![\"\"](\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/bundestagu.jpg?resize=300%2C169&ssl=1\")
<\/p>\n<\/p>\n
Virusi \u00ebsht\u00eb parashikuar nga gjerman\u00ebt q\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2012 dhe mbahej n\u00eb arkivat e Bundestagut. – Ja \u00e7far\u00eb paralajm\u00ebronte<\/p>\n
3 PRILL 2020<\/p>\n
FacebookWhatsAppTwitterEmail<\/p>\n
N\u00eb vitin 2012, n\u00eb vazhd\u00ebn e epidemis\u00eb globale SARS, qeveria gjermane porositi institutin \u2018Robert Koch\u2019 dhe ekspert\u00ebt e Ministris\u00eb s\u00eb Sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsis\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb simuluar nj\u00eb p\u00ebrhapje t\u00eb mundshme t\u00eb nj\u00eb pandemie shkat\u00ebrruese n\u00eb Gjermani.<\/p>\n
Rezultati ishte nj\u00eb analiz\u00eb e detajuar e rrezikut ekstrem, duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb masat q\u00eb do t\u00eb ishin t\u00eb nevojshme p\u00ebr t\u00eb mbrojtur popullsin\u00eb dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb frenuar p\u00ebrhapjen e infeksionit.<\/p>\n
Studimi, i mbajtur n\u00eb arkivat e Bundestagut, \u00ebsht\u00eb zbuluar nga Kristina Dunz, nj\u00eb gazetare e Rheinische Post. Ai parashikon n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb befasuese at\u00eb q\u00eb ka ndodhur dhe po ndodh me Covid-19.<\/p>\n
Virusi i imagjinuar n\u00eb skenar e ka origjin\u00ebn n\u00eb Azi, prej nga b\u00ebn k\u00ebrcimin te njer\u00ebzit nga tregjet e kafsh\u00ebve t\u00eb egra, por rreziku dhe dimensioni i tij nuk kuptohen deri disa jav\u00eb m\u00eb von\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Periudha e inkubacionit \u00ebsht\u00eb 3 deri n\u00eb 5 dit\u00eb, por mund t\u00eb ndryshoj\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb hap\u00ebsir\u00eb prej 2 deri n\u00eb 14 dit\u00eb. Infeksioni p\u00ebrhapet nga sp\u00ebrklat ose nga kontakti. Simptomat jan\u00eb temperatur\u00eb, koll\u00eb e that\u00eb, v\u00ebshtir\u00ebsi n\u00eb frym\u00ebmarrje, dridhje, dhimbje koke.<\/p>\n
F\u00ebmij\u00ebt dhe t\u00eb rinjt\u00eb e kalojn\u00eb infeksionin relativisht leht\u00eb, por t\u00eb moshuarit kan\u00eb m\u00eb pak shanse p\u00ebr t\u00eb mbijetuar.<\/p>\n
Masat e nd\u00ebrmarra nga qeveria jan\u00eb t\u00eb fuqishme: izolim dhe karantin\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb s\u00ebmur\u00ebt, mbyllja e shkollave, anulim i \u00e7do aktiviteti publik, kufizime t\u00eb m\u00ebdha p\u00ebr l\u00ebvizjen e njer\u00ebzve n\u00eb aj\u00ebr t\u00eb hapur.<\/p>\n
Pyetja q\u00eb shtrohet pas k\u00ebtij zbulimi \u00ebsht\u00eb e pashmangshme: pavar\u00ebsisht se kishte nj\u00eb analiz\u00eb kaq t\u00eb plot\u00eb t\u00eb rrezikut, a e n\u00ebnvler\u00ebsoi qeveria gjermane epidemin\u00eb e Covid-19? Ekspert\u00ebt e institutit \u2018Robert Koch\u2019 pranojn\u00eb ngjashm\u00ebrin\u00eb mes dokumentit t\u00eb tyre dhe kriz\u00ebs aktuale, por thon\u00eb se nuk mund t\u00eb krahasosh t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat virtuale me ato reale.<\/p>\n
\u201cSkenari Modi-Sars 2012 nuk ishte nj\u00eb parashikim p\u00ebr zhvillimin dhe pasojat e nj\u00eb pandemie, por nj\u00eb skenar ekstrem i provokuar nga nj\u00eb patogjen imagjinar, p\u00ebr t\u00eb ilustruar d\u00ebmet e mundshme teorike p\u00ebr nj\u00eb s\u00ebmundje q\u00eb mund t\u00eb transmetohet nga nj\u00eb qenie njer\u00ebzore te tjetra,\u201d tha Susanne Glasmocher, z\u00ebdh\u00ebn\u00ebse p\u00ebr institutin \u2018Koch\u2019. Megjithat\u00eb, kur lexon dokumentin, mbetesh i shokuar.<\/p>\n
Skenari apokaliptik gjithashtu imagjinon nj\u00eb koh\u00ebzgjatje t\u00eb epidemis\u00eb p\u00ebr thuajse tre vite dhe p\u00ebrllogarit nj\u00eb nivel vdekshm\u00ebrie prej 10 p\u00ebrqind t\u00eb atyre q\u00eb jan\u00eb infektuar, q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 7 milion\u00eb vdekje si pasoj\u00eb direkte e infektimit.<\/p>\n
Realiteti sheh drejtorin e t\u00eb nj\u00ebjtit institut, Lothar \u00cbieler, q\u00eb pranon se n\u00ebse nuk respektohen masat kufizuese t\u00eb shpallura nga qeveria, Gjermania p\u00ebr dy ose tre muaj do t\u00eb ket\u00eb dhjet\u00eb milion\u00eb t\u00eb infektuar.<\/p>\n
Dallimi i r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrqindja m\u00eb e ul\u00ebt e vdekshm\u00ebris\u00eb, p\u00ebr fat t\u00eb mir\u00eb. Q\u00eb ka pasur nj\u00eb n\u00ebnvler\u00ebsim fillestar, jo vet\u00ebm n\u00eb Gjermani, kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb pranuar edhe nga Presidentja e Komisionit Europian, Ursula von der Leyen.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb Republik\u00ebn Federale, problemi \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsuar nga nd\u00ebrlikimet e sistemit federal, totemi i demokracis\u00eb gjermane p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb historis\u00eb s\u00eb tij, i cili parandalon menaxhimin e centralizuar t\u00eb krizave.<\/p>\n
Megjithat\u00eb, edhe nj\u00eb deputet i opozit\u00ebs, liberali Andre\u00eb Ullman, q\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb po ashtu profesor i epidemiologjis\u00eb n\u00eb \u00cbuerzberg, i jep qeveris\u00eb gjermane p\u00ebrfitimin e dyshimit:<\/p>\n
\u201cEdhe ekspert\u00ebt m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdhenj kan\u00eb n\u00ebnvler\u00ebsuar dinamik\u00ebn e virusit n\u00eb fillim, un\u00eb gjithashtu. Mendova se disa masa rajonale si\u00e7 jan\u00eb mbyllja e kopshteve do ishin t\u00eb mjaftueshme.<\/p>\n
Kush drejton gishtin ndaj qeveris\u00eb, duhet ta b\u00ebj\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb edhe kund\u00ebr vetvetes, n\u00eb raste t\u00eb tilla nuk ka nj\u00eb p\u00ebrgjigje model t\u00eb parafabrikuar plot\u00ebsisht, edhe n\u00ebse n\u00eb vitin 2012 \u00ebsht\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb nj\u00eb simulim akademik\u201d.\/Corriere.it<\/p>\n
Nga: Gazeta Sot<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Virusi \u00ebsht\u00eb parashikuar nga gjerman\u00ebt q\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2012 dhe mbahej n\u00eb arkivat e Bundestagut. – Ja \u00e7far\u00eb paralajm\u00ebronte 3 PRILL 2020 FacebookWhatsAppTwitterEmail N\u00eb vitin 2012, n\u00eb vazhd\u00ebn e epidemis\u00eb globale SARS, qeveria gjermane porositi institutin \u2018Robert Koch\u2019 dhe ekspert\u00ebt e Ministris\u00eb s\u00eb Sh\u00ebndet\u00ebsis\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb simuluar nj\u00eb p\u00ebrhapje t\u00eb mundshme t\u00eb nj\u00eb pandemie shkat\u00ebrruese […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":33012,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[27,35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-33011","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blogu-i-udhetarit","category-shoqerore"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/bundestagu.jpg?fit=780%2C439&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5Z6wp-8Ar","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":100647,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/alarm-ne-evrope-pas-rastit-te-ri-ne-spanje-cfare-po-ndodh-me-hantavirusin-dhe-a-jemi-perballe-nje-tjeter-pandemie\/","url_meta":{"origin":33011,"position":0},"title":"Alarm n\u00eb Evrop\u00eb pas rastit t\u00eb ri n\u00eb Spanj\u00eb, \u00e7far\u00eb po ndodh me hantavirusin dhe a jemi p\u00ebrball\u00eb nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr pandemie\u2026","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"May 26, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"26 Maji 2026 Frika nga nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr pandemi globale shp\u00ebrtheu k\u00ebt\u00eb muaj pasi anija turistike MV Hondius u b\u00eb qendra e nj\u00eb shp\u00ebrthimi vdekjeprur\u00ebs t\u00eb hantavirus. 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Sipas Brahajt, n\u00ebse hiqen tenderat e anuluar,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit"","block_context":{"text":"Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/blogu-i-udhetarit\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Aranita-Brahaj.jpg?fit=590%2C438&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Aranita-Brahaj.jpg?fit=590%2C438&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/Aranita-Brahaj.jpg?fit=590%2C438&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x"},"classes":[]},{"id":100566,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/bullgaria-merr-pjese-per-here-te-pare-ne-karnavalin-e-kulturave-ne-berlin\/","url_meta":{"origin":33011,"position":2},"title":"Bullgaria merr pjes\u00eb p\u00ebr her\u00eb t\u00eb par\u00eb n\u00eb Karnavalin e Kulturave n\u00eb Berlin","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"May 22, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"22 Maji 2026 Karnavali i Kulturave n\u00eb Berlin edhe k\u00ebt\u00eb vit do t\u00eb mbledh\u00eb mij\u00ebra banor\u00eb dhe vizitor\u00eb t\u00eb qytetit p\u00ebr t\u2019u k\u00ebnaqur me programin e larmish\u00ebm \u2013 nj\u00eb pasqyrim i m\u00eb t\u00ebrheq\u00ebses nga skena kulturore e secilit shtet pjes\u00ebmarr\u00ebs. Edicioni i sivjetsh\u00ebm \u00ebsht\u00eb i ve\u00e7ant\u00eb \u2013 mbushen 30 vjet\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Arte"","block_context":{"text":"Arte","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/arte\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/5a2649df-7dc6-40ce-9f95-2ae17eeb664a.jpg?fit=1154%2C648&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/5a2649df-7dc6-40ce-9f95-2ae17eeb664a.jpg?fit=1154%2C648&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/5a2649df-7dc6-40ce-9f95-2ae17eeb664a.jpg?fit=1154%2C648&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/5a2649df-7dc6-40ce-9f95-2ae17eeb664a.jpg?fit=1154%2C648&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/5a2649df-7dc6-40ce-9f95-2ae17eeb664a.jpg?fit=1154%2C648&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":101598,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/skandali-i-marines-se-durresit-dokumenti-qe-fundos-qeverine-ndryshoi-projektin-ne-dhjetor-2025\/","url_meta":{"origin":33011,"position":3},"title":"Skandali i Marin\u00ebs s\u00eb Durr\u00ebsit\/ Dokumenti q\u00eb fundos qeverin\u00eb, ndryshoi projektin n\u00eb dhjetor 2025!","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"June 18, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"Fundosja e Marin\u00ebs s\u00eb Durr\u00ebsit merr nj\u00eb spirale t\u00eb re, pavar\u00ebsisht ndodhive m\u00eb t\u00eb fundit n\u00eb vendin ton\u00eb, ku skandalet kapin nj\u00ebra tjetr\u00ebn. 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Ishulli i Sazanit, nj\u00eb hap\u00ebsir\u00eb \u200b\u200btoke prej 2.2 miljesh katror\u00eb, shtrihet brenda Ngushtic\u00ebs s\u00eb Otrantos, nj\u00eb kanal i ngusht\u00eb q\u00eb ndan Italin\u00eb dhe\u00a0Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb, dhe ka sh\u00ebrbyer si nj\u00eb baz\u00eb\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit"","block_context":{"text":"Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/blogu-i-udhetarit\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/maxresdefault-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/maxresdefault-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/maxresdefault-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/maxresdefault-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/maxresdefault-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C675&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":100385,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/urdheri-me-misterioz-i-mesjetes-kaloresit-templare-origjina-e-vertete-e-tyre\/","url_meta":{"origin":33011,"position":5},"title":"Urdh\u00ebri m\u00eb misterioz i Mesjet\u00ebs: Kalor\u00ebsit Templar\u00eb, origjina e v\u00ebrtet\u00eb e tyre","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"May 18, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"18 Maji 2026 N\u00eb vitin 1119, vet\u00ebm n\u00ebnt\u00eb kalor\u00ebs francez\u00eb b\u00ebn\u00eb nj\u00eb betim t\u00eb pazakont\u00eb n\u00eb Jerusalem. Kalor\u00ebsit Templar\u00eb nuk k\u00ebrkuan tok\u00eb, pasuri apo tituj. Premtuan vet\u00ebm nj\u00eb gj\u00eb: t\u00eb mbronin pelegrin\u00ebt q\u00eb udh\u00ebtonin drejt Tok\u00ebs s\u00eb Shenjt\u00eb. Por brenda pak dekadash, ky grup i vog\u00ebl luft\u00ebtar\u00ebsh u shnd\u00ebrrua n\u00eb\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Histori"","block_context":{"text":"Histori","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/histori\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/auto_Kaloresit-Templare_11778842861.jpg?fit=826%2C588&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/auto_Kaloresit-Templare_11778842861.jpg?fit=826%2C588&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/auto_Kaloresit-Templare_11778842861.jpg?fit=826%2C588&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/auto_Kaloresit-Templare_11778842861.jpg?fit=826%2C588&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33011","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/9"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=33011"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33011\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":33013,"href":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/33011\/revisions\/33013"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/33012"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=33011"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=33011"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=33011"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}