{"id":33011,"date":"2020-04-03T10:35:10","date_gmt":"2020-04-03T10:35:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/?p=33011"},"modified":"2020-04-03T10:35:10","modified_gmt":"2020-04-03T10:35:10","slug":"virusi-eshte-parashikuar-nga-gjermanet-qe-ne-vitin-2012-dhe-mbahej-ne-arkivat-e-bundestagut-ja-cfare-paralajmeronte","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/virusi-eshte-parashikuar-nga-gjermanet-qe-ne-vitin-2012-dhe-mbahej-ne-arkivat-e-bundestagut-ja-cfare-paralajmeronte\/","title":{"rendered":"Virusi \u00ebsht\u00eb parashikuar nga gjerman\u00ebt q\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2012 dhe mbahej n\u00eb arkivat e Bundestagut. – Ja \u00e7far\u00eb paralajm\u00ebronte"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/p>\n

Virusi \u00ebsht\u00eb parashikuar nga gjerman\u00ebt q\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2012 dhe mbahej n\u00eb arkivat e Bundestagut. – Ja \u00e7far\u00eb paralajm\u00ebronte<\/p>\n

3 PRILL 2020<\/p>\n

FacebookWhatsAppTwitterEmail<\/p>\n

N\u00eb vitin 2012, n\u00eb vazhd\u00ebn e epidemis\u00eb globale SARS, qeveria gjermane porositi institutin \u2018Robert Koch\u2019 dhe ekspert\u00ebt e Ministris\u00eb s\u00eb Sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsis\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb simuluar nj\u00eb p\u00ebrhapje t\u00eb mundshme t\u00eb nj\u00eb pandemie shkat\u00ebrruese n\u00eb Gjermani.<\/p>\n

Rezultati ishte nj\u00eb analiz\u00eb e detajuar e rrezikut ekstrem, duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb masat q\u00eb do t\u00eb ishin t\u00eb nevojshme p\u00ebr t\u00eb mbrojtur popullsin\u00eb dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb frenuar p\u00ebrhapjen e infeksionit.<\/p>\n

Studimi, i mbajtur n\u00eb arkivat e Bundestagut, \u00ebsht\u00eb zbuluar nga Kristina Dunz, nj\u00eb gazetare e Rheinische Post. Ai parashikon n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb befasuese at\u00eb q\u00eb ka ndodhur dhe po ndodh me Covid-19.<\/p>\n

Virusi i imagjinuar n\u00eb skenar e ka origjin\u00ebn n\u00eb Azi, prej nga b\u00ebn k\u00ebrcimin te njer\u00ebzit nga tregjet e kafsh\u00ebve t\u00eb egra, por rreziku dhe dimensioni i tij nuk kuptohen deri disa jav\u00eb m\u00eb von\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Periudha e inkubacionit \u00ebsht\u00eb 3 deri n\u00eb 5 dit\u00eb, por mund t\u00eb ndryshoj\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb hap\u00ebsir\u00eb prej 2 deri n\u00eb 14 dit\u00eb. Infeksioni p\u00ebrhapet nga sp\u00ebrklat ose nga kontakti. Simptomat jan\u00eb temperatur\u00eb, koll\u00eb e that\u00eb, v\u00ebshtir\u00ebsi n\u00eb frym\u00ebmarrje, dridhje, dhimbje koke.<\/p>\n

F\u00ebmij\u00ebt dhe t\u00eb rinjt\u00eb e kalojn\u00eb infeksionin relativisht leht\u00eb, por t\u00eb moshuarit kan\u00eb m\u00eb pak shanse p\u00ebr t\u00eb mbijetuar.<\/p>\n

Masat e nd\u00ebrmarra nga qeveria jan\u00eb t\u00eb fuqishme: izolim dhe karantin\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb s\u00ebmur\u00ebt, mbyllja e shkollave, anulim i \u00e7do aktiviteti publik, kufizime t\u00eb m\u00ebdha p\u00ebr l\u00ebvizjen e njer\u00ebzve n\u00eb aj\u00ebr t\u00eb hapur.<\/p>\n

Pyetja q\u00eb shtrohet pas k\u00ebtij zbulimi \u00ebsht\u00eb e pashmangshme: pavar\u00ebsisht se kishte nj\u00eb analiz\u00eb kaq t\u00eb plot\u00eb t\u00eb rrezikut, a e n\u00ebnvler\u00ebsoi qeveria gjermane epidemin\u00eb e Covid-19? Ekspert\u00ebt e institutit \u2018Robert Koch\u2019 pranojn\u00eb ngjashm\u00ebrin\u00eb mes dokumentit t\u00eb tyre dhe kriz\u00ebs aktuale, por thon\u00eb se nuk mund t\u00eb krahasosh t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat virtuale me ato reale.<\/p>\n

\u201cSkenari Modi-Sars 2012 nuk ishte nj\u00eb parashikim p\u00ebr zhvillimin dhe pasojat e nj\u00eb pandemie, por nj\u00eb skenar ekstrem i provokuar nga nj\u00eb patogjen imagjinar, p\u00ebr t\u00eb ilustruar d\u00ebmet e mundshme teorike p\u00ebr nj\u00eb s\u00ebmundje q\u00eb mund t\u00eb transmetohet nga nj\u00eb qenie njer\u00ebzore te tjetra,\u201d tha Susanne Glasmocher, z\u00ebdh\u00ebn\u00ebse p\u00ebr institutin \u2018Koch\u2019. Megjithat\u00eb, kur lexon dokumentin, mbetesh i shokuar.<\/p>\n

Skenari apokaliptik gjithashtu imagjinon nj\u00eb koh\u00ebzgjatje t\u00eb epidemis\u00eb p\u00ebr thuajse tre vite dhe p\u00ebrllogarit nj\u00eb nivel vdekshm\u00ebrie prej 10 p\u00ebrqind t\u00eb atyre q\u00eb jan\u00eb infektuar, q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 7 milion\u00eb vdekje si pasoj\u00eb direkte e infektimit.<\/p>\n

Realiteti sheh drejtorin e t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtit institut, Lothar \u00cbieler, q\u00eb pranon se n\u00ebse nuk respektohen masat kufizuese t\u00eb shpallura nga qeveria, Gjermania p\u00ebr dy ose tre muaj do t\u00eb ket\u00eb dhjet\u00eb milion\u00eb t\u00eb infektuar.<\/p>\n

Dallimi i r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrqindja m\u00eb e ul\u00ebt e vdekshm\u00ebris\u00eb, p\u00ebr fat t\u00eb mir\u00eb. Q\u00eb ka pasur nj\u00eb n\u00ebnvler\u00ebsim fillestar, jo vet\u00ebm n\u00eb Gjermani, kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb pranuar edhe nga Presidentja e Komisionit Europian, Ursula von der Leyen.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb Republik\u00ebn Federale, problemi \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsuar nga nd\u00ebrlikimet e sistemit federal, totemi i demokracis\u00eb gjermane p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb historis\u00eb s\u00eb tij, i cili parandalon menaxhimin e centralizuar t\u00eb krizave.<\/p>\n

Megjithat\u00eb, edhe nj\u00eb deputet i opozit\u00ebs, liberali Andre\u00eb Ullman, q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb po ashtu profesor i epidemiologjis\u00eb n\u00eb \u00cbuerzberg, i jep qeveris\u00eb gjermane p\u00ebrfitimin e dyshimit:<\/p>\n

\u201cEdhe ekspert\u00ebt m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdhenj kan\u00eb n\u00ebnvler\u00ebsuar dinamik\u00ebn e virusit n\u00eb fillim, un\u00eb gjithashtu. Mendova se disa masa rajonale si\u00e7 jan\u00eb mbyllja e kopshteve do ishin t\u00eb mjaftueshme.<\/p>\n

Kush drejton gishtin ndaj qeveris\u00eb, duhet ta b\u00ebj\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb edhe kund\u00ebr vetvetes, n\u00eb raste t\u00eb tilla nuk ka nj\u00eb p\u00ebrgjigje model t\u00eb parafabrikuar plot\u00ebsisht, edhe n\u00ebse n\u00eb vitin 2012 \u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb simulim akademik\u201d.\/Corriere.it<\/p>\n

Nga: Gazeta Sot<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Virusi \u00ebsht\u00eb parashikuar nga gjerman\u00ebt q\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2012 dhe mbahej n\u00eb arkivat e Bundestagut. – Ja \u00e7far\u00eb paralajm\u00ebronte 3 PRILL 2020 FacebookWhatsAppTwitterEmail N\u00eb vitin 2012, n\u00eb vazhd\u00ebn e epidemis\u00eb globale SARS, qeveria gjermane porositi institutin \u2018Robert Koch\u2019 dhe ekspert\u00ebt e Ministris\u00eb s\u00eb Sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsis\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb simuluar nj\u00eb p\u00ebrhapje t\u00eb mundshme t\u00eb nj\u00eb pandemie shkat\u00ebrruese […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":33012,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[27,35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33011","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blogu-i-udhetarit","category-shoqerore"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/bundestagu.jpg?fit=780%2C439&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5Z6wp-8Ar","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":100042,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/opsionet-qe-duhen-hedhur-ne-tryeze-jane-zgjedhjet-e-parakohshme\/","url_meta":{"origin":33011,"position":0},"title":"Opsionet qe duhen hedhur n\u00eb tryez\u00eb jan\u00eb: – Zgjedhjet e parakohshme","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"May 9, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"9 Maji 2026 Analisti Genc Burimi argumenton se protestat e vazhdueshme t\u00eb opozit\u00ebs nuk jan\u00eb thjesht nj\u00eb \u00e7\u00ebshtje e brendshme, por nj\u00eb mesazh i qart\u00eb drejtuar partner\u00ebve europian\u00eb mbi kriz\u00ebn e thell\u00eb politike n\u00eb vend. 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Pas tre vdekjeve n\u00eb anijen turistike Hondius pran\u00eb Afrik\u00ebs, trajneri foli p\u00ebr\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit"","block_context":{"text":"Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/blogu-i-udhetarit\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/auto_hanta1778179888.png?fit=900%2C509&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/auto_hanta1778179888.png?fit=900%2C509&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/auto_hanta1778179888.png?fit=900%2C509&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/auto_hanta1778179888.png?fit=900%2C509&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":100039,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/zbulohet-origjina-e-hantavirusit-qe-pushtoi-kroceren-dhe-ka-alarmuar-boten-burimi-i-perhapjes-ishte-ne\/","url_meta":{"origin":33011,"position":4},"title":"Zbulohet origjina e Hantavirusit q\u00eb \u2018pushtoi\u2019 kro\u00e7er\u00ebn dhe ka alarmuar bot\u00ebn, burimi i p\u00ebrhapjes ishte n\u00eb\u2026","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"May 8, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"8 Maji 2026 Argjentina \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00eb qend\u00ebr t\u00eb nj\u00eb hetimi nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsor, pas nj\u00eb shp\u00ebrthimi t\u00eb Hantavirusit n\u00eb anijen turistike holandeze MV Hondius, me autoritetet q\u00eb po hetojn\u00eb nj\u00eb deponi (habitat, zon\u00eb t\u00eb kontaminuar) n\u00eb periferi t\u00eb Ushuaia-s, n\u00eb pjes\u00ebn jugore t\u00eb vendit, si nj\u00eb burim t\u00eb mundsh\u00ebm infeksioni. 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