{"id":42925,"date":"2021-01-14T16:40:18","date_gmt":"2021-01-14T16:40:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/?p=42925"},"modified":"2021-01-14T16:43:43","modified_gmt":"2021-01-14T16:43:43","slug":"zbulohet-skema-elektorale-ja-si-do-garoje-opozita","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/zbulohet-skema-elektorale-ja-si-do-garoje-opozita\/","title":{"rendered":"Zbulohet skema elektorale. – Ja si do garoj\u00eb opozita"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/p>\n

Zbulohet skema elektorale. – Ja si do garoj\u00eb opozita.<\/p>\n

14 Janar, 2021<\/p>\n

Nga:\u00a0E.K.<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

Prej disa koh\u00ebsh, Partia Demokratike, L\u00ebvizja Socialiste p\u00ebr Integrim dhe aleat\u00ebt e tyre n\u00eb opozit\u00eb kan\u00eb treguar disa formula se si ata do t\u00eb kandidojn\u00eb n\u00eb zgjedhjet e 25 prillit. Pas ndryshimit t\u00eb Kodit Zgjedhor dhe bllokimit t\u00eb koalicioneve n\u00eb lista t\u00eb hapura por vet\u00ebm me \u00a0koalicione me nj\u00eb list\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrbashk\u00ebt, opozita ka filluar kalkulimet e saj.<\/p>\n

Burime zyrtare nga Partia Demokratike than\u00eb p\u00ebr CNA.al se tashm\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb konfiguruar se cila \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00ebnyra m\u00eb e mir\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb maksimalizuar vot\u00ebn e opozit\u00ebs.<\/strong>\u00a0Tashm\u00eb pas shum\u00eb q\u00ebndrimesh, nj\u00eb list\u00eb, dy lista, tre lista dhe m\u00ebnyra t\u00eb tjera t\u00eb artikuluara publikisht jo vet\u00ebm nga PD dhe zyrtar\u00ebt e saj por edhe nga aleat\u00ebt, \u00ebsht\u00eb zbuluar skema q\u00eb do t\u00eb p\u00ebrdoret nga PD dhe LSI p\u00ebr zgjedhjet e 25 prillit.<\/p>\n

Sipas burimeve zyrtare, skema q\u00eb do t\u00eb p\u00ebrdoret do t\u00eb jen\u00eb dy lista<\/strong>; Nj\u00eb list\u00eb e v\u00ebrtet\u00eb dhe nj\u00eb fiktive, por kjo e dyta sipas qarqeve. Nj\u00eb skem\u00eb \u201cDUSHKU\u201d.<\/p>\n

Nj\u00eb list\u00eb e cila do t\u00eb jet\u00eb e PD<\/strong>\u00a0do t\u00eb ket\u00eb emrat edhe t\u00eb disa aleat\u00ebve, por edhe t\u00eb kandidat\u00ebve t\u00eb LSI. Por k\u00ebta do t\u00eb jen\u00eb n\u00ebn sigl\u00ebn e PD. Pra pak a shum\u00eb kandidimi i nj\u00eb pjese t\u00eb koalicioni opozitar do t\u00eb b\u00ebhet n\u00eb list\u00ebn e PD ashtu si\u00e7 ka qen\u00eb edhe kat\u00ebr vite m\u00eb par\u00eb. Pra kujtojm\u00eb se ishin t\u00eb gjith\u00eb aleat\u00ebt brenda s\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebs list\u00eb, por pa sigl\u00ebn e tyre brenda PD. Vet\u00ebm nj\u00eb regjistrim ka pasur q\u00eb ka qen\u00eb e Partis\u00eb Republikane p\u00ebr t\u00eb ruajtur komisioner\u00ebt.<\/p>\n

Kjo formul\u00eb do t\u00eb p\u00ebrdoret k\u00ebt\u00eb her\u00eb. Pra ashtu si\u00e7 edhe e kemi m\u00ebsuar, Agron Duka, Dashamir Shehi, Nard Ndoka e t\u00eb tjer\u00eb do t\u00eb jen\u00eb n\u00eb Durr\u00ebs, Tiran\u00eb apo Shkod\u00ebr n\u00eb vende t\u00eb sigurta n\u00eb list\u00ebn e PD, pra t\u00eb koalicionit q\u00eb ajo do t\u00eb udh\u00ebheq.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Lista e dyt\u00eb do t\u00eb jet\u00eb lista e LSI<\/strong>. Pra nj\u00eb koalicion tjet\u00ebr opozitar po regjistrohet, e cila do t\u00eb ket\u00eb edhe \u00e7el\u00ebsin e loj\u00ebs s\u00eb opozit\u00ebs. Pra kjo list\u00eb e dyt\u00eb, diku do t\u00eb jet\u00eb fiktive n\u00eb disa qarqe e diku do t\u00eb jet\u00eb me emra p\u00ebr t\u00eb tentuar fitoren.<\/p>\n

Pra le t\u00eb sjellim dy shembuj.\u00a0N\u00eb qarkun e Vlor\u00ebs kandidat i LSI \u00ebsht\u00eb Luan Rama,<\/strong>\u00a0i cili do t\u00eb p\u00ebrfaq\u00ebsoj\u00eb koalicionin e k\u00ebsaj partie. Ai nuk do t\u00eb jet\u00eb n\u00eb list\u00ebn e PD. Nd\u00ebrsa n\u00eb Durr\u00ebs Agron Duka do t\u00eb jet\u00eb n\u00eb list\u00ebn e PD. LSI n\u00eb Durr\u00ebs do t\u00eb paraqes\u00eb po nj\u00eb list\u00eb t\u00eb saj\u00ebn, ku do t\u00eb ket\u00eb emrat q\u00eb jan\u00eb Elona Guri, Bahri Shaqiri etj. Gjithashtu n\u00eb Vlor\u00eb lista do t\u00eb jet\u00eb nga Luan Rama dhe do t\u00eb pasohet nga emra t\u00eb tjer\u00eb dhe lista e PD kryesohet nga Bujar Leskaj. Kjo skem\u00eb mendojn\u00eb drejtuesit e opozit\u00ebs jasht\u00eb parlamentare siguron n\u00eb k\u00ebto qarqe, por jo vet\u00ebm,\u00a0 m\u00eb shum\u00eb vota e mandate.<\/p>\n

Nd\u00ebrsa n\u00eb Kor\u00e7\u00eb<\/strong>, duket se skema q\u00eb do t\u00eb p\u00ebrdoret \u00ebsht\u00eb ndryshe. N\u00eb qarkun Kor\u00e7\u00eb kandidati i LSI do t\u00eb jet\u00eb brenda list\u00ebs s\u00eb PD dhe lista e dyt\u00eb e koalicionit opozitar do t\u00eb jet\u00eb nj\u00eb list\u00eb fiktive dhe LSI do t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb thirrje p\u00ebr t\u00eb votuar numrin 3 apo 5 apo 7 varet si do t\u00eb jet\u00eb numri q\u00eb LSI do t\u00eb ket\u00eb brenda koalicionit me PD. Kandidat\u00ebt e saj do t\u00eb jen\u00eb n\u00eb sigl\u00ebn e PD, pra\u00a0LSI dhe partit\u00eb aleate t\u00eb PD do t\u00eb kandidojn\u00eb n\u00eb dy pal\u00eb lista; N\u00eb list\u00ebn e koalicionit t\u00eb PD dhe n\u00eb list\u00ebn e koaliconit t\u00eb LSIapo aleat\u00ebve q\u00eb do t\u00eb n\u00ebnshkruajn\u00eb koalicionin paraelektoral me k\u00ebto forc\u00eb politike.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Pra llogarit\u00eb q\u00eb po b\u00ebn opozita jan\u00eb t\u00eb thjeshta. Ato b\u00ebhen n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00ebn p\u00ebr t\u00eb maksimalizuar votat n\u00ebp\u00ebr qarqe. Si shembull merren votat e 2009, 2013 dhe 2017, nj\u00eb mesatare e tyre, flukset elektorale q\u00eb kan\u00eb pasur pal\u00ebt dhe maksimilizimi i vot\u00ebs duke tentuar q\u00eb t\u00eb impostohet sa m\u00eb shum\u00eb vota n\u00eb \u00e7do koalicion t\u00eb mundsh\u00ebm ku mund t\u00eb fitohet mandate.<\/p>\n

P\u00ebrshembull n\u00eb rastin e Vlor\u00ebs, tentohet q\u00eb t\u00eb jet\u00eb lista me Luan Ram\u00ebn, kjo sepse opozita do ta kishte shum\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb qark n\u00eb nj\u00eb koalicion t\u00eb p\u00ebrbashk\u00ebt me LSI q\u00eb votat e majta t\u2019i spostonte te PD.<\/p>\n

Prandaj \u00ebsht\u00eb gjetur zgjidhja q\u00eb Luan Rama t\u00eb tentoj ta marr\u00eb vet\u00eb mandatin e deputetit, k\u00ebshtu edhe me kandidat\u00eb t\u00eb tjer\u00eb n\u00eb Berat, Fier, Elbasan, Durr\u00ebs, Tiran\u00eb etj.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb zonat ku kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb ose e pamundur, do t\u00eb b\u00ebhet nj\u00eb zgjidhje tjet\u00ebr. Kandidat\u00ebt e LSI do t\u00eb jen\u00eb brenda list\u00ebs s\u00eb PD dhe lista e LSI do t\u00eb jet\u00eb krejt normale. Pra dy lista, dy koalicione t\u00eb cilat do p\u00ebrdoren sipas shprehjes s\u00eb urt\u00eb popullore \u201cSipas vendit edhe kuvendi\u201d.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Pra atje ku me t\u00eb dy listat mund t\u00eb maksimalizohet vota dhe mandatet do tentohet me dy lista, atje ku mund t\u00eb humben vota dhe mund t\u00eb ket\u00eb pasoja, \u00ebsht\u00eb gjetur zgjidhja q\u00eb kandidat\u00ebt e e aleat\u00ebve t\u00eb tjer\u00eb tu b\u00ebjn\u00eb thirrje zgjedh\u00ebsve t\u00eb votojn\u00eb p\u00ebr koalicionin tjet\u00ebr.<\/p>\n

Kjo formul\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb sjell\u00eb jo thjesht dhe vet\u00ebm p\u00ebr maksimalizimin e vot\u00ebs, dipas eskpert\u00ebve t\u00eb PD-LSI, e cila n\u00eb p\u00ebrfundim sjell mandate m\u00eb shum\u00eb, pasi pal\u00ebt b\u00ebjn\u00eb llogari se shifrat p\u00ebr t\u00eb kaluar numri 71 t\u00eb deputet\u00ebve t\u00eb duhur p\u00ebr t\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb qeverin\u00eb jan\u00eb mjaft t\u00eb v\u00ebshtira me k\u00ebt\u00eb sistem.<\/p>\n

Kjo jo vet\u00ebm p\u00ebr opozit\u00ebn, por edhe p\u00ebr qeverin\u00eb. Kujtojm\u00eb k\u00ebtu betej\u00ebn e madhe t\u00eb zgjedhjeve t\u00eb 2017, betej\u00ebn e madhe t\u00eb 2013-2009, pavar\u00ebsisht se gjat\u00eb rrotacioneve t\u00eb forta politike trendi i l\u00ebvizjes s\u00eb vot\u00ebs ka qen\u00eb mjaft i madh. Opozita ka kalkulimet e saj dhe skema \u00ebsht\u00eb e qart\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Dy koalicione opozitare, t\u00eb cilat do t\u00eb p\u00ebrdoren sipas zonave elektorale n\u00eb qarqe t\u00eb caktuara, pra n\u00eb \u00e7do qark do t\u00eb ket\u00eb nj\u00eb sjellje t\u00eb till\u00eb q\u00eb do tentohet t\u00eb sjell\u00eb maksimalizximin e vot\u00ebs n\u00eb \u00e7do lloj forme, duke luajtur me t\u00eb dy listat e plota me dy koalicione apo duke dal\u00eb vet\u00ebm me nj\u00eb list\u00eb, dhe lista e dyt\u00eb t\u00eb jet\u00eb vet\u00ebm me emra fiktiv\u00eb. Skema k\u00ebto t\u00eb cilat pak a shum\u00eb mund t\u2019i quajm\u00eb nj\u00eb dushk i ri q\u00eb po tentohet nga opozita p\u00ebr t\u00eb \u00e7uar n\u00eb rr\u00ebzimin e kryeministrit Rama.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

\/CNA.al<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Zbulohet skema elektorale. – Ja si do garoj\u00eb opozita. 14 Janar, 2021 Nga:\u00a0E.K. Prej disa koh\u00ebsh, Partia Demokratike, L\u00ebvizja Socialiste p\u00ebr Integrim dhe aleat\u00ebt e tyre n\u00eb opozit\u00eb kan\u00eb treguar disa formula se si ata do t\u00eb kandidojn\u00eb n\u00eb zgjedhjet e 25 prillit. Pas ndryshimit t\u00eb Kodit Zgjedhor dhe bllokimit t\u00eb koalicioneve n\u00eb lista t\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":42927,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[27,1,2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-42925","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blogu-i-udhetarit","category-njoftime-shtypi","category-politika"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/01\/opozita-min-1-590x354-1.jpg?fit=586%2C315&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5Z6wp-bal","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":13754,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/kryemadhi-nje-pergjim-skandaloz-ndodhet-ne-duart-e-opozites-do-te-jete-shkaterrues-per-qeverine-ku-rrezikohet-jo-vetem-politikisht-mazhoranca-por-edhe-koka-te-medha\/","url_meta":{"origin":42925,"position":0},"title":"Kryemadhi: -Nj\u00eb p\u00ebrgjim skandaloz ndodhet n\u00eb duart e opozit\u00ebs, do t\u00eb jet\u00eb shkat\u00ebrrues p\u00ebr qeverin\u00eb, ku rrezikohet jo vet\u00ebm politikisht mazhoranca por edhe koka t\u00eb m\u00ebdha. –","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"November 16, 2018","format":false,"excerpt":"Kryemadhi: -Nj\u00eb p\u00ebrgjim skandaloz \u00a0ndodhet n\u00eb duart e opozit\u00ebs, do t\u00eb jet\u00eb shkat\u00ebrrues p\u00ebr qeverin\u00eb, ku rrezikohet jo vet\u00ebm politikisht mazhoranca por edhe koka t\u00eb m\u00ebdha. - \u00a0 Skandalet e fundit q\u00eb faktojn\u00eb p\u00ebrfshirjen e zyrtar\u00ebve qeveritar\u00eb n\u00eb vjedhjen e votave dhe bashk\u00ebpunimin me bandat e drog\u00ebs nuk i kan\u00eb\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit"","block_context":{"text":"Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/blogu-i-udhetarit\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/monika-Kryemadhi-2.png?fit=627%2C319&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/monika-Kryemadhi-2.png?fit=627%2C319&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/11\/monika-Kryemadhi-2.png?fit=627%2C319&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":36150,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/ish-ministri-as-ps-as-pd-ja-kush-eshte-partia-me-e-madhe-ne-vend-qe-do-mbaje-ramen-ne-pushtet-me-me-pak-vota-se-ne-2017\/","url_meta":{"origin":42925,"position":1},"title":"Ish-ministri: – As PS as PD, ja kush \u00ebsht\u00eb partia m\u00eb e madhe n\u00eb vend q\u00eb do mbaj\u00eb Ram\u00ebn n\u00eb pushtet me m\u00eb pak vota se n\u00eb 2017","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"July 9, 2020","format":false,"excerpt":"Ish-ministri: - 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