![\"\"](\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/bundestagu.jpg?resize=300%2C169&ssl=1\")
<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
Virusi \u00ebsht\u00eb parashikuar nga gjerman\u00ebt q\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2012 dhe mbahej n\u00eb arkivat e Bundestagut. – Ja \u00e7far\u00eb paralajm\u00ebronte<\/p>\n
3 PRILL 2020<\/p>\n
FacebookWhatsAppTwitterEmail<\/p>\n
N\u00eb vitin 2012, n\u00eb vazhd\u00ebn e epidemis\u00eb globale SARS, qeveria gjermane porositi institutin \u2018Robert Koch\u2019 dhe ekspert\u00ebt e Ministris\u00eb s\u00eb Sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsis\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb simuluar nj\u00eb p\u00ebrhapje t\u00eb mundshme t\u00eb nj\u00eb pandemie shkat\u00ebrruese n\u00eb Gjermani.<\/p>\n
Rezultati ishte nj\u00eb analiz\u00eb e detajuar e rrezikut ekstrem, duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb masat q\u00eb do t\u00eb ishin t\u00eb nevojshme p\u00ebr t\u00eb mbrojtur popullsin\u00eb dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb frenuar p\u00ebrhapjen e infeksionit.<\/p>\n
Studimi, i mbajtur n\u00eb arkivat e Bundestagut, \u00ebsht\u00eb zbuluar nga Kristina Dunz, nj\u00eb gazetare e Rheinische Post. Ai parashikon n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb befasuese at\u00eb q\u00eb ka ndodhur dhe po ndodh me Covid-19.<\/p>\n
Virusi i imagjinuar n\u00eb skenar e ka origjin\u00ebn n\u00eb Azi, prej nga b\u00ebn k\u00ebrcimin te njer\u00ebzit nga tregjet e kafsh\u00ebve t\u00eb egra, por rreziku dhe dimensioni i tij nuk kuptohen deri disa jav\u00eb m\u00eb von\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Periudha e inkubacionit \u00ebsht\u00eb 3 deri n\u00eb 5 dit\u00eb, por mund t\u00eb ndryshoj\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb hap\u00ebsir\u00eb prej 2 deri n\u00eb 14 dit\u00eb. Infeksioni p\u00ebrhapet nga sp\u00ebrklat ose nga kontakti. Simptomat jan\u00eb temperatur\u00eb, koll\u00eb e that\u00eb, v\u00ebshtir\u00ebsi n\u00eb frym\u00ebmarrje, dridhje, dhimbje koke.<\/p>\n
F\u00ebmij\u00ebt dhe t\u00eb rinjt\u00eb e kalojn\u00eb infeksionin relativisht leht\u00eb, por t\u00eb moshuarit kan\u00eb m\u00eb pak shanse p\u00ebr t\u00eb mbijetuar.<\/p>\n
Masat e nd\u00ebrmarra nga qeveria jan\u00eb t\u00eb fuqishme: izolim dhe karantin\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb s\u00ebmur\u00ebt, mbyllja e shkollave, anulim i \u00e7do aktiviteti publik, kufizime t\u00eb m\u00ebdha p\u00ebr l\u00ebvizjen e njer\u00ebzve n\u00eb aj\u00ebr t\u00eb hapur.<\/p>\n
Pyetja q\u00eb shtrohet pas k\u00ebtij zbulimi \u00ebsht\u00eb e pashmangshme: pavar\u00ebsisht se kishte nj\u00eb analiz\u00eb kaq t\u00eb plot\u00eb t\u00eb rrezikut, a e n\u00ebnvler\u00ebsoi qeveria gjermane epidemin\u00eb e Covid-19? Ekspert\u00ebt e institutit \u2018Robert Koch\u2019 pranojn\u00eb ngjashm\u00ebrin\u00eb mes dokumentit t\u00eb tyre dhe kriz\u00ebs aktuale, por thon\u00eb se nuk mund t\u00eb krahasosh t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat virtuale me ato reale.<\/p>\n
\u201cSkenari Modi-Sars 2012 nuk ishte nj\u00eb parashikim p\u00ebr zhvillimin dhe pasojat e nj\u00eb pandemie, por nj\u00eb skenar ekstrem i provokuar nga nj\u00eb patogjen imagjinar, p\u00ebr t\u00eb ilustruar d\u00ebmet e mundshme teorike p\u00ebr nj\u00eb s\u00ebmundje q\u00eb mund t\u00eb transmetohet nga nj\u00eb qenie njer\u00ebzore te tjetra,\u201d tha Susanne Glasmocher, z\u00ebdh\u00ebn\u00ebse p\u00ebr institutin \u2018Koch\u2019. Megjithat\u00eb, kur lexon dokumentin, mbetesh i shokuar.<\/p>\n
Skenari apokaliptik gjithashtu imagjinon nj\u00eb koh\u00ebzgjatje t\u00eb epidemis\u00eb p\u00ebr thuajse tre vite dhe p\u00ebrllogarit nj\u00eb nivel vdekshm\u00ebrie prej 10 p\u00ebrqind t\u00eb atyre q\u00eb jan\u00eb infektuar, q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 7 milion\u00eb vdekje si pasoj\u00eb direkte e infektimit.<\/p>\n
Realiteti sheh drejtorin e t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtit institut, Lothar \u00cbieler, q\u00eb pranon se n\u00ebse nuk respektohen masat kufizuese t\u00eb shpallura nga qeveria, Gjermania p\u00ebr dy ose tre muaj do t\u00eb ket\u00eb dhjet\u00eb milion\u00eb t\u00eb infektuar.<\/p>\n
Dallimi i r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrqindja m\u00eb e ul\u00ebt e vdekshm\u00ebris\u00eb, p\u00ebr fat t\u00eb mir\u00eb. Q\u00eb ka pasur nj\u00eb n\u00ebnvler\u00ebsim fillestar, jo vet\u00ebm n\u00eb Gjermani, kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb pranuar edhe nga Presidentja e Komisionit Europian, Ursula von der Leyen.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb Republik\u00ebn Federale, problemi \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsuar nga nd\u00ebrlikimet e sistemit federal, totemi i demokracis\u00eb gjermane p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb historis\u00eb s\u00eb tij, i cili parandalon menaxhimin e centralizuar t\u00eb krizave.<\/p>\n
Megjithat\u00eb, edhe nj\u00eb deputet i opozit\u00ebs, liberali Andre\u00eb Ullman, q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb po ashtu profesor i epidemiologjis\u00eb n\u00eb \u00cbuerzberg, i jep qeveris\u00eb gjermane p\u00ebrfitimin e dyshimit:<\/p>\n
\u201cEdhe ekspert\u00ebt m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdhenj kan\u00eb n\u00ebnvler\u00ebsuar dinamik\u00ebn e virusit n\u00eb fillim, un\u00eb gjithashtu. Mendova se disa masa rajonale si\u00e7 jan\u00eb mbyllja e kopshteve do ishin t\u00eb mjaftueshme.<\/p>\n
Kush drejton gishtin ndaj qeveris\u00eb, duhet ta b\u00ebj\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb edhe kund\u00ebr vetvetes, n\u00eb raste t\u00eb tilla nuk ka nj\u00eb p\u00ebrgjigje model t\u00eb parafabrikuar plot\u00ebsisht, edhe n\u00ebse n\u00eb vitin 2012 \u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb simulim akademik\u201d.\/Corriere.it<\/p>\n
Nga: Gazeta Sot<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Virusi \u00ebsht\u00eb parashikuar nga gjerman\u00ebt q\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2012 dhe mbahej n\u00eb arkivat e Bundestagut. – Ja \u00e7far\u00eb paralajm\u00ebronte 3 PRILL 2020 FacebookWhatsAppTwitterEmail N\u00eb vitin 2012, n\u00eb vazhd\u00ebn e epidemis\u00eb globale SARS, qeveria gjermane porositi institutin \u2018Robert Koch\u2019 dhe ekspert\u00ebt e Ministris\u00eb s\u00eb Sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsis\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb simuluar nj\u00eb p\u00ebrhapje t\u00eb mundshme t\u00eb nj\u00eb pandemie shkat\u00ebrruese […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":33012,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[27,35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33011","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blogu-i-udhetarit","category-shoqerore"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/bundestagu.jpg?fit=780%2C439&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5Z6wp-8Ar","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":105165,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/plani-sekret-i-rames-gati-shtetesia-shqiptare-per-100-mije-cifute-kryeministri-kerkon-te-perserise-gazen-ne-shqiperi-thellohet-skenari-per-shkombetarizimin-e-vendit\/","url_meta":{"origin":33011,"position":0},"title":"Plani sekret i Ram\u00ebs, gati shtet\u00ebsia shqiptare p\u00ebr 100 mij\u00eb \u00e7ifut\u00eb, kryeministri k\u00ebrkon t\u00eb p\u00ebrs\u00ebris\u00eb Gaz\u00ebn n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri, thellohet skenari p\u00ebr shkomb\u00ebtarizimin e vendit","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"August 25, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"26 Gusht 2026 Nga Gazeta Sot Kryeministri Edi Rama, pasi p\u00ebrzuri rreth 1 milion shqiptar\u00eb qysh kur ka ardhur n\u00eb pushtet n\u00eb vitin 2013 p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb varf\u00ebris\u00eb, krimit, korrupsionit dhe keqqeverisjes, duket se ka menduar t'i z\u00ebvend\u00ebsoj\u00eb ata me 100 mij\u00eb hebrenj (\u00e7ifut\u00eb).Burimet thon\u00eb se Rama, si nj\u00eb fans\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit"","block_context":{"text":"Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/blogu-i-udhetarit\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/ijjhhj-6a8c00a349936.jpg?fit=618%2C352&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/ijjhhj-6a8c00a349936.jpg?fit=618%2C352&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/ijjhhj-6a8c00a349936.jpg?fit=618%2C352&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":101472,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/national-geographic-beteja-mijevjecare-per-te-kontrolluar-ishullin-e-sazanit-ne-shqiperi\/","url_meta":{"origin":33011,"position":1},"title":"National Geographic – Beteja mij\u00ebvje\u00e7are p\u00ebr t\u00eb kontrolluar ishullin e Sazanit n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"June 14, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"P\u00ebr mij\u00ebra vjet, fuqit\u00eb bot\u00ebrore kan\u00eb shk\u00ebmbyer kontroll mbi nj\u00eb ishull t\u00eb vog\u00ebl e t\u00eb harlisur pran\u00eb bregut jugper\u00ebndimor t\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb. Ishulli i Sazanit, nj\u00eb hap\u00ebsir\u00eb \u200b\u200btoke prej 2.2 miljesh katror\u00eb, shtrihet brenda Ngushtic\u00ebs s\u00eb Otrantos, nj\u00eb kanal i ngusht\u00eb q\u00eb ndan Italin\u00eb dhe\u00a0Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb, dhe ka sh\u00ebrbyer si nj\u00eb baz\u00eb\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit"","block_context":{"text":"Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/blogu-i-udhetarit\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/maxresdefault-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/maxresdefault-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/maxresdefault-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/maxresdefault-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/maxresdefault-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":100647,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/alarm-ne-evrope-pas-rastit-te-ri-ne-spanje-cfare-po-ndodh-me-hantavirusin-dhe-a-jemi-perballe-nje-tjeter-pandemie\/","url_meta":{"origin":33011,"position":2},"title":"Alarm n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb pas rastit t\u00eb ri n\u00eb Spanj\u00eb, \u00e7far\u00eb po ndodh me hantavirusin dhe a jemi p\u00ebrball\u00eb nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr pandemie\u2026","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"May 26, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"26 Maji 2026 Frika nga nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr pandemi globale shp\u00ebrtheu k\u00ebt\u00eb muaj pasi anija turistike MV Hondius u b\u00eb qendra e nj\u00eb shp\u00ebrthimi vdekjeprur\u00ebs t\u00eb hantavirus. Ministria e Sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsis\u00eb n\u00eb Spanj\u00eb ka konfirmuar dje nj\u00eb rast t\u00eb ri pozitiv t\u00eb hantavirusit midis shtetasve spanjoll\u00eb q\u00eb ndodhen n\u00eb karantin\u00eb n\u00eb Spitalin\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Njoftime Shtypi"","block_context":{"text":"Njoftime Shtypi","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/njoftime-shtypi\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/99j-1.jpg?fit=811%2C515&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/99j-1.jpg?fit=811%2C515&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/99j-1.jpg?fit=811%2C515&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/99j-1.jpg?fit=811%2C515&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":100145,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/sekreti-i-erret-i-familjes-holandeze-zbulohet-pas-80-vitesh-piktura-e-grabitur-nga-nazistet-e-koleksionistit-hebre\/","url_meta":{"origin":33011,"position":3},"title":"Sekreti i err\u00ebt i familjes holandeze, zbulohet pas 80 vitesh piktura e grabitur nga nazist\u00ebt e koleksionistit hebre","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"May 12, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"12 Maji 2026 Nj\u00eb piktur\u00eb e vjedhur nga nazist\u00ebt gjat\u00eb Luft\u00ebs s\u00eb Dyt\u00eb Bot\u00ebrore \u00ebsht\u00eb zbuluar n\u00eb sht\u00ebpin\u00eb e pasardh\u00ebsve t\u00eb nj\u00eb bashk\u00ebpun\u00ebtori t\u00eb njohur holandez t\u00eb regjimit nazist, duke rikthyer n\u00eb v\u00ebmendje plag\u00ebt e grabitjes s\u00eb veprave t\u00eb artit gjat\u00eb luft\u00ebs. B\u00ebhet fjal\u00eb p\u00ebr vepr\u00ebn \u201cPortreti i nj\u00eb Vajze\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Arte"","block_context":{"text":"Arte","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/arte\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/portreti.webp?fit=1024%2C576&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/portreti.webp?fit=1024%2C576&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/portreti.webp?fit=1024%2C576&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/portreti.webp?fit=1024%2C576&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":112933,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/parate-e-pista-dhe-krimi-i-organizuar-ekspertet-e-fbi-vijne-ne-tirane-cfare-po-diskutohet\/","url_meta":{"origin":33011,"position":4},"title":"Parat\u00eb e pista dhe krimi i organizuar\/ Ekspert\u00ebt e FBI vijn\u00eb n\u00eb Tiran\u00eb, \u00e7far\u00eb po diskutohet","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"September 19, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"19 Shtator 2026 Tirana \u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb k\u00ebto dit\u00eb qendra e nj\u00eb takimi t\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm t\u00eb drejtuesve dhe ekspert\u00ebve t\u00eb siguris\u00eb nga SHBA-ja dhe Europa. Nga 19 deri m\u00eb 23 shtator, n\u00eb kryeqytet zhvillohet takimi i 42-t\u00eb i kapitullit europian t\u00eb FBI National Academy Associates (FBINAA). N\u00eb program jan\u00eb p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb tema\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit"","block_context":{"text":"Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/blogu-i-udhetarit\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/screenshot-104-1-6aaeb77c246ab.jpg?fit=1112%2C718&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/screenshot-104-1-6aaeb77c246ab.jpg?fit=1112%2C718&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/screenshot-104-1-6aaeb77c246ab.jpg?fit=1112%2C718&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/screenshot-104-1-6aaeb77c246ab.jpg?fit=1112%2C718&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/screenshot-104-1-6aaeb77c246ab.jpg?fit=1112%2C718&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":100201,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/aranita-brahaj-shqiperia-injekton-vetem-4-9-te-gdp-se-ne-prokurime-publike-loja-eshte-diku-tjeter\/","url_meta":{"origin":33011,"position":5},"title":"Aranita Brahaj: – Shqip\u00ebria Injekton vet\u00ebm 4.9% t\u00eb GDP-s\u00eb n\u00eb Prokurime Publike, loja \u00ebsht\u00eb diku tjet\u00ebr","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"May 13, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"13 Maji 2026 Ekspertja e prokurorimeve publike, Aranita Brahaj, e ftuar n\u00eb emisionin Task Force me Sonila Me\u00e7on, ngriti shqet\u00ebsime serioze lidhur me gjendjen e tenderave publike n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri, duke paraqitur t\u00eb dh\u00ebna q\u00eb tregojn\u00eb nj\u00eb r\u00ebnie drastike t\u00eb investimeve shtet\u00ebrore n\u00eb ekonomi. 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