{"id":30357,"date":"2020-01-15T18:23:54","date_gmt":"2020-01-15T18:23:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/?p=30357"},"modified":"2020-01-15T18:24:25","modified_gmt":"2020-01-15T18:24:25","slug":"okb-mosha-mesatare-ne-2100-arrin-61-vjec","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/okb-mosha-mesatare-ne-2100-arrin-61-vjec\/","title":{"rendered":"OKB: – Mosha mesatare n\u00eb 2100 arrin 61 vje\u00e7."},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/p>\n

OKB: – Mosha mesatare n\u00eb 2100 arrin 61 vje\u00e7.<\/strong><\/p>\n

15 janar \u00a02020<\/p>\n

Sipas nj\u00eb skenari normal, pa rritje t\u00eb emigracionit dhe r\u00ebnie t\u00eb lindjeve mosha mesatare e popullsis\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb sipas projeksioneve t\u00eb OKB-s\u00eb shkon n\u00eb vitin 2050 n\u00eb 50.1 vje\u00e7 dhe n\u00eb vitin 2100 arrin 61 vje\u00e7.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb skenarin pesimist me vijim\u00ebsi t\u00eb emigracionit dhe r\u00ebnie t\u00eb lindshm\u00ebris\u00eb, mosha mesatare e popullsis\u00eb arrin n\u00eb 79.1 vje\u00e7 n\u00eb vitin 2010 dhe gjithsej popullsia banuese brenda Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb arrin n\u00eb 512 mij\u00eb banor\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Projeksionet e popullsis\u00eb t\u00eb OKB-s\u00eb jan\u00eb rishikuar me p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsim p\u00ebr Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb n\u00eb raport me vitin 2018, p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb rishikimit t\u00eb treguesve t\u00eb emigracionit.<\/p>\n

Gjithashtu OKB pasuroi projeksionet me tregues shtes\u00eb mbi normat e lindshm\u00ebris\u00eb, vdekjeve dhe anketave komb\u00ebtare t\u00eb nivelit t\u00eb jetes\u00ebs, sipas shpjegimeve q\u00eb shoq\u00ebrojn\u00eb tabelat e popullsis\u00eb.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb vitin 2020 mosha mesatare e popullsis\u00eb shqiptare do t\u00eb jet\u00eb 36.4 vje\u00e7, nd\u00ebrsa t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat komb\u00ebtare raportuan se n\u00eb vitin 2018 mosha mesatare ishte 35.4 vje\u00e7.<\/p>\n

Mosha mesatare e popullsis\u00eb s\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb do t\u00eb rritet me ritme m\u00eb t\u00eb shpejta se vendet e tjera t\u00eb grupit t\u00eb Europ\u00ebs Jugore me dy ose tre fish.<\/p>\n

P\u00ebr shqiptar\u00ebt mosha mesatare do t\u00eb rritet me 25 vite gjat\u00eb periudh\u00ebs, p\u00ebr italian\u00ebt vet\u00ebm 6 vite, p\u00ebr boshnjak\u00ebt 9.8 vite, p\u00ebr grek\u00ebt 7 vite, p\u00ebr kroat\u00ebt 8 vite, p\u00ebr serb\u00ebt 10.5 vite dhe p\u00ebr maqedonasit 11.1 vite.<\/p>\n

Mosha e mesatare e shqiptar\u00ebve do t\u00eb rritet gjat\u00eb k\u00ebtij shekulli gati dy her\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb se e popullsis\u00eb rajonale dhe tre her\u00eb m\u00eb shum\u00eb se vendeve t\u00eb Europ\u00ebs Jugore.<\/p>\n

Skenari pesimist i OKB-s\u00eb parashikon q\u00eb deri n\u00eb vitin 2100 n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri t\u00eb banojn\u00eb rreth 512 mij\u00eb banor\u00eb ku 70 p\u00ebr qind e tyre do t\u00eb jen\u00eb pleq t\u00eb 70 -ve.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb parashikimet e publikuara n\u00eb vitin 2018, sipas variantit t\u00eb lart\u00eb t\u00eb parashikimit (me norm\u00eb t\u00eb lart\u00eb fertiliteti), popullsia e vendit n\u00eb vitin 2100 pritej t\u00eb mbetej n\u00eb rreth 2.8 milion\u00eb persona, n\u00eb nj\u00eb r\u00ebnie t\u00eb leht\u00eb nga niveli aktual prej 2.87 milion\u00eb banor\u00ebsh.<\/p>\n

Por, vet\u00ebm nj\u00eb vit m\u00eb pas, n\u00eb 2019-n, pritshm\u00ebria \u00ebsht\u00eb ulur ndjesh\u00ebm edhe p\u00ebr variantin optimist.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb t\u00eb gjitha rastet, edhe n\u00eb variantin optimist, \u2013 pra n\u00ebse merret nj\u00eb nivel zero emigracioni dhe ecuri normale e normave t\u00eb fertilitetit, n\u00eb vitin 2100, Shqip\u00ebria nuk pritet q\u00eb t\u00eb ket\u00eb me shum\u00eb se 1.9 milion\u00eb banor\u00eb, ose 31% m\u00eb pak se parashikimi i nj\u00eb viti m\u00eb par\u00eb n\u00eb rastin m\u00eb t\u00eb mir\u00eb dhe 512 mij\u00eb banor\u00eb n\u00eb rastin m\u00eb t\u00eb keq.<\/p>\n

Monitor<\/strong><\/p>\n

j.l.\/ dita<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

OKB: – Mosha mesatare n\u00eb 2100 arrin 61 vje\u00e7. 15 janar \u00a02020 Sipas nj\u00eb skenari normal, pa rritje t\u00eb emigracionit dhe r\u00ebnie t\u00eb lindjeve mosha mesatare e popullsis\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb sipas projeksioneve t\u00eb OKB-s\u00eb shkon n\u00eb vitin 2050 n\u00eb 50.1 vje\u00e7 dhe n\u00eb vitin 2100 arrin 61 vje\u00e7. N\u00eb skenarin pesimist me vijim\u00ebsi t\u00eb emigracionit dhe […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":30358,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[27,1,35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30357","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blogu-i-udhetarit","category-njoftime-shtypi","category-shoqerore"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/01\/Te-moshuarit-905x450-1.jpg?fit=905%2C450&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5Z6wp-7TD","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":100020,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/vetem-lutesha-qe-te-mbijetoja-trajneri-i-njohur-rrefen-betejen-tronditese-me-hantavirusin\/","url_meta":{"origin":30357,"position":0},"title":"\u2018Vet\u00ebm lutesha q\u00eb t\u00eb mbijetoja\u2019\/ Trajneri i njohur rr\u00ebfen betej\u00ebn trondit\u00ebse me hantavirusin","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"May 8, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"8 Maji 2026 Nga Matteo Tomada,\u00a0BILD \u201cIshin tri jav\u00ebt m\u00eb t\u00eb k\u00ebqija t\u00eb jet\u00ebs sime\u201d. 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Pas tre vdekjeve n\u00eb anijen turistike Hondius pran\u00eb Afrik\u00ebs, trajneri foli p\u00ebr\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit"","block_context":{"text":"Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/blogu-i-udhetarit\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/auto_hanta1778179888.png?fit=900%2C509&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/auto_hanta1778179888.png?fit=900%2C509&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/auto_hanta1778179888.png?fit=900%2C509&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/auto_hanta1778179888.png?fit=900%2C509&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":100101,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/nje-qytetari-shqiptar-i-duhen-270-dite-ne-shkalle-te-pare-2318-dite-mbi-6-vite-ne-apel-dhe-1762-dite-rreth-5-vjet-ne-gjykaten-e-larte\/","url_meta":{"origin":30357,"position":1},"title":"Nj\u00eb qytetari shqiptar i duhen 270 dit\u00eb n\u00eb shkall\u00eb t\u00eb par\u00eb, 2318 dit\u00eb (mbi 6 vite) n\u00eb Apel dhe 1762 dit\u00eb (rreth 5 vjet) n\u00eb Gjykat\u00ebn e Lart\u00eb","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"May 11, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"11 Maji 2026 Nga: Gazeta Dita N\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb gjykatat e vendit, viti 2025 u mbyll me rreth 150 mij\u00eb dosje q\u00eb presin t\u00eb shqyrtohen n\u00eb t\u00eb trija shkall\u00ebt e gjykimit. 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