{"id":103293,"date":"2026-07-27T12:34:35","date_gmt":"2026-07-27T12:34:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/?p=103293"},"modified":"2026-07-27T12:34:35","modified_gmt":"2026-07-27T12:34:35","slug":"ekspertet-zhvleresimi-i-euros-edhe-per-shkak-te-futjes-ne-tregun-vendas-te-parave-te-pista","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/ekspertet-zhvleresimi-i-euros-edhe-per-shkak-te-futjes-ne-tregun-vendas-te-parave-te-pista\/","title":{"rendered":"Ekspert\u00ebt : – Zhvler\u00ebsimi i euros edhe p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb futjes n\u00eb tregun vendas t\u00eb parave t\u00eb pista"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\"<\/p>\n

27 Korrik 2026<\/strong><\/p>\n

Qeveria po e shet mbivler\u00ebsimin e monedh\u00ebs vendase si nj\u00eb sukses ekonomik p\u00ebr Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb, por ekspert\u00ebt argumentojn\u00eb se t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat makroekonomike jan\u00eb t\u00eb pamjaftueshme p\u00ebr t\u00eb shpjeguar kursin e k\u00ebmbimit, pa futur n\u00eb analiz\u00eb parat\u00eb informale.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Monedha europiane, Euro ka humbur gati nj\u00eb t\u00eb tret\u00ebn e vler\u00ebs s\u00eb saj kundrejt lekut shqiptar gjat\u00eb dekad\u00ebs s\u00eb fundit, duke zbritur nga rreth 140 lek\u00eb n\u00eb vitin 2014 n\u00eb m\u00eb pak se 94 lek\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb ver\u00eb.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb pamje t\u00eb par\u00eb, ky zhvler\u00ebsim mund t\u00eb konsiderohej nj\u00eb lajm i mir\u00eb p\u00ebr ekonomin\u00eb dhe monedh\u00ebn vendase. Por zhvler\u00ebsimi i pandalsh\u00ebm i euros ka rihapur debatin n\u00ebse ai bazohet vet\u00ebm n\u00eb rregullat standarde t\u00eb ekonomis\u00eb apo lidhet edhe me ndikimin e parave t\u00eb pista.<\/p>\n

Nj\u00eb pyetje vazhdon t\u00eb marr\u00eb p\u00ebrgjigje kontradiktore; \u00e7far\u00eb tregon n\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebrtet\u00eb kursi i k\u00ebmbimit p\u00ebr ekonomin\u00eb shqiptare?<\/p>\n

Qeveria e konsideron mbivler\u00ebsimin e lekut si rrjedhoj\u00eb t\u00eb p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsimit t\u00eb treguesve makroekonomik\u00eb t\u00eb vendit. Ministrja e Ekonomis\u00eb dhe Inovacionit, Delina Ibrahimaj u p\u00ebrfshi dit\u00ebt e fundit n\u00eb replika me ekspert\u00eb t\u00eb ekonomis\u00eb dhe gazetar\u00eb, t\u00eb cil\u00ebt sugjeronin se zhvler\u00ebsimi i euros vinte edhe p\u00ebr shkak t\u00eb futjes n\u00eb tregun vendas t\u00eb parave t\u00eb pista t\u00eb trafikut t\u00eb drog\u00ebs.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb t\u00eb kund\u00ebrt, ministrja Ibrahimaj argumentoi se mbi\u00e7mimi i monedh\u00ebs vendase reflekton rritjen e t\u00eb ardhurave nga turizmi, remitancat, investimet e huaja, eksportet e mallrave dhe sh\u00ebrbimeve, si edhe p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsimin e pozicionit t\u00eb jasht\u00ebm t\u00eb ekonomis\u00eb. Duke iu referuar vler\u00ebsimeve t\u00eb Bank\u00ebs s\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb dhe Fondit Monetar Nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar, ajo kund\u00ebrshtoi pretendimet se ekonomia informale apo kapitali kriminal mund t\u00eb konsiderohen shpjegim p\u00ebr forcimin e lekut. Sipas saj, nuk ka t\u00eb dh\u00ebna zyrtare p\u00ebr t\u00eb provuar k\u00ebt\u00eb lidhje.\"\"<\/p>\n

Q\u00ebndrimi zyrtar u kund\u00ebrshtua nga ekonomist\u00eb dhe analist\u00eb, t\u00eb cil\u00ebt argumentuan se statistikat e ofruara nga Ibrahimaj nuk mjaftojn\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb shpjeguar sjelljen e kursit t\u00eb k\u00ebmbimit.<\/p>\n

Irena Beqiraj, eksperte e ekonomis\u00eb dhe ish-zv.ministre e Financave ngriti dyshime se flukset valutore t\u00eb raportuara nga turizmi, remitancat dhe investimet e huaja nuk shpjegojn\u00eb plot\u00ebsisht ritmin e forcimit t\u00eb lekut. Ajo sugjeroi se duhej analizuar roli i ekonomis\u00eb informale dhe hyrja n\u00eb treg e parave nga trafiku i drog\u00ebs.<\/p>\n

Nd\u00ebrsa gazetari Lutfi Dervishi e fokusoi debatin te pasojat sociale t\u00eb fenomenit, duke argumentuar se efekti real i kursit t\u00eb k\u00ebmbimit duhet t\u00eb vler\u00ebsohet p\u00ebrmes fuqis\u00eb bler\u00ebse t\u00eb qytetar\u00ebve dhe jo vet\u00ebm p\u00ebrmes statistikave makroekonomike.<\/p>\n

P\u00ebr ekspert\u00ebt e ekonomis\u00eb, fenomeni i zhvler\u00ebsimit t\u00eb euros nuk mund t\u00eb reduktohet n\u00eb nj\u00eb zgjedhje mes turizmit dhe ekonomis\u00eb informale, pasi sipas tyre, kursi i k\u00ebmbimit duhet analizuar n\u00eb raport me produktivitetin, konkurrueshm\u00ebrin\u00eb e ekonomis\u00eb dhe struktur\u00ebn e rritjes ekonomike, element\u00eb q\u00eb, sipas tyre, tregojn\u00eb nj\u00eb panoram\u00eb m\u00eb komplekse sesa ajo q\u00eb pasqyrohet nga kursi i k\u00ebmbimit.<\/p>\n

\u201cForcimi i lekut nuk duhet par\u00eb automatikisht si prov\u00eb e nj\u00eb ekonomie m\u00eb produktive apo m\u00eb konkurruese,\u201d tha p\u00ebr BIRN Eduart Gjokutaj, drejtues i organizat\u00ebs ALTAX me fokus te transparenca dhe politikat e q\u00ebndrueshme t\u00eb zhvillimit.<\/p>\n

\u201cNj\u00eb monedh\u00eb forcohet n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb q\u00ebndrueshme kur ekonomia prodhon m\u00eb shum\u00eb, eksporton m\u00eb shum\u00eb produkte me vler\u00eb t\u00eb shtuar dhe rrit produktivitetin. N\u00eb rastin e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb, kursi i k\u00ebmbimit \u00ebsht\u00eb ndikuar nga nj\u00eb kombinim faktor\u00ebsh, ku p\u00ebrve\u00e7 hyrjeve t\u00eb ligjshme t\u00eb valut\u00ebs kan\u00eb rol edhe nd\u00ebrhyrjet e Bank\u00ebs s\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb dhe flukset informale t\u00eb euros,\u201d shtoi Gjokutaj.<\/p>\n

Sipas tij, forcimi i lekut reflekton m\u00eb shum\u00eb nj\u00eb rritje t\u00eb ofert\u00ebs s\u00eb valut\u00ebs sesa nj\u00eb transformim real t\u00eb ekonomis\u00eb.<\/p>\n

Ola Xama, gazetare e ekonomis\u00eb dhe autore e emisionit \u201cKronos\u201d sjell gjithashtu n\u00eb v\u00ebmendje literatur\u00ebn e ekonomis\u00eb, sipas s\u00eb cil\u00ebs forcimi i monedh\u00ebs vendase duhet t\u00eb shoq\u00ebrohet me rritje ekonomike me faktor\u00eb kryesor\u00eb rritjen e sektor\u00ebve prodhues dhe eksportet.<\/p>\n

\u201cGjat\u00eb viteve t\u00eb fundit, ritmi i rritjes ekonomike ka qen\u00eb stab\u00ebl dhe jo n\u00eb raport t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00eb me forcimin e monedh\u00ebs vend\u00ebse,\u201c thot\u00eb Xama, e cila shpjegon gjithashtu se eksportet, bujq\u00ebsia dhe manifaktura kan\u00eb qen\u00eb n\u00eb r\u00ebnie.<\/p>\n

Xama thekson se edhe pas operacioneve t\u00eb blerjes s\u00eb monedh\u00ebs nga Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb, euro u zhvler\u00ebsua s\u00ebrish me 6.3%, duke evidentuar flukset e pajustifikuara t\u00eb valut\u00ebs si shpjegim p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb fenomen.<\/p>\n

\u201cKjo mund t\u00eb shpjegohet vet\u00ebm me flukse t\u00eb pajustifikuara t\u00eb valut\u00ebs dhe kjo pranohet edhe n\u00eb tabel\u00ebn shoq\u00ebruese t\u00eb deklarat\u00ebs s\u00eb nd\u00ebrhyrjes n\u00eb tregun e paras\u00eb t\u00eb Bank\u00ebs s\u00eb Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb, ku shprehimisht thuhet se nd\u00ebrhyrjet jan\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb me q\u00ebllim forcimin e m\u00ebtejsh\u00ebm t\u00eb kursit t\u00eb k\u00ebmbimit,\u201d theksoi ajo.<\/p>\n

Edhe Ornela Liperi, kryeredaktore e revist\u00ebs ekonomike \u201cMonitor\u201d, beson se zhvler\u00ebsim i euros kundrejt lekut nuk mund t\u00eb shihet si forcim i ekonomis\u00eb vendase, pa analizuar faktor\u00ebt e tjer\u00eb.<\/p>\n

\u201cKursi aktual i k\u00ebmbimit nuk reflekton asnj\u00eb ekonomi konkurruese dhe produktive, p\u00ebrkundrazi e ka b\u00ebr\u00eb ekonomin\u00eb m\u00eb pak konkurruese, sidomos eksportet,\u201d tha Liperi.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb kontradiktore, sipas Liperit, nd\u00ebrsa leku \u00ebsht\u00eb forcuar, bujq\u00ebsia dhe industria kan\u00eb sh\u00ebnuar tkurrje p\u00ebr m\u00eb shum\u00eb se dy vjet, eksportet e mallrave kan\u00eb r\u00ebn\u00eb, nd\u00ebrsa rritja ekonomike \u00ebsht\u00eb mb\u00ebshtetur kryesisht te nd\u00ebrtimi, pasurit\u00eb e paluajtshme dhe rritja e pagave n\u00eb administrat\u00eb publike.<\/p>\n

P\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb arsye, ajo argumenton se mbi\u00e7mimi i lekut reflekton m\u00eb shum\u00eb nj\u00eb rritje t\u00eb ofert\u00ebs s\u00eb euros, ku, krahas turizmit, rol kan\u00eb luajtur edhe flukset informale t\u00eb kapitalit, sesa nj\u00eb p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsim t\u00eb produktivitetit apo t\u00eb konkurrueshm\u00ebris\u00eb s\u00eb ekonomis\u00eb shqiptare.<\/p>\n

Duke analizuar fenomenin q\u00eb ka nisur nj\u00eb dekad\u00eb m\u00eb par\u00eb, Liperi e lidh kurb\u00ebn e r\u00ebnies s\u00eb euros me zgjerimin e sektorit t\u00eb nd\u00ebrtimit dhe t\u00eb pasurive t\u00eb paluajtshme, nj\u00eb sektor q\u00eb u p\u00ebrdor p\u00ebr t\u00eb investuar parat\u00eb e p\u00ebrfituara nga prodhimi dhe trafiku i drog\u00ebs.<\/p>\n

\u201cRaporti i SPAK tregoi se sa leht\u00eb futej paraja e krimit n\u00eb nd\u00ebrtim, p\u00ebrmes kalimit cash nga kufiri,\u201d thekson Liperi.<\/p>\n

Duke u bazuar mbi k\u00ebto t\u00eb dh\u00ebna, debati nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb n\u00ebse faktor\u00ebt e p\u00ebrmendur nga qeveria kan\u00eb ndikuar n\u00eb kursin e k\u00ebmbimit, por n\u00ebse ata e shpjegojn\u00eb t\u00eb gjith\u00eb fenomenin.<\/p>\n

Sipas ekspert\u00ebve, zhvillimet n\u00eb nd\u00ebrtim, tregun e pasurive t\u00eb paluajtshme, ekonomin\u00eb gri dhe dob\u00ebsimi i sektor\u00ebve prodhues tregojn\u00eb se mbi\u00e7mimi i lekut nuk mund t\u00eb analizohet vet\u00ebm p\u00ebrmes treguesve makroekonomik\u00eb, por k\u00ebrkon edhe nj\u00eb lexim t\u00eb burimeve t\u00eb valut\u00ebs q\u00eb hyjn\u00eb n\u00eb ekonomi.<\/p>\n

Gjokutaj argumenton se remitancat e padeklaruara, t\u00eb ardhurat cash nga turizmi, aktiviteti i ekonomis\u00eb gri dhe investimet n\u00eb nd\u00ebrtim kan\u00eb rritur ofert\u00ebn e euros n\u00eb treg, duke ushtruar presion mbi kursin e k\u00ebmbimit. Edhe pse k\u00ebto flukse nuk maten drejtp\u00ebrdrejt, ai thot\u00eb se ato l\u00ebn\u00eb gjurm\u00eb n\u00eb ekonomi.<\/p>\n

Sipas tij, problemi nuk q\u00ebndron te fakti q\u00eb qeveria p\u00ebrmend turizmin apo investimet e huaja, por se ndalet aty.<\/p>\n

\u201cArgumentet e ministres jan\u00eb pjes\u00ebrisht t\u00eb sakta\u201d, thot\u00eb ai, pasi hyrjet valutore nga turizmi dhe sh\u00ebrbimet jan\u00eb rritur, por ato nuk shpjegojn\u00eb pse, n\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb, eksportet e mallrave kan\u00eb humbur konkurrueshm\u00ebri dhe sektor\u00ebt prodhues po tkurren.<\/p>\n

Edhe p\u00ebr Ornela Liperin, r\u00ebnia e euros nuk mund t\u00eb shpjegohet vet\u00ebm me rritjen e turizmit apo t\u00eb investimeve t\u00eb huaja. Sipas saj, deri n\u00eb vitin 2024 ndikim kryesor kan\u00eb pasur flukset informale t\u00eb kapitalit, nd\u00ebrsa m\u00eb u shtuan edhe hyrjet valutore nga turizmi.<\/p>\n

\u201c\u00cbsht\u00eb praktikisht e pamundur t\u00eb ndahet se sa ka ndikuar nj\u00ebri apo tjetri faktor,\u201d tha Liperi, nd\u00ebrsa shpjegoi se nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb e paras\u00eb informale mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrfshihet indirekt n\u00eb vler\u00ebsimet p\u00ebr remitancat dhe shpenzimet e turist\u00ebve, t\u00eb cilat Banka e Shqip\u00ebris\u00eb i llogarit mbi baz\u00ebn e metodave statistikore.<\/p>\n

Liperi vler\u00ebson se argumentet e qeveris\u00eb nuk p\u00ebrputhen plot\u00ebsisht me zhvillimet e ekonomis\u00eb reale, nd\u00ebrsa ngre pik\u00ebpyetje edhe mbi cil\u00ebsin\u00eb e investimeve t\u00eb huaja, duke argumentuar se nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb e konsiderueshme e tyre nuk krijon kapacitete t\u00eb reja prodhuese.<\/p>\n

N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb kontekst, ajo b\u00ebn p\u00ebrgjegj\u00ebse direkte qeverin\u00eb q\u00eb \u201cka l\u00ebn\u00eb paran\u00eb e krimit t\u00eb hyj\u00eb n\u00eb nd\u00ebrtim, duke ndikuar n\u00eb forcimin artificial t\u00eb monedh\u00ebs vendase dhe duke e shitur k\u00ebt\u00eb si sukses ekonomik\u201d.\/BIRN<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

27 Korrik 2026 Qeveria po e shet mbivler\u00ebsimin e monedh\u00ebs vendase si nj\u00eb sukses ekonomik p\u00ebr Shqip\u00ebrin\u00eb, por ekspert\u00ebt argumentojn\u00eb se t\u00eb dh\u00ebnat makroekonomike jan\u00eb t\u00eb pamjaftueshme p\u00ebr t\u00eb shpjeguar kursin e k\u00ebmbimit, pa futur n\u00eb analiz\u00eb parat\u00eb informale. Monedha europiane, Euro ka humbur gati nj\u00eb t\u00eb tret\u00ebn e vler\u00ebs s\u00eb saj kundrejt lekut shqiptar […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":103294,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[27,1,2,35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-103293","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blogu-i-udhetarit","category-njoftime-shtypi","category-politika","category-shoqerore"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/rama-delina.jpg?fit=1175%2C781&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5Z6wp-qS1","jetpack-related-posts":[{"id":102030,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/cfare-mund-te-ndodhe-me-ekonomine-e-vendit-ne-rast-se-lumi-i-pashtershem-i-parave-te-droges-nderpritet\/","url_meta":{"origin":103293,"position":0},"title":"\u00c7far\u00eb mund t\u00eb ndodh\u00eb me ekonomin\u00eb e vendit n\u00eb rast se lumi i pashtersh\u00ebm i parave t\u00eb drog\u00ebs nd\u00ebrpritet","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"June 30, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"30 Qershor 2025 Nga Gjergj Erebara P\u00ebr aq koh\u00eb sa Edi Rama ka qen\u00eb n\u00eb pushtet, e madje edhe m\u00eb her\u00ebt, flitet q\u00eb parat\u00eb e pista kan\u00eb qen\u00eb t\u00eb pranishme n\u00eb shkall\u00eb t\u00eb madhe dhe kan\u00eb ndikuar ekonomin\u00eb e vendit n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb sistemike. Por kushdo q\u00eb mendon se k\u00ebto para\u2026","rel":"","context":"In "Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit"","block_context":{"text":"Blogu i Udh\u00ebtarit","link":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/category\/blogu-i-udhetarit\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/20220625_142710_250622033-3_2iwUFtR-1536x1024-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/20220625_142710_250622033-3_2iwUFtR-1536x1024-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/20220625_142710_250622033-3_2iwUFtR-1536x1024-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/20220625_142710_250622033-3_2iwUFtR-1536x1024-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/20220625_142710_250622033-3_2iwUFtR-1536x1024-1.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]},{"id":103023,"url":"https:\/\/www.shqiperia.com\/blog\/be-fut-ne-lupe-financat-e-edi-rames-eurodeputeti-plas-bomben-zbulon-se-kryeministri-perdor-familjen-e-tij-per\/","url_meta":{"origin":103293,"position":1},"title":"BE fut n\u00eb \u201clup\u00eb\u201d financat e Edi Ram\u00ebs, eurodeputeti plas \u201cbomb\u00ebn\u201d, zbulon se kryeministri p\u00ebrdor familjen e tij p\u00ebr\u2026","author":"Kurt Farka","date":"July 21, 2026","format":false,"excerpt":"21 Korrik 2026 Nga Gazeta Sot Bashkimi Europian po monitoron nga af\u00ebr situat\u00ebn n\u00eb Shqip\u00ebri dhe paralelisht po ndjek edhe l\u00ebvizjet financiare q\u00eb, sipas eurodeputetit t\u00eb grupit t\u00eb Partis\u00eb Popullore Europiane (EPP), Tom\u00e1\u0161 Zdechovsk\u00fd, lidhen me kryeministrin Edi Rama dhe familjen e tij. 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