4-here-me-shume-se-sa-eshte-raportuar-the-economist-perpunon-te-dhenatte-pakten-12-mije-shqiptare-vdiqen-per-shkak-te-pandemise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/afro-4-here-me-shume-se-sa-eshte-raportuar-the-economist-perpunon-te-dhenatte-pakten-12-mije-shqiptare-vdiqen-per-shkak-te-pandemise\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201cAfro 4 her\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb se sa \u00ebsht\u00eb raportuar\u201d, The Economist p\u00ebrpunon t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat: – T\u00eb pakt\u00ebn 12 mij\u00eb shqiptar\u00eb vdiq\u00ebn p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb pandemis\u00eb"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/p>\n

\u201cAfro 4 her\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb se sa \u00ebsht\u00eb raportuar\u201d, The Economist p\u00ebrpunon t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat:T\u00eb pakt\u00ebn 12 mij\u00eb shqiptar\u00eb vdiq\u00ebn p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb pandemis\u00eb<\/p>\n

12 Janar 2022<\/p>\n

Prestigjiozja britanike \u201cThe Economist\u201d ka b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb raportim mjaft t\u00eb detajuar n\u00eb lidhje me numrin e v\u00ebrtet\u00eb t\u00eb vdekjeve t\u00eb shkaktuara nga pandemia, ndryshe nga sa jan\u00eb raportuar nga institucioneve p\u00ebrgjegj\u00ebse.<\/p>\n

Pas p\u00ebrpunimit t\u00eb t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave nga 186 shtete t\u00eb bot\u00ebs, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb edhe Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb, \u201cThe Economist\u201d ka dal\u00eb n\u00eb p\u00ebrfundimin se numri real i viktimave nga pandemia n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb globin nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb 5.5 milion, por rreth 19.1 milion. Kjo shif\u00ebr \u00ebsht\u00eb gati kat\u00ebr her\u00eb m\u00eb e lart\u00eb nga ajo q\u00eb kan\u00eb raportuar zyrtarisht shtetet.<\/p>\n

Vdekjet e deklaruara dhe ato reale nga pandemia ne Shqiperi sipas grafikut te pergatitur nga \u201cThe Economist\u201d<\/p>\n

Te kjo shif\u00ebr nuk jan\u00eb vet\u00ebm ata q\u00eb kan\u00eb vdekur drejtp\u00ebrdrejt nga koronavirusi, por edhe pacient\u00eb me s\u00ebmundje t\u00eb tjera, t\u00eb cil\u00ebt nuk kan\u00eb mundur t\u00eb marrin mjekimin apo sh\u00ebrbimin e duhur p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb mbushjes s\u00eb spitaleve apo orientimit t\u00eb resurseve kryesisht n\u00eb drejtim t\u00eb p\u00ebrballimit t\u00eb pandemis\u00eb.<\/p>\n

P\u00ebr t\u00eb arritur n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb tregues, \u201cTh Economist\u201d ka p\u00ebrdorur nj\u00eb model kompjuterik, i cili ka krahasuar vdekshm\u00ebrin\u00eb n\u00eb kushte normale t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb rajon dhe koh\u00eb t\u00eb caktuar me numrin e t\u00eb vdekurve t\u00eb deklaruar nga autoritetet pavar\u00ebsisht shkakut t\u00eb tyre.<\/p>\n

Pjesa e dal\u00eb \u201ctep\u00ebr\u201d n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb raport \u00ebsht\u00eb ajo q\u00eb \u201cThe Economist\u201d e konsideron \u201cvdekje pa ndonj\u00eb shkak tjet\u00ebr\u201d, nisur edhe nga fakti se n\u00eb rajonin n\u00eb fjal\u00eb s\u2019ka patur ndonj\u00eb katastrof\u00eb, duke e lidhur k\u00ebshtu drejtp\u00ebrdrejt me pandemin\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Sa i p\u00ebrket Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb, duke iu referuar metodologjis\u00eb s\u00eb m\u00ebsip\u00ebrme, \u201cThe Economist\u201d vler\u00ebson se numri real i t\u00eb vdekurve p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb pandemis\u00eb varion mes 12 mij\u00eb dhe 15 mij\u00eb personave, nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb q\u00eb shifra zyrtare e deklaruar si t\u00eb vdekur nga koronavirusi \u00ebsht\u00eb 3 247.<\/p>\n

Nga The Economist<\/p>\n

Sa persona kan\u00eb humbur jet\u00ebn p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb Covid-19? P\u00ebrgjigja varet si nga t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat e disponueshme, ashtu edhe nga shkaku. Shum\u00eb njer\u00ebz q\u00eb kan\u00eb humbur jet\u00ebn p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb\u00a0 SARS-CoV-2 nuk jan\u00eb testuar kurr\u00eb dhe n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb nuk jan\u00eb pjes\u00eb e t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave zyrtare.<\/p>\n

Anasjelltas, disa njer\u00ebz, vdekjet e t\u00eb cil\u00ebve i jan\u00eb atribuar Covid-19, kishin s\u00ebmundje t\u00eb tjera prej t\u00eb cilave mund t\u00eb kishin vdekur. Madje disa prej tyre\u00a0 vdiq\u00ebn p\u00ebr faktin se spitalet ishin t\u00eb tejmbushur me pacient\u00eb me Covid-19\u00a0 dhe ata nuk mund t\u00eb merrnin dot\u00a0 trajtimin e duhur.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb vend q\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrpiqemi t\u00eb b\u00ebjm\u00eb dallimin midis shkaqeve t\u00eb vdekjes, qasja e The Economist \u00ebsht\u00eb t\u00eb dij\u00eb shifrat e sakta. Metoda standarde e gjurmimit t\u00eb ndryshimeve n\u00eb vdekshm\u00ebrin\u00eb totale jan\u00eb \u201cvdekjet q\u00eb nuk jan\u00eb regjistruar\u201d.<\/p>\n

Ky num\u00ebr \u00ebsht\u00eb hendeku nd\u00ebrmjet numrit t\u00eb njer\u00ebzve q\u00eb kan\u00eb vdekur n\u00eb nj\u00eb rajon t\u00eb caktuar gjat\u00eb nj\u00eb periudhe t\u00eb caktuar kohore, pavar\u00ebsisht nga shkaku, dhe sa viktima do t\u00eb kishim n\u00ebse do t\u00eb kishin ndodhur n\u00eb rrethana t\u00eb tjera.<\/p>\n

Megjith\u00ebse numri zyrtar i vdekjeve t\u00eb shkaktuara nga Covid-19 \u00ebsht\u00eb tani 5.5 milion, n\u00eb fakt mendohet se numri i vdekjeve \u00ebsht\u00eb 19.1 milion.\u00a0 Kjo p\u00ebr shkak se llogaritja e vdekjeve shtes\u00eb\u00a0 p\u00ebr t\u00eb gjith\u00eb bot\u00ebn \u00ebsht\u00eb komplekse dhe e pasakt\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb statistikat e publikuara nga nj\u00ebsit\u00eb n\u00ebn komb\u00ebtare si provincat ose qytetet, midis 156 vendeve t\u00eb bot\u00ebs me t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn 1 milion njer\u00ebz, The Economist mblodhi t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat p\u00ebr vdekshm\u00ebrin\u00eb totale nga vet\u00ebm 84 prej tyre.<\/p>\n

Disa nga k\u00ebto vende p\u00ebrdit\u00ebsojn\u00eb rregullisht t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat e tyre; t\u00eb tjer\u00ebt i kan\u00eb publikuar vet\u00ebm nj\u00eb her\u00eb. P\u00ebr t\u00eb plot\u00ebsuar k\u00ebto boshll\u00ebqe, The Economist ka nd\u00ebrtuar nj\u00eb tabel\u00eb, i cili vler\u00ebson numrin e viktimave shtes\u00eb p\u00ebr \u00e7do vend \u00e7do dit\u00eb q\u00eb nga fillimi i pandemis\u00eb. Ai bazohet si n\u00eb t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat zyrtare t\u00eb vdekshm\u00ebris\u00eb s\u00eb tep\u00ebrt ashtu edhe n\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 100 tregues t\u00eb tjer\u00eb statistikor\u00eb.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb grafikun e m\u00ebsip\u00ebrm, ju mund t\u00eb vler\u00ebsoni shifrat\u00a0 ose p\u00ebr bot\u00ebn n\u00eb t\u00ebr\u00ebsi ose t\u00eb ndara sipas rajonit. Sa m\u00eb pak t\u00eb dh\u00ebna t\u00eb disponueshme n\u00eb nj\u00eb vend t\u00eb caktuar, aq m\u00eb pak t\u00eb sigurt jemi se sa viktima shtes\u00eb jan\u00eb regjistruar n\u00eb at\u00eb vend.\u00a0 Shifrat totale jan\u00eb gjithashtu t\u00eb disponueshme m\u00eb posht\u00eb, n\u00eb formatin e tabel\u00ebs.<\/p>\n

Vler\u00ebsimet e m\u00ebsip\u00ebrme rajonale jan\u00eb grumbullime t\u00eb t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave p\u00ebr vende t\u00eb ve\u00e7anta. Dallimet midis vendeve n\u00eb shkall\u00ebn dhe frekuenc\u00ebn e testimit p\u00ebr SARS-CoV-2 \u2013 t\u00eb cilat, s\u00eb bashku me ashp\u00ebrsin\u00eb e pandemis\u00eb, p\u00ebrcaktojn\u00eb numrin zyrtar t\u00eb viktimave nga Covid-19.<\/p>\n

T\u00eb dh\u00ebnat p\u00ebr viktimat shtes\u00eb jan\u00eb thelb\u00ebsore p\u00ebr t\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb krahasime midis vendeve t\u00eb ndryshme. Grafiku i m\u00ebsip\u00ebrm krahason vdekjet shtes\u00eb me kalimin e koh\u00ebs n\u00eb vendet q\u00eb jan\u00eb marr\u00eb n\u00eb studim. The Economist ofron t\u00eb dh\u00ebna t\u00eb vdekjeve shtes\u00eb p\u00ebr \u00e7do dit\u00eb q\u00eb nga fillimi i pandemis\u00eb. Kjo e b\u00ebn edhe m\u00eb t\u00eb qart\u00eb se Covid-19 ka shkaktuar m\u00eb shum\u00eb viktima se sa \u00ebsht\u00eb raportuar.<\/p>\n

Shum\u00eb nga vendet m\u00eb t\u00eb prekura n\u00eb bot\u00eb jan\u00eb n\u00eb Amerik\u00ebn Latine. Megjith\u00ebse raporti zyrtar i vdekjeve t\u00eb Rusis\u00eb sugjeron q\u00eb vendi ia ka dal\u00eb mban\u00eb n\u00eb luft\u00ebn kund\u00ebr pandemis\u00eb por sipas t\u00eb dh\u00ebnave t\u00eb The Economist, Rusia \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb nga vendet m\u00eb t\u00eb prekura.<\/p>\n

E nj\u00ebjta gj\u00eb vlen edhe p\u00ebr Indin\u00eb, ku besohet se numri zyrtar\u00a0 t\u00eb jet\u00eb n\u00eb miliona.<\/p>\n

Megjith\u00ebse statistikat e\u00a0 viktimave shtes\u00eb jan\u00eb matja m\u00eb gjith\u00ebp\u00ebrfshir\u00ebse e kostos njer\u00ebzore t\u00eb Covid-19, ato jan\u00eb t\u00eb lidhura vet\u00ebm me numrin e njer\u00ebzve q\u00eb jan\u00eb infektuar me SARS-CoV-2.<\/p>\n

P\u00ebr shkak se virusi \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb vdekjeprur\u00ebs p\u00ebr t\u00eb moshuarit sesa p\u00ebr t\u00eb rinjt\u00eb, numri i vdekjeve ndikohet shum\u00eb nga struktura e mosh\u00ebs s\u00eb popullsis\u00eb s\u00eb nj\u00eb vendi. Si rezultat, t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat e viktimave shtes\u00eb mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrdoren vet\u00ebm si nj\u00eb tregues i mir\u00eb i p\u00ebrhapjes s\u00eb Covid-19 n\u00ebse llogaritet edhe demografia.<\/p>\n

Dy tabelat e m\u00ebsip\u00ebrme tregojn\u00eb disa nga implikimet e k\u00ebsaj dukurie. E para tregon vdekjet shtes\u00eb si p\u00ebrqindje e popullsis\u00eb s\u00eb \u00e7do vendi me personat mbi 65 vje\u00e7. E dyta p\u00ebrshkruan nj\u00eb vler\u00ebsim t\u00eb p\u00ebrqindjes s\u00eb njer\u00ebzve n\u00eb \u00e7do vend q\u00eb jan\u00eb infektuar.<\/p>\n

P\u00ebr ta llogaritur at\u00eb, jan\u00eb ndar\u00eb vdekjet shtes\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00eb vendi me nj\u00eb rrezik m\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb t\u00eb infektimit dhe vdekshm\u00ebris\u00eb. Ky vler\u00ebsim nuk\u00a0 llogarit as ndryshimin midis grupeve t\u00eb ve\u00e7anta demografike,\u00a0 as dallimet n\u00eb prevalenc\u00ebn e kushteve themelore mjek\u00ebsore q\u00eb rrisin rrezikshm\u00ebrin\u00eb ndaj Covid-19.<\/p>\n

P\u00ebr shkak se mjek\u00ebsia nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb e zhvilluar n\u00eb vendet e varfra, numri i viktimave \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb i lart\u00eb n\u00eb k\u00ebto vende. N\u00eb disa vende, kjo paraqet nj\u00eb vler\u00ebsim t\u00eb rasteve totale q\u00eb tejkalojn\u00eb popullsin\u00eb e nj\u00eb vendi \u2013 nj\u00eb skenar q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb teorikisht i mundsh\u00ebm, pasi riinfektimet ndodhin.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Kjo metod\u00eb gjithashtu nuk p\u00ebrfshin t\u00eb dh\u00ebna p\u00ebr vaksinimet, t\u00eb cilat kan\u00eb ulur ndjesh\u00ebm shkall\u00ebn e infektimit-vdekshm\u00ebris\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2021 n\u00eb shum\u00eb vende. Dhe i mungon informacioni p\u00ebr prevalenc\u00ebn e varianteve t\u00eb reja t\u00eb SARS-CoV-2 si Alpha dhe Delta, t\u00eb cilat mund t\u00eb ken\u00eb nj\u00eb shkall\u00eb t\u00eb ndryshme virulence nga lloji origjinal. Pavar\u00ebsisht nga t\u00eb gjitha k\u00ebto paralajm\u00ebrime, kjo qasje ofron nj\u00eb pik\u00ebnisje p\u00ebr t\u00eb vler\u00ebsuar se sa njer\u00ebz jan\u00eb infektuar nga virusi, raporton abcnews.al<\/p>\n

*Ka dy m\u00ebnyra kryesore q\u00eb shifrat rreth vdekjeve t\u00eb tep\u00ebrta mund t\u00eb keqinterpretojn\u00eb realitetin.<\/p>\n

E para \u00ebsht\u00eb se ata mb\u00ebshteten n\u00eb supozimin se shifrat e publikuara zyrtarisht t\u00eb vdekshm\u00ebris\u00eb jan\u00eb t\u00eb sakta. Duke pasur parasysh problemet q\u00eb ka shkaktuar Covid-19, disa qeveri mund t\u00eb ken\u00eb ndryshuar m\u00ebnyr\u00ebn se si p\u00ebrpilojn\u00eb t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat p\u00ebr numrin e viktimave gjat\u00eb pandemis\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Kjo mund t\u00eb na b\u00ebj\u00eb q\u00eb t\u00eb publikojm\u00eb shifra q\u00eb nuk jan\u00eb t\u00eb sakta p\u00ebr vendet n\u00eb fjal\u00eb. Sigurisht mund t\u00eb ket\u00eb gabime edhe n\u00eb vler\u00ebsimin e secilit vend.<\/p>\n

E dyta, p\u00ebr arsye se shumica e vendeve q\u00eb raportojn\u00eb numrin shtes\u00eb t\u00eb viktimave jan\u00eb t\u00eb pasura ose me t\u00eb ardhura mesatare. K\u00ebshtu q\u00eb k\u00ebto modele nxjerrin n\u00eb pah se t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat n\u00eb vendet e varfra mund t\u00eb mos jen\u00eb t\u00eb sakta.<\/p>\n

Nj\u00eb paralajm\u00ebrim i ngjash\u00ebm vlen p\u00ebr vendet q\u00eb mund t\u00eb ken\u00eb regjistruar m\u00eb shum\u00eb viktima se sa jan\u00eb raportuar p\u00ebr arsye t\u00eb tjera p\u00ebrve\u00e7 pandemis\u00eb, t\u00eb tilla si lufta ose fatkeq\u00ebsit\u00eb natyrore.<\/p>\n

Gazeta Dita<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u201cAfro 4 her\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb se sa \u00ebsht\u00eb raportuar\u201d, The Economist p\u00ebrpunon t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat:T\u00eb pakt\u00ebn 12 mij\u00eb shqiptar\u00eb vdiq\u00ebn p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb pandemis\u00eb 12 Janar 2022 Prestigjiozja britanike \u201cThe Economist\u201d ka b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb raportim mjaft t\u00eb detajuar n\u00eb lidhje me numrin e v\u00ebrtet\u00eb t\u00eb vdekjeve t\u00eb shkaktuara nga pandemia, ndryshe nga sa jan\u00eb raportuar nga […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":53574,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[27,2,35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53573","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blogu-i-udhetarit","category-politika","category-shoqerore"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/01\/22-640x361-1.jpg?fit=640%2C361&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5Z6wp-dW5","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":102740,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/shpopullimi-nisi-te-pershpejtohej-pas-2013-u-rrit-mbi-55-gjate-sundimit-te-rames\/","url_meta":{"origin":53573,"position":0},"title":"Shpopullimi nisi t\u00eb p\u00ebrshpejtohej pas 2013, u rrit mbi 55% gjat\u00eb sundimit t\u00eb Ram\u00ebs","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"July 15, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"15 Korrik 2026 Eurostat nxjerr shifrat trondit\u00ebse Shqip\u00ebria vijon t\u00eb p\u00ebrballet me nj\u00eb nga krizat m\u00eb t\u00eb thella demografike n\u00eb Europ\u00eb. 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