{"id":119241,"date":"2026-10-03T23:16:21","date_gmt":"2026-10-03T23:16:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/?p=119241"},"modified":"2026-10-03T23:16:21","modified_gmt":"2026-10-03T23:16:21","slug":"bluza-ne-vend-te-palltove-te-dimrit-cfare-tregon-nje-tetor-i-ngrohte-per-dimrin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/bluza-ne-vend-te-palltove-te-dimrit-cfare-tregon-nje-tetor-i-ngrohte-per-dimrin\/","title":{"rendered":"Bluza n\u00eb vend t\u00eb palltove t\u00eb dimrit, \u00e7far\u00eb tregon nj\u00eb tetor i ngroht\u00eb p\u00ebr dimrin"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/p>\n

3 Tetor 2026<\/p>\n

Meteorolog\u00ebt parashikojn\u00eb nj\u00eb tetor t\u00eb ngroht\u00eb me temperature deri n\u00eb 25\u00b0C n\u00eb disa pjes\u00eb t\u00eb Europ\u00ebs. P\u00ebr fermer\u00ebt nj\u00eb vjesht\u00eb e ngroht\u00eb paralajm\u00ebron nj\u00eb dim\u00ebr t\u00eb ashp\u00ebr. Por \u00e7far\u00eb thon\u00eb statistikat dhe meteorolog\u00ebt?<\/p>\n

Tetori ka nisur me temperatura jasht\u00ebzakonisht t\u00eb buta, edhe deri n\u00eb 28 grad\u00eb Celsius n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri por dhe n\u00eb disa shtete t\u00eb tjera t\u00eb Europ\u00ebs.<\/p>\n

Ndryshe nga nj\u00eb vjesht\u00eb e lag\u00ebsht dhe e paq\u00ebndrueshme, duket se po p\u00ebrjetojm\u00eb nj\u00eb ver\u00eb t\u00eb vonuar.<\/p>\n

P\u00ebr fermer\u00ebt nj\u00eb tetor i ngroht\u00eb paralajm\u00ebron nj\u00eb dim\u00ebr t\u00eb ashp\u00ebr.<\/p>\n

Por a \u00ebsht\u00eb v\u00ebrtet k\u00ebshtu?<\/p>\n

A \u00ebsht\u00eb tetori i ngroht\u00eb shenj\u00eb paralajm\u00ebruese?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Th\u00ebniet e vjetra t\u00eb fermer\u00ebve sh\u00ebrbenin si nj\u00eb lloj parashikimi p\u00ebr motin. \u00a0Shum\u00eb koh\u00eb p\u00ebrpara se t\u00eb ekzistonin satelit\u00ebt, balonat meteorologjike dhe modelet kompjuterike, njer\u00ebzit v\u00ebzhgonin brez pas brezi m\u00ebnyr\u00ebn se si zhvilloheshin stin\u00ebt. P\u00ebrvoja e grumbulluar prej tyre u shnd\u00ebrrua n\u00eb vargje t\u00eb lehta p\u00ebr t’u mbajtur mend, q\u00eb synonin t\u00eb ofronin udh\u00ebzime p\u00ebr bujq\u00ebsin\u00eb dhe jet\u00ebn e p\u00ebrditshme.<\/p>\n

Problemi \u00ebsht\u00eb se di\u00e7ka q\u00eb duket e besueshme kur v\u00ebzhgohet p\u00ebrgjat\u00eb dekadave, \u00ebsht\u00eb ende larg t\u00eb qenit nj\u00eb lidhje e besueshme. Prandaj, kur b\u00ebhet fjal\u00eb p\u00ebr tetorin dhe dimrin q\u00eb pason, ia vlen t\u00eb shohim t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat e s\u00eb kaluar\u00ebs \u2013 dhe historia ofron nj\u00eb kund\u00ebrshembull mjaft spektakolar.<\/p>\n

Kur rregulli i fermer\u00ebve d\u00ebshtoi plot\u00ebsisht<\/strong><\/p>\n

Vjeshta e vitit 2006 n\u00eb Gjermani, p\u00ebr shembull, ishte jasht\u00ebzakonisht e ngroht\u00eb. Kushdo q\u00eb do t’i ishte besuar rregullit t\u00eb vjet\u00ebr n\u00eb at\u00eb koh\u00eb, do t\u00eb ishte p\u00ebrgatitur p\u00ebr nj\u00eb dim\u00ebr shum\u00eb t\u00eb ftoht\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Por ndodhi krejt e kund\u00ebrta: dimri i viteve 2006\/07 u b\u00eb m\u00eb i ngrohti n\u00eb Gjermani q\u00eb nga fillimi i regjistrimeve t\u00eb rregullta meteorologjike n\u00eb vitin 1901. Sh\u00ebrbimi Gjerman i Motit (D\u00cbD) llogariti n\u00eb at\u00eb koh\u00eb nj\u00eb temperatur\u00eb mesatare prej 4.3 grad\u00eb Celsius \u2013 4.1 grad\u00eb mbi mesataren afatgjat\u00eb nd\u00ebrsa nuk pati asnj\u00eb periudh\u00eb t\u00eb zgjatur me temperatura n\u00ebn zero.<\/p>\n

Edhe dhjetori i vitit 2006 ishte jasht\u00ebzakonisht i but\u00eb, nd\u00ebrsa janari vendosi nj\u00eb rekord t\u00eb ri temperaturash. Rregulli i vjet\u00ebr kishte dh\u00ebn\u00eb nj\u00eb nga parashikimet m\u00eb t\u00eb gabuara t\u00eb mundshme.<\/p>\n

Pse tetori nuk ‘programon’ janarin<\/strong><\/p>\n

T\u00eb dh\u00ebnat e matjeve tregojn\u00eb se p\u00ebrshtypja aktuale p\u00ebr nj\u00eb ‘vjesht\u00eb si ver\u00eb’ nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb thjesht subjektive. Sipas Sh\u00ebrbimit Gjerman t\u00eb Motit, shtatori 2026 n\u00eb Gjermani pati nj\u00eb temperatur\u00eb mesatare prej 15.9 grad\u00eb Celsius, 2.6 grad\u00eb mbi norm\u00ebn afatgjat\u00eb. Reshjet ishin gjithashtu ndjesh\u00ebm m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebta se zakonisht.<\/p>\n

M\u00eb 30 shtator, n\u00eb zon\u00ebn e Rinit t\u00eb Sip\u00ebrm u regjistruan 31 grad\u00eb, nd\u00ebrsa n\u00eb Badenin verior 29 grad\u00eb. M\u00eb 1 tetor, temperaturat arrit\u00ebn n\u00eb 25 grad\u00eb n\u00eb Bavari dhe Saksoni, nd\u00ebrsa n\u00eb Berlin dhe Brandenburg u regjistruan 23 deri n\u00eb 25 grad\u00eb. Megjithat\u00eb, kjo nuk do t\u00eb thot\u00eb se i gjith\u00eb tetori do t\u00eb vijoj\u00eb k\u00ebshtu. Pritet q\u00eb modeli i motit t\u00eb ndryshoj\u00eb gjat\u00eb dit\u00ebve n\u00eb vijim, me ulje t\u00eb temperaturave.<\/p>\n

Moti n\u00eb Gjermani ndikohet nga qarkullime t\u00eb m\u00ebdha ajrore. Gjat\u00eb muajve t\u00eb dimrit, rol luajn\u00eb faktor\u00eb si modelet e presionit mbi Atlantik, e ashtuquajtura L\u00ebkundja e Atlantikut t\u00eb Veriut (NAO) dhe ndryshimet n\u00eb atmosfer\u00ebn e Arktikut. Edhe vorbulla polare mund t\u00eb ndikoj\u00eb n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00ebn se si shp\u00ebrndahen masat e ajrit t\u00eb ftoht\u00eb.<\/p>\n

P\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb arsye, parashikimet specifike t\u00eb motit p\u00ebr disa muaj jan\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtira edhe me modelet moderne. Sa m\u00eb larg n\u00eb koh\u00eb t\u00eb shikosh, aq m\u00eb pak b\u00ebhet fjal\u00eb p\u00ebr p\u00ebrcaktimin e motit n\u00eb nj\u00eb dit\u00eb t\u00eb caktuar dhe aq m\u00eb shum\u00eb p\u00ebr probabilitetet dhe zhvillimet e mundshme.<\/p>\n

El Ni\u00f1o dhe ndikimi i tij<\/strong><\/p>\n

Nj\u00eb faktor q\u00eb e b\u00ebn ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht interesante perspektiv\u00ebn p\u00ebr dimrin 2026\/27 \u00ebsht\u00eb: El Ni\u00f1o.<\/p>\n

Ky fenomen klimatik n\u00eb Paq\u00ebsorin tropikal po zhvillohet aktualisht me intensitet t\u00eb pazakont\u00eb. Sipas Administrat\u00ebs Komb\u00ebtare Oqeanike dhe Atmosferike t\u00eb SHBA-s\u00eb (NOAA), ekziston nj\u00eb probabilitet prej m\u00eb shum\u00eb se 90 p\u00ebr qind p\u00ebr nj\u00eb ngjarje shum\u00eb t\u00eb fort\u00eb El Ni\u00f1o gjat\u00eb vjesht\u00ebs dhe dimrit 2026\/27.<\/p>\n

P\u00ebr periudh\u00ebn nga tetori deri n\u00eb dhjetor, NOAA vler\u00ebson n\u00eb 75 p\u00ebr qind mund\u00ebsin\u00eb q\u00eb intensiteti i fenomenit t\u00eb tejkaloj\u00eb t\u00eb gjitha ngjarjet e m\u00ebparshme El Ni\u00f1o q\u00eb nga viti 1950.<\/p>\n

El Ni\u00f1o ndikon n\u00eb sistemin global t\u00eb klim\u00ebs, por pasojat e tij ndryshojn\u00eb ndjesh\u00ebm nga nj\u00eb rajon n\u00eb tjetrin dhe varen edhe nga kushtet e tjera atmosferike. Vet\u00eb NOAA thekson se ndikimet e parashikuara nuk jan\u00eb t\u00eb garantuara.<\/p>\n

At\u00ebher\u00eb, a do t\u00eb ket\u00eb d\u00ebbor\u00eb?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Nj\u00eb dim\u00ebr i ftoht\u00eb, sigurisht, nuk p\u00ebrjashtohet. Edhe pas nj\u00eb vjeshte shum\u00eb t\u00eb but\u00eb, kushtet dim\u00ebrore mund t\u00eb shfaqen n\u00eb janar ose shkurt.<\/p>\n

Por, si nj\u00eb besim i vjet\u00ebr p\u00ebr motin, i krijuar n\u00eb nj\u00eb koh\u00eb kur nuk ekzistonin satelit\u00ebt, rregulli i fermer\u00ebve nuk ofron nj\u00eb parashikim t\u00eb besuesh\u00ebm. Prandaj, kushdo q\u00eb mendon se nj\u00eb dim\u00ebr I ftoht\u00eb po afrohet vet\u00ebm sepse temperaturat arrijn\u00eb 20 ose 25 grad\u00eb n\u00eb fillim t\u00eb tetorit, mund t\u00eb qet\u00ebsohet. Nj\u00eb tetor i ngroht\u00eb nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb num\u00ebrimi meteorologjik mbrapsht drejt ngricave. \/Euronews.com\/<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

3 Tetor 2026 Meteorolog\u00ebt parashikojn\u00eb nj\u00eb tetor t\u00eb ngroht\u00eb me temperature deri n\u00eb 25\u00b0C n\u00eb disa pjes\u00eb t\u00eb Europ\u00ebs. P\u00ebr fermer\u00ebt nj\u00eb vjesht\u00eb e ngroht\u00eb paralajm\u00ebron nj\u00eb dim\u00ebr t\u00eb ashp\u00ebr. Por \u00e7far\u00eb thon\u00eb statistikat dhe meteorolog\u00ebt? Tetori ka nisur me temperatura jasht\u00ebzakonisht t\u00eb buta, edhe deri n\u00eb 28 grad\u00eb Celsius n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri por dhe n\u00eb […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":119242,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[27,1,35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-119241","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blogu-i-udhetarit","category-njoftime-shtypi","category-shoqerore"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Screenshot_2026-10-03_1949071791050548.jpg?fit=900%2C560&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5Z6wp-v1f","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":119077,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/pse-shume-njerez-ndihen-te-lodhur-ne-vjeshte\/","url_meta":{"origin":119241,"position":0},"title":"Pse shum\u00eb njer\u00ebz ndihen t\u00eb lodhur n\u00eb vjesht\u00eb?","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"October 1, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"1 Tetor 2026 Dit\u00ebt m\u00eb t\u00eb shkurtra dhe m\u00eb pak rrezet e diellit gjat\u00eb vjesht\u00ebs mund t\u00eb prishin or\u00ebn e brendshme t\u00eb trupit, duke b\u00ebr\u00eb q\u00eb shum\u00eb njer\u00ebz t\u00eb ndihen m\u00eb t\u00eb lodhur sesa gjat\u00eb ver\u00ebs. Ndryshimet lidhen kryesisht me ritmin cirkadian, dometh\u00ebn\u00eb or\u00ebn e brendshme natyrore q\u00eb rregullon gjumin\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit"","block_context":{"text":"Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/blogu-i-udhetarit\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/800-0-6ab3cfd83299e.png?fit=800%2C400&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/800-0-6ab3cfd83299e.png?fit=800%2C400&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/800-0-6ab3cfd83299e.png?fit=800%2C400&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/800-0-6ab3cfd83299e.png?fit=800%2C400&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x"},"classes":[]},{"id":102583,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/temperaturat-shqiperia-hyri-ne-vere-me-nivele-mbi-normalen-ndersa-nxehtesia-mbertheu-europen\/","url_meta":{"origin":119241,"position":1},"title":"Temperaturat, Shqip\u00ebria hyri n\u00eb ver\u00eb me nivele mbi normalen, nd\u00ebrsa nxeht\u00ebsia mb\u00ebrtheu Europ\u00ebn","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"July 13, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"13 Korrik 2026 Shqip\u00ebria u p\u00ebrfshi n\u00eb qershor n\u00eb brezin e temperaturave mbi normalen q\u00eb mbuloi pjes\u00ebn m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe t\u00eb Europ\u00ebs, duke paralajm\u00ebruar nj\u00eb fillim vere m\u00eb t\u00eb nxeht\u00eb. 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N\u00ebna e familjes, Ellie Cooper, 61 vje\u00e7, po jepte shpirt n\u00eb nj\u00eb spital t\u00eb Medfordit, e tretur nga tuberkulozi. 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Kriza arriti pikun n\u00eb fillim t\u00eb jav\u00ebs s\u00eb dyt\u00eb t\u00eb qershorit, at\u00ebher\u00eb kur protesta q\u00eb u duk se u shpik nga hi\u00e7i, sh\u00ebnjoi edhe mksimumin e saj. 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