{"id":38048,"date":"2020-09-04T17:48:55","date_gmt":"2020-09-04T17:48:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/?p=38048"},"modified":"2020-09-04T17:48:55","modified_gmt":"2020-09-04T17:48:55","slug":"studimi-i-okb-si-do-plaket-popullsia-e-shqiperise-norma-e-varesise-ekonomike-e-te-moshuarve-pritet-te-arrije-49","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/studimi-i-okb-si-do-plaket-popullsia-e-shqiperise-norma-e-varesise-ekonomike-e-te-moshuarve-pritet-te-arrije-49\/","title":{"rendered":"Studimi i OKB: Si do plaket popullsia e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb, norma e var\u00ebsis\u00eb ekonomike e t\u00eb moshuarve pritet t\u00eb arrij\u00eb 49%"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/p>\n

Studimi i OKB: Si do plaket popullsia e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb, norma e var\u00ebsis\u00eb ekonomike e t\u00eb moshuarve pritet t\u00eb arrij\u00eb 49%<\/strong><\/p>\n

Gusht 2020<\/p>\n

N\u00eb vitin 2050, numri i konsumator\u00ebve q\u00eb jan\u00eb mbi 65 vje\u00e7 do t\u00eb jet\u00eb sa gjysma (49%) e numrit t\u00eb punonj\u00ebsve t\u00eb t\u00eb gjitha moshave, n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri.<\/p>\n

Treguesi, i cili njihet si norma e var\u00ebsis\u00eb ekonomike t\u00eb t\u00eb moshuarve \u00ebsht\u00eb publikuar nga Organizata e Kombeve t\u00eb Bashkuara n\u00eb nj\u00eb studim p\u00ebr plakjen e popullsis\u00eb globale. Ky tregues, n\u00eb vitin 2019 n\u00eb vend ishte vet\u00ebm 28%.<\/p>\n

Rritja e var\u00ebsis\u00eb ekonomike t\u00eb t\u00eb moshuarve \u00ebsht\u00eb e lidhur me plakjen e popullsis\u00eb dhe uljen e norm\u00ebs s\u00eb fertilitetit (lindshm\u00ebris\u00eb). OKB thot\u00eb se n\u00eb vitin 2019 n\u00eb vend kishte 409 mij\u00eb persona t\u00eb mosh\u00ebs mbi 65 vje\u00e7, ose 14% e totalit t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb. Nd\u00ebrsa n\u00eb 2050-n, numri i t\u00eb moshuarve mbi 65 vje\u00e7 do t\u00eb jet\u00eb 617 mij\u00eb, ose 25% e totalit.<\/p>\n

Nd\u00ebrsa norma e var\u00ebsis\u00eb s\u00eb t\u00eb moshuarve, e cila mat numrin e personave mbi 65 vje\u00e7 p\u00ebr 100 persona q\u00eb jan\u00eb n\u00eb mosh\u00eb pune (20-64 vje\u00e7), do t\u00eb jet\u00eb 43.8.<\/p>\n

Aktualisht n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri ka 23.2 t\u00eb moshuar 65 vje\u00e7 e sip\u00ebr, p\u00ebr \u00e7do 100 persona n\u00eb mosh\u00eb pune (20-64 vje\u00e7). Pra deri n\u00eb 2050-n, ky tregues pothuajse do t\u00eb dyfishohet, duke shtuar presionet p\u00ebr sh\u00ebrbime tek t\u00eb moshuarit, por duke ndikuar negativisht dhe n\u00eb skem\u00ebn e pensioneve, pasi do t\u00eb ket\u00eb m\u00eb pak kontribuues p\u00ebr m\u00eb shum\u00eb pensionist\u00eb. Nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr efekt lidhet me produktivitetin e pun\u00ebs, pasi do t\u00eb jet\u00eb gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb gjetur n\u00eb rinj n\u00eb tregun e pun\u00ebs.<\/p>\n

OKB parashikon q\u00eb gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb femra t\u00eb moshuara do t\u00eb mbeten vet\u00ebm. N\u00eb 2019-n\u00a0 kishte 92.3 meshkuj p\u00ebr 100 femra t\u00eb mosh\u00ebs mbi 65%. N\u00eb 2050-n, ky tregues pritet t\u00eb zbres\u00eb n\u00eb 88.3.<\/p>\n

OKB thot\u00eb se studimet e fundit tregojn\u00eb se plakja e popullsis\u00eb do t\u00eb rris\u00eb presionin financiar p\u00ebr sistemet e mb\u00ebshtetjes s\u00eb mosh\u00ebs s\u00eb vjet\u00ebr. N\u00eb vendet ku transfertat publike jan\u00eb t\u00eb larta, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb shum\u00eb shtete n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb dhe Amerik\u00ebn Latine, plakja e popullsis\u00eb do t\u00eb rris\u00eb presionin fiskal n\u00eb sistemet e transftave publike, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht n\u00ebse modelet aktuale t\u00eb taksimit dhe p\u00ebrfitimeve mbeten t\u00eb pandryshuara.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri, p.sh, n\u00eb vitin 2019, rreth 35 % t\u00eb shpenzimeve totale t\u00eb buxhetit shkojn\u00eb p\u00ebr mbulimin e skem\u00ebs deificitare t\u00eb pensioneve, sipas shifrave zyrtare nga Ministria e Financave (sh\u00ebnim i Monitor).<\/p>\n

Raporti thot\u00eb se plakja e popullsis\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb fenomen global. Pothuajse \u00e7do vend n\u00eb bot\u00eb po p\u00ebrjeton rritje si n\u00eb madh\u00ebsin\u00eb ashtu edhe n\u00eb p\u00ebrqindjen e personave t\u00eb moshuar n\u00eb popullat\u00eb. N\u00eb vitin 2019, kishte 703 milion persona t\u00eb mosh\u00ebs 65 vje\u00e7 e mbi popullsin\u00eb globale. Ky num\u00ebr parashikohet t\u00eb dyfishohet n\u00eb 1.5 miliard\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2050.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb nivel global, pjesa e popullsis\u00eb s\u00eb mosh\u00ebs 65 vje\u00e7 ose m\u00eb shum\u00eb u rrit nga 6 p\u00ebr qind n\u00eb 1990 n\u00eb 9 p\u00ebr qind n\u00eb 2019. Ky proporcion parashikohet t\u00eb rritet m\u00eb tej n\u00eb 16 p\u00ebr qind n\u00eb 2050, kur pritet q\u00eb nj\u00eb n\u00eb gjasht\u00eb njer\u00ebz n\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb bot\u00ebn t\u00eb jet\u00eb i mosh\u00ebs 65 vje\u00e7 ose m\u00eb shum\u00eb.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb p\u00ebrgjith\u00ebsi, numri i personave t\u00eb mosh\u00ebs 80 vje\u00e7 ose m\u00eb i vjet\u00ebr gati \u00ebsht\u00eb trefishuar midis viteve 1990 dhe 2019, duke u rritur nga 54 milion n\u00eb 143 milion; parashikohet t\u00eb trefishohet p\u00ebrs\u00ebri midis 2019 dhe 2050 p\u00ebr t\u00eb arritur n\u00eb 426 milion.<\/p>\n

Midis 1990 dhe 2019, numri i personave t\u00eb mosh\u00ebs 80 vje\u00e7 e m\u00eb shum\u00eb u dyfishua n\u00eb t\u00eb gjitha rajonet, p\u00ebrve\u00e7 Evrop\u00ebs dhe Amerik\u00ebs Veriore dhe u trefishua n\u00eb kat\u00ebr nga tet\u00eb rajone. Midis 2019 dhe 2050, numri i personave t\u00eb mosh\u00ebs 80 vje\u00e7 ose m\u00eb shum\u00eb parashikohet t\u00eb sh\u00ebnoj\u00eb rritjen m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe t\u00eb p\u00ebrqindjes n\u00eb Azin\u00eb Lindore dhe Jug-Lindore dhe n\u00eb Afrik\u00ebn Veriore dhe Azin\u00eb Per\u00ebndimore.<\/p>\n

Ritmi i plakjes s\u00eb popullsis\u00eb ka qen\u00eb m\u00eb i shpejt\u00eb n\u00eb Azin\u00eb Lindore dhe Jug-Lindore dhe n\u00eb Amerik\u00ebn Latine dhe Karaibe. P\u00ebrqindja e popullsis\u00eb s\u00eb mosh\u00ebs 65 vje\u00e7 ose m\u00eb shum\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb pothuajse dyfishuar n\u00eb Azin\u00eb Lindore dhe Jug-Lindore, duke u rritur nga 6 p\u00ebr qind n\u00eb 1990 n\u00eb 11 p\u00ebr qind n\u00eb 2019, dhe n\u00eb Amerik\u00ebn Latine dhe Karaibe, duke u rritur nga 5 p\u00ebr qind n\u00eb 1990 n\u00eb 9 p\u00ebr qind n\u00eb 2019. Midis 2019 dhe 2050, pjesa e personave t\u00eb moshuar \u00ebsht\u00eb parashikuar t\u00eb pakt\u00ebn t\u00eb dyfishohet n\u00eb kat\u00ebr rajone: Afrik\u00ebn Veriore dhe Azin\u00eb Per\u00ebndimore, Azin\u00eb Qendrore dhe Jugore, Amerik\u00ebn Latine dhe Karaibet, Azia Jug-Lindore.<\/p>\n

Gazeta Dita<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Studimi i OKB: Si do plaket popullsia e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb, norma e var\u00ebsis\u00eb ekonomike e t\u00eb moshuarve pritet t\u00eb arrij\u00eb 49% Gusht 2020 N\u00eb vitin 2050, numri i konsumator\u00ebve q\u00eb jan\u00eb mbi 65 vje\u00e7 do t\u00eb jet\u00eb sa gjysma (49%) e numrit t\u00eb punonj\u00ebsve t\u00eb t\u00eb gjitha moshave, n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri. Treguesi, i cili njihet si norma […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":38049,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[27,1,35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38048","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blogu-i-udhetarit","category-njoftime-shtypi","category-shoqerore"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/1522818782_pensionet-905x395-1-905x450-1.jpg?fit=905%2C450&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5Z6wp-9TG","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":104414,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/ne-51-bashki-te-vendit-numri-i-te-moshuarve-tashme-tejkalon-numrin-e-femijeve\/","url_meta":{"origin":38048,"position":0},"title":"N\u00eb 51 bashki t\u00eb vendit numri i t\u00eb moshuarve tashm\u00eb tejkalon numrin e f\u00ebmij\u00ebve","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"August 14, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"14 Gusht 2026 Dokumentet mbi t\u00eb cilat mb\u00ebshtetet reforma e re territoriale e propozuar nga mazhoranca ofrojn\u00eb nj\u00eb fotografi t\u00eb polarizimit demografik t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb, se si emigracioni dhe l\u00ebvizjet e brendshme kan\u00eb zbrazur qytetet e vogla dhe zonat rurale dhe popullsia \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrqendruar n\u00eb pak qendra urbane. \u201cReforma Administrativo-Territoriale 2.0\u201d,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit"","block_context":{"text":"Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/blogu-i-udhetarit\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pension-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C720&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pension-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C720&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pension-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C720&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pension-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C720&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pension-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C720&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":59641,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/shqiperia-po-plaket-shpejt-mosha-mesatare-e-grave-arrin-39-1-vjec-e-burrave-37-3\/","url_meta":{"origin":38048,"position":1},"title":"Shqip\u00ebria po plaket shpejt, mosha mesatare e grave arrin 39.1 vje\u00e7, e burrave 37.3","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"July 1, 2022","format":false,"excerpt":"Shqip\u00ebria po plaket shpejt, mosha mediane e grave arrin 39.1 vje\u00e7, e burrave 37.3 P\u00ebr shkak se jetojn\u00eb m\u00eb gjat\u00eb, mosha mediane e grave n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb e lart\u00eb se burrave. N\u00eb vitin 2022, mosha mediane e grave shqiptare arriti 39,1 vjet (mosha mediane n\u00ebnkupton q\u00eb 50% t\u00eb grave\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Kultura"","block_context":{"text":"Kultura","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/kultura\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/Shqiperia-po-plaket-shpejt-mosha-mediane-e-grave-arrin-39.1-vjec-e-burrave-37.3.jpg?fit=380%2C233&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":119860,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/banka-boterore-emigracioni-dhe-plakja-e-popullsise-po-kufizojne-rritjen-ekonomike-te-shqiperise\/","url_meta":{"origin":38048,"position":2},"title":"Banka Bot\u00ebrore: – Emigracioni dhe plakja e popullsis\u00eb po kufizojn\u00eb rritjen ekonomike t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"October 13, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"13 Tetor 2026 Emigracioni, plakja e popullsis\u00eb dhe mungesa e fuqis\u00eb pun\u00ebtore me aft\u00ebsit\u00eb e k\u00ebrkuara nga bizneset vazhdojn\u00eb t\u00eb kufizojn\u00eb potencialin e rritjes ekonomike n\u00eb vend. Pavar\u00ebsisht p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsimeve t\u00eb dekad\u00ebs s\u00eb fundit, tregu i pun\u00ebs po shfaq shenja dob\u00ebsimi, nd\u00ebrsa pjes\u00ebmarrja e grave dhe t\u00eb rinjve n\u00eb pun\u00ebsim mbetet\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit"","block_context":{"text":"Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/blogu-i-udhetarit\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/banka-boterore.jpg?fit=600%2C388&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/banka-boterore.jpg?fit=600%2C388&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/banka-boterore.jpg?fit=600%2C388&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":87238,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/dhjetera-njesi-administrative-pa-femije-si-po-shuhet-jugu-i-vendit-popullsia-drejt-plakjes\/","url_meta":{"origin":38048,"position":3},"title":"Dhjet\u00ebra nj\u00ebsi administrative pa f\u00ebmij\u00eb, si po shuhet Jugu i vendit! Popullsia, drejt plakjes","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"December 9, 2024","format":false,"excerpt":"9 Dhjetor 2024 N\u00eb nj\u00ebsin\u00eb administrative Frash\u00ebr t\u00eb P\u00ebrmetit kur u zhvillua censi 2023 n\u00eb \u00e7do 100 banor\u00eb kishte m\u00eb pak se dy f\u00ebmij\u00eb. N\u00eb Voskopoj\u00eb gjithashtu n\u00eb \u00e7do 100 banor\u00eb kishte vet\u00ebm 2 f\u00ebmij\u00eb. 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